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△ National Thunderstorm Gale or Hail Warning (Central Meteorological Observatory/Issue)
People's Voice of the World, April 29, Beijing Express In the blink of an eye, the traditional 24 solar terms "Gu Yu" has arrived. This week's (April 29-May 5) national weather stage, in the opinion of experts, cold and warm air is still active, during which the south is still rainy. And under the warm and humid air flow pulse, there are also obvious rainfall and convection processes. Temperatures in the north are still fluctuating.
△National short-term heavy precipitation warning (Central Meteorological Observatory/Fa)
Experts said that this morning (29th) the Central Meteorological Observatory continued to issue a yellow warning for severe convective weather. According to the analysis of the latest meteorological data, judging from the physical quantity elements and situation forecasts, the risk of convection is high in the southern part of Guizhou, the northern part of Guangxi, and the southern part of Hunan from this afternoon to the evening.
△ Supercell Index Numerical Model Forecast (Central Meteorological Observatory/Fa)
According to experts, it can be seen from the current forecast that the effective potential energy of convection in southern Guizhou and central and northern Guangxi will reach more than 3,000 this afternoon, and more than 3,500 locally. At the same time, in the numerical model prediction of the extreme index, more than 0.9 is given. The lift index is also lower than minus 6 or even minus 8, and the shear lines of the north and south winds trigger convection at low altitude, and the vertical wind shear is large, which is conducive to the organization and maintenance of the storm.
△National Convective Effective Energy Extreme Index (EFI) Numerical Model Forecast (Central Meteorological Observatory/Fa)
It is worth noting that insiders in the industry emphatically pointed out that it is not difficult to find that it is not difficult to find that from tonight to tomorrow (30 July), convection will spread to the southeast, and the convection in Jiangxi and Guangdong will also develop rapidly. In addition, in the warm and humid airflow during the day today, there may also be some warm convection in Guangdong and Jiangxi with uneven time and space. In short, in the afternoon and evening hours, people in the above areas should pay close attention to the movements on the weather radar and the proximity warning information of the meteorological department.
*Attached: Early warning details
(Editor-in-charge/Xiangyu)
*Editor's Note:
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