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A reporter from the main station observed that the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continued to evolve into a long-term war of attrition

author:International Online

The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) announced on April 25 that on the evening of April 24, Israeli forces attacked the infrastructure and observation posts of Lebanese Allah forces. The Lebanese state news agency reported that the Israeli army's attack caused serious damage to infrastructure such as water and electricity, but there were no casualties.

Since the 20th of this month, the conflict on the temporary border between Lebanon and Israel has intensified, causing concern from the outside world. Will the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continue and escalate further?

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Zhao Bing: Recently, the conflict between Israel and the Lebanese Allah forces seems to have escalated. On the evening of the 22nd, Allah armed forces fired more than 30 "Katyusha" rockets into Israel, even shot down a large Israeli combat drone, and fired a number of anti-tank missiles at Israel on the 23rd, causing damage to two houses.

A reporter from the main station observed that the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continued to evolve into a long-term war of attrition

Zhao Bing: Subsequently, the Israeli army launched a large-scale air raid on the southern part of Lebanon, and on the 24th alone, the Israeli army said that it had attacked more than 40 Lebanese Allah targets, including its weapons depots, rocket firing positions, observation posts and other infrastructure. Israeli artillery units also continued to shell southern Lebanon. The Israeli army said Allah forces had set up dozens of positions in southern Lebanon to launch attacks against Israel, and the Israeli army had attacked them in an unusual manner. Israeli Defence Minister Gallant stressed that half of Allah's military commanders in the south of the country have been eliminated and the other half are still in hiding. The Israeli army is considering a variety of options for taking action against it.

Israeli media: The Israeli-Lebanese conflict has turned into a long-term war of attrition

A reporter from the main station observed that the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continued to evolve into a long-term war of attrition

Zhao Bing: According to the analysis of local Israeli media, the conflict between Israel and Lebanon's Allah forces, which has lasted for more than six months, has turned into a long-term war of attrition. On the one hand, Allah Lebanon has said it will not stop its attacks on Israel as long as it does not stop its attacks on Gaza. It is therefore expected that attacks by Allah forces against Israel may continue to intensify as the situation in Gaza develops, particularly with regard to the Israeli offensive against Rafah. On the other hand, given that Allah has far more military power than Hamas, and Israel's current strategic situation, it is unlikely that the Israeli army will launch a ground military operation in southern Lebanon, which will really hit and severely damage the Allah forces. And Lebanese Allah, given its own interests, does not want its actions to provoke a full-scale conflict with Israel, but wants to maintain strategic oppression in northern Israel through constant attacks. Therefore, the local media believe that as long as the fighting in Gaza continues, the conflict between Israel and Allah will continue for a long time in a relatively fierce but not full-scale manner.

Israeli forces claimed to have killed half of the Allah commanders in southern Lebanon

So what are the characteristics and changes of the recent Lebanese-Israeli border conflict?

Reporter Ci Xiaoning: Yesterday (24th), Israeli Defense Minister Gallant said that Israel has eliminated half of the commanders of Allah in Lebanon. Several sources close to Allah in Lebanon said it was just a propaganda method by Israelis and did not deserve any response from Allah.

The clashes on the Lebanese-Israeli temporary border have been expanding from small shelling

A reporter from the main station observed that the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continued to evolve into a long-term war of attrition

Reporter Ci Xiaoning: Let's sort out a few points of the temporary border conflict between Lebanon and Israel since last year. At the beginning of the conflict, because the two sides mainly shelled each other within 5 kilometers of the border line, public opinion and the public in Lebanon at that time generally believed that it was a relatively short-lived conflict that would soon pass. But as time went on, as the number of targets continued to expand, and as the death toll continued to rise, panic began in Lebanon, and for a while, many people left the country in Beirut.

After the attack on a senior Hamas official, the two sides changed their attack strategy

A reporter from the main station observed that the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continued to evolve into a long-term war of attrition

CRI: On January 2 this year, Israeli drones attacked a building in the southern suburbs of Beirut, killing Hamas's No. 2 Aluri. The attack was also a turning point in the conflict between Lebanon and Israel on the temporary border. Since then, Israel has carried out a large number of targeted killings of Lebanese Allah targets by means of drone or warplane air strikes deep into the heart of Lebanon, with the farthest targets being more than 150 kilometers from the border. At the same time, Lebanese Allah is changing its attack strategy. Allah in Lebanon is also increasingly using drones to attack targets in northern Israel.

Allah armed forces participate in Iranian counterattacks against Israel

A reporter from the main station observed that the Lebanese-Israeli conflict continued to evolve into a long-term war of attrition

CRI: Iran retaliated against Israel after the Israeli army attacked the consular building of the Iranian embassy in Syria in April this year. Allah in Lebanon also participated in the operation, firing three rounds of Katyusha rockets at an Israeli air defense command center on the Golan Heights. Because of the particularly close relationship between Iran and Allah, we are also observing what kind of military strategy Allah Lebanon will adopt if Iran-Israel military operations do not cease and what impact this will have on the Lebanese-Israeli interim border conflict.