laitimes

Zhao Xudong: Five important thinking models - Xudong's investment perception

author:BRTV World Finance

This article is a special contribution, please indicate.

Investing in this matter requires both internal and external cultivation, and most people only seek external methods and ignore their own thinking.

So one of us is to learn methods, but another important thing is to enrich our thinking model.

Munger: Each discipline understands the world from a unique perspective, and they are all blind people who feel the elephant. If you want to go beyond the cognition of ordinary people, you must master more thinking models

Zhao Xudong: Five important thinking models - Xudong's investment perception

01. Non-linear thinking

As a result of our long-term evolutionary history, we are more inclined to think about the world in a "linear" way.

However, the nature of the world is non-linear. The key to why some people in this world are so successful and most ordinary is whether their way of thinking is linear or non-linear.

The core of non-linear thinking:

1. Understand that the world is non-linear, leapfrogging, and unpredictable.

2. Understand the core causes of qualitative change, accelerate or wait for the critical point to come, and obtain huge benefits during the qualitative change period.

3. Have the courage to give up short-term interests during the accumulation period and do things that can be beneficial to the promotion of the previous article (such as investing more principal and accumulating more work experience during the accumulation period).

The non-linear way of thinking has five basic forms: systematic dialectical thinking, divergent thinking, reverse thinking, intuitive thinking, and inspired thinking.

02. Golden Circle Thinking

The Golden Circle is a way of knowing the world and has three levels. Starting from the Why, exploring the essence of the problem is the most powerful tool to quickly analyze the root cause of the problem.

The thinking mode is to start from the Why, why to do it, what is the concept of doing it, to stimulate the emotional emotion from the heart, to generate the driving force, and then to think about the How, set goals to solve step by step, and finally make the result is What, which is more in line with the original idea.

Why: Think about why we do it, our goals, our philosophy.

How: What methods and measures are used?

What: The manifestation of the result.

The process of thinking about why for an enterprise and a person is a determination of principles, boundaries, and values, and provides a general model for solving problems.

Zhao Xudong: Five important thinking models - Xudong's investment perception

03. Three-layer explanatory thinking model

For a thing, there can be three layers of explanation: the reality layer, the technical layer, and the bottom layer.

The reality layer will explain the cause and effect that is superficial and visible to most people.

The technical layer will explain the laws behind reality, which is under the phenomenon, a law brought by a background, and a law that can see skills.

The bottom layer is a kind of law that can be widely applied, a deep-level thinking model, understanding human nature, and insight into the law.

The three-level explanatory thinking model can be applied to deeply analyze the cause of an event and understand the laws of a complex thing.

Zhao Xudong: Five important thinking models - Xudong's investment perception

04、 10+10+10旁观思维模型

When faced with a decision or choice, when you hesitate, think about it:

After 10 minutes, how do you feel about your current decision, are you still consistent or will you regret it?

10 months from now, how will you think about the decision you made 10 months ago?

10 years later, how do you view your judgment and decision 10 years ago?

This thinking model can be applied to: temporary judgments, big decisions, predicting one's future, etc.

05. Antifragile thinking model

Things can be divided into three categories: vulnerable, tough, and antifragile.

Fragile things will shatter and damage when they are subjected to external pressure, just as a glass will shatter when it falls to the ground, and strong things will not be affected by external pressure. And antifragile things can evolve with pressure in this fluctuating world and make themselves stronger. Don't be crushed by stress, it's the best energy you can evolve into. External environmental changes will screen out the truly antifragile.

The antifragile mindset model can be applied to:

1. Rationally analyze from the predicament, improve cognition, and gain energy.

2. Return to the heart from the pressure and improve the mind and bearing.

3. Reposition yourself from limitations and improve your vision and pattern.

Naturally, it is also antifragile. In this world, many natural things are resilient and antifragile. There are many characteristics of nature, in nature there are such universal laws as spring, summer, autumn and winter, adaptable organisms evolve from such fluctuations, and large and clumsy creatures such as dinosaurs become extinct;

Antifragility itself is about being able to face risks and benefit from them and grow.

In the face of uncertainty about the future, we can do the following:

1. Use asymmetry, small input, high output.

2. Be diverse, don't just have one skill or identity.

3. I believe that the non-linearity of the future will give us more opportunities and fun. In this world, it is precisely because of nonlinearity that new creatures will continue to appear, and new things will replace old things, and we will continue to grow and improve.

Author:

Zhao Xudong, a guest of "World Finance", has won the monthly champion of "Not Let Be Popular" many times. He has a unique approach to short-term raids and company research.

Read on