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May Day is coming, the domestic pig market, pig prices into the "dilemma" stage, after the Qingming holiday, pig prices fell under pressure, the market fell into the trend of "grinding the bottom", into late April, by the improvement of sentiment at the breeding end, pig prices rebounded briefly, however, the market rose short-lived, the market lacked obvious positive support, in particular, South China has recently continued to precipitate weather, many low-lying pig farms are facing the phenomenon of rain backflow, the market for "blister pigs" The concern is stronger, especially after the heavy rainfall, the risk of pig farm disease may increase significantly, which may affect the rhythm of slaughter at the breeding end, which has a certain negative impact on pig prices!
According to data analysis, by the slaughtering enterprises to adjust the price of pigs, on April 24, the average price of three-yuan lean pigs slaughtered outside the country was 14.98 yuan / kg, down 0.01 yuan from yesterday, pig prices showed a stable and weak trend, the market rally completely "turned off", the domestic market continued to stabilize the situation, among them, Shandong, Anhui, Jiangsu, Sichuan and Chongqing, Hebei, Heilongjiang, Guangxi region, pig prices fell 0.05 ~ 0.1 yuan, Guangdong quotation rose 0.1 yuan, the north and south markets showed a weak and stable situation!
At present, pig prices are under pressure, and prices are running weakly! Especially, in the South China market, pig prices are more obviously affected by weather factors!
On the one hand, the weather process of heavy precipitation and high temperatures in South China will also affect the performance of live pigs and white strips in the market. Among them, the rhythm of slaughter at the breeding end was blocked, some pig farms were worried about the risk of disease, the purchase and sales were basically stagnant, the supply of "blister pigs" in some areas increased, and the right to speak at the breeding end was poor. In terms of the purchase and sale of white strips, affected by high temperature and precipitation, the goods of white strips are not smooth, and there is more pressure on surplus goods in the downstream wholesale market.
On the other hand, due to extreme precipitation weather, this may exacerbate the South China market, the risk of pig farm disease, some pig farms are not well protected and controlled, the mentality of selling pigs may be enhanced, the confidence of the market to shrink the number of pigs is weak, the rhythm of local pig slaughter may increase, and the market supply may be more relaxed!
At the same time, in most parts of the north and south of the country, at present, due to the temperature turning hot, the market demand for fat pigs has decreased, the domestic standard fertilizer price spread has further narrowed, and the risk of fat pig market pressure has surged.
In terms of consumer demand, at present, the festival is not smooth, the domestic mainstream consumer cities, the purchase and sale of white strips are relatively sluggish, the orders of slaughtering enterprises are small, and the operating rate of sample slaughtering enterprises hovers around 26.9% at this stage, and the slaughtering enterprises lack the enthusiasm to raise prices and collect pigs!
Therefore, based on many factors in the market, pig prices are under pressure to fall, the market is mainly weak in shocks, rationally, the next 1~2 days pig prices are still expected to be narrowly strong, from the grassroots feedback to understand, some large factories in the north have a certain shrinkage mentality, pig prices or will stop falling and pick up, however, the rise is extremely limited, focusing on the change in the operating rate of slaughtering enterprises and the change in the rhythm of slaughter!