The more Russia fights, the smoother it becomes, and the more the Ukrainian army fights, the more it collapses.
According to the data released by the Russian Ministry of Defense, since April 2024, the Russian army has been able to eliminate about 1,000 Ukrainian troops every day. For example, in the week of April 13~19, the Russian army eliminated a total of 7,225 Ukrainian troops, and in the battle on April 21~23, the Russian army eliminated more than 3,000 Ukrainian troops. According to the figures released by the Russian army, since the beginning of the "special military operation", the Russian army has destroyed a total of 592 Ukrainian aircraft, 270 helicopters, 22,000 unmanned aerial vehicles, more than 500 air defense systems, and 15,000 tanks and armored vehicles.
Zelensky understands the state of the war
Judging from the figures published in the Russian army's battle report, on the Russian-Ukrainian frontline battlefield, the Russian army can eliminate 2 battalions of the Ukrainian army on average every day. In a fully staffed Ukrainian brigade-level combat unit, it generally contains 3~6 combat battalions and multiple support battalions, with a total strength of 2000~4000 people, and a battalion of about 500~700 people. The loss of 1,000 people per day of the Ukrainian army is equivalent to the direct loss of 2 battalions; if the loss of 50% of the soldiers is completely incapacitated, then the Ukrainian army is equivalent to 4 battalions losing combat capability every day and need to be rotated to the rear to rest; this means that at least 1 brigade-level unit of the Ukrainian army is severely damaged every day and is forced to abandon its position.
The situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front
This is the case, in the recent Russian-Ukrainian battlefield, the speed of the Russian army's siege of the city began to accelerate. For example, on the front line northwest of Avdiivka, the 115th Brigade of the Ukrainian Army is retreating in great strides every day, first taking the initiative to abandon a small town on the outskirts of the small city of Ochretine, allowing the Russian soldiers to take a large residential area without bloodshed, and then in the street fighting in the urban area that lasted for 2 days, it successively lost the southern area of the city and the railway station with important military value, and lost about 50% of the control of the urban area of Ochretyne. And all this happened in just 4 days, compared with the style of the Ukrainian army in the early days of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Ukrainian army is almost driven by the Russian army.
The situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front
On the Russian-Ukrainian front line in April, the Ukrainian army also lost a total of 4 larger villages including Shemenivka, Bertich, Orlovka, and Bohdanivka, as well as 3 larger towns such as Wuyi Town, Ivanivsk, and Novomykhailivka. It can be said that at this rate, the Ukrainian army is afraid that it will not be able to survive this winter. At present, the Ukrainian army has about 120 brigade-level combat units, most of which are not yet formed, and are "half brigades" with only about 2,000 people; the main elite are 20 brigades equipped by NATO, of which 9 brigades are commanded by NATO equipment, NATO training, and even NATO officers, that is, the so-called 9 "NATO pro-training brigades" in Ukraine, also known as the "Nine King Kongs".
Russian fighters launched an air strike on the Ukrainian army
If 1 brigade is badly damaged every day, then it will take only 4 months to exhaust 120 brigades. And if from the point of view of actual combat, as long as 40% of the brigade is disabled, the Ukrainian army is likely to have a complete collapse, unable to maintain the front, and striding towards Kyiv to "turn victoriously". In other words, if the current attrition of troops continues to be consumed, the Ukrainian army is afraid that it will completely collapse in another 2 months. Although a new round of aid from the United States and NATO is already on the way, it will take 2~3 months for these aids to be effective, after all, it will take a certain amount of time to restore morale, train newly mobilized soldiers, deliver new equipment and form combat effectiveness. But by that time, the Ukrainian army is afraid that it has been completely defeated.
The situation on the Russian-Ukrainian front
2024 will be a critical year for the war between Russia and Ukraine, and the final outcome of this war may be seen within this year. Judging from the current situation, unless the Ukrainian army is supported by NATO formed troops to participate in the war, Ukraine will still not be able to avoid defeat with the current level of Western assistance. Of course, Western investment will not completely become a sunk cost, after all, Ukraine, which has lost Ukraine, also has a certain national base, and Ukraine can completely sell land, resources, infrastructure, finance and other national assets, and sell the interests of these aspects to the West for decades or even hundreds of years to repay the foreign debt owed, until the West completely squeezes out the last drop of blood in Ukraine......