With the drastic changes in the international situation, the possibility of military conflict and even war between China and the United States is increasing day by day.
Regarding the war between China and the United States, Zhang Zhaozhong, the "bureau seat," once predicted that the United States might strike at China in accordance with these four steps.
The blockade by the United States and the abduction of people on the island
The first step is to block China's sea transport routes. China is a country with a large inflow and large outflow in industrial structure, which requires the import of a large amount of industrial raw materials.
Although China is the world's largest industrial country, the mainland's consumption of external industrial raw materials is also astronomical.
Industrial production
Therefore, as long as China's sea lanes can be blocked and overseas industrial raw materials cannot be transported to China, it can directly destroy China's normal industrial production and make China's huge military production capacity unable to play its role.
Therefore, when China and the United States go to war, blocking the sea routes around China is something that the United States will inevitably do.
According to the prediction of Zhang Zhaozhong, the United States will carry out relevant military operations in the western Pacific and the Indian Ocean at that time.
The Indian Ocean connects China with the Middle East's sea lanes, blocking the Indian Ocean, and the Middle East's energy cannot be transported to China.
Maritime transport
In the western Pacific, it is mainly routes between the mainland and Australia, South America and other places.
The mainland buys iron ore from Australia and soybeans, iron ore and other commodities from South America, so industrial raw materials from South America and Australia are also important to the mainland.
The second step is to kidnap people on the island of Taiwan. The most troublesome point in the Taiwan issue of China is that while the mainland side takes military action against China's Taiwan, it also has to shoulder the responsibility of protecting the people on the island.
PLA cross-sea landing exercises
However, reactionary forces on the island and foreign forces such as the United States may kidnap the people on the island in order to restrict the military movements of the PLA. In this way, the PLA will be a rat trap and fall into passivity militarily.
If a war breaks out between China and the United States, it will most likely be triggered by the Taiwan issue. Even if it is not caused by the issue of China's Taiwan, it will be related to China's Taiwan.
After all, the Taiwan issue is China's biggest sovereignty issue, and if a war breaks out between China and the United States in the western Pacific, both China and the United States will play the Taiwan card to gain an advantage for themselves as much as possible, whether for military or political reasons.
PLA cross-sea landing exercises
High-tech weapons and the issue of territorial sovereignty
The third step is to deploy all kinds of high-tech weapons to strike at China's command and intelligence acquisition capabilities.
The biggest difference between modern warfare and traditional warfare is that modern warfare can strike at the enemy's military nodes by various technical means, so as to win the war.
For example, the Gulf War fought by the United States in the Middle East first destroyed the command system of the Iraqi army through various modern means of warfare, thus cutting off the links between the various levels of the Iraqi army and turning the Iraqi army into a plate of scattered sand.
Allied forces in the Gulf War
If war breaks out between China and the United States, the United States will also try to use various means to attack the mainland's command capability and intelligence system in order to repeat its victory in the Gulf War.
The fourth step is to encircle China through its own alliance system and try to incite separatist forces within China.
The former is not difficult to understand, after all, the United States is currently the country with the most allies in the world, from Europe to Japan and South Korea, from the Philippines to Australia, everywhere is the United States' allies.
Therefore, the military pressure exerted by the United States on China is not only reflected in the US military, but also in the US alliance system, and the encirclement and blockade that the United States has completed against China through these alliance systems.
NATO and the United States
As for inciting separatist forces within China, in fact, the sovereignty issue facing the mainland is not only the Taiwan issue, but also the United States has interfered in Xinjiang, Tibet, and other regions.
Like the "Xinjiang cotton incident" that the West has slandered the mainland before, it is essentially the United States hoping to meddle in its internal affairs by hyping up the so-called "human rights issue in Xinjiang" and trying to provide legitimacy for the division of Xinjiang on the mainland.
This trick is familiar to the United States, and the most typical case is the Kosovo region of Serbia.
By constantly reporting on Serbia's "atrocities" against the Kosovo region, and then providing legitimacy for Kosovo's independence referendum, and then constantly encouraging the Kosovo region to split up.
Kosovo region
The irony is that when the same situation happened to the West itself, Western society changed its attitude.
When England was industrialized, one-quarter of the population of Ireland starved to death.
Because of the great lack of great virtue in Great Britain, Ireland has been trying to become independent in recent times.
However, Britain's attitude towards this is to "strike hard" and it has not shown any concern for local human rights issues on the Kosovo issue, or even on the mainland's Taiwan, Xinjiang, and Tibet issues.
Anti-British government forces - the Irish Republican Army
How is China responding?
In fact, it is not difficult for the mainland to deal with these US military moves.
The United States wants to block China's sea transportation routes, and on the one hand, the mainland is building land transportation routes to bypass the possible blockade of the United States through Russia, Pakistan, and Burma.
On the other hand, the Chinese Navy and the Rocket Forces are very powerful.
If the United States wants to block China's sea transport routes, the premise is that it can win the mainland rocket force and navy.
But the current strength of the US Navy is not enough to face the continental rocket force, as well as the Chinese Navy in the western Pacific.
American fleet
The United States is quite troublesome in kidnapping people on the island, and there are not many effective means on the Chinese mainland, which is one of the reasons why the mainland has never chosen military reunification.
However, through psychological offensive and diplomatic means, Chinese mainland can minimize the possibility of reactionary forces on the island kidnapping the people on the island.
As long as the PLA can guarantee that the US military cannot get close to China's Taiwan, there is no need to worry about the US military kidnapping the people on the island if the United States does such a thing.
As for the fact that the United States is investing in high-tech weapons, this is the last thing we need to worry about.
Now China is no worse than the United States in military technology, and the United States cannot form a crushing military generation gap against China.
People's Liberation Army of China
There is also no big problem with the United States encircling China and meddling in China's internal affairs. As China's economic ties to Europe and other regions become more and more deep, these allies of the United States are becoming more and more half-hearted towards the United States.
On issues such as Tibet and Xinjiang, the United States has lost the ability to support extremist groups in the Middle East and infiltrate these parts of China since it withdrew from Afghanistan.
Resources:
[1] Global Times, "Kosovo Conflict Leads to Many Deaths and Injuries, Vučić: Never Recognize Kosovo's Independence"
[2] Taiwan Strait Network, "Paying for the Position of the Political Party with Taiwan's Survival, the DPP Kidnaps the People with a "Confused Narrative"