Euro 2024 is getting closer and closer, and now many fans can't wait to start predicting the winner. Although Greek mythology, Danish fairy tales and other miracles were born in the history of the European Cup, this is a small probability event after all. Specific to this European Cup, there is a high probability that the final champion will be those traditional strong teams, in other words, there is a high probability that there will be no new champions in this European Cup.
In fact, we are interested not only in the ownership of the championship, but also in who the final Golden Boot is. With the expansion of the European Cup, the current European Cup, both in terms of the number of matches and the overall scale, is moving closer to the World Cup. The current size of 24 teams is on par with the World Cup between '82 and '94, which is basically the peak for a continent-wide tournament. As the number of matches increases, so does the number of goals scored by the top scorers. In the last European Cup, Ronaldo won the Golden Boot at the age of 36, while Portugal actually only played 4 games. From this point of view, Ronaldo's five goals are far from the ceiling of the Golden Boot. Therefore, the top scorer of Euro 2024, the number of goals almost certainly, will exceed five.
So the question is, who is the Golden Boot of this European Championship most likely?
At present, there are two people who are the most promising, and the Golden Boot is also the most likely to be produced between these two people. Who are those two guys? Let's take a look at the current Champions League scorers. Glance.
At present, the Champions League has reached the semi-finals, and there are only 4 teams left. Previously, Haaland, Griezmann, Morata, Foden, who had scored well, have completely lost the possibility of continuing to improve their statistics. Therefore, there are only two possibilities left for this season's Champions League Golden Boot.
Mbappe, Kane.
The Champions League also has a semi-final and final stage, with only five matches in total. As for who can win the Golden Boot between Mbappe and Kane, it depends on the trend of Paris and Bayern. And with the form of these two players, they must also be the most competitive goalscorers when it comes to the European Championship.
First of all, in terms of the teams that come back, France and England are almost certainly the top two teams in European football at the moment. And France and England also have an advantage, the overall age is not very large, so the team's physical fitness and energy, impact are all online. Mbappe and Kane, in the European Cup, did not worry about no chance to score.
Secondly, in terms of consumption, Bayern was out of the German Cup early this season, and after Bayer Leverkusen won the championship, Bayern basically gave up the league, and there was nothing to play in the following games, only the Champions League remained. As for Grand Paris, first of all, the intensity of the confrontation in Ligue 1 is the worst of the five major leagues, and the monopoly advantage of Grand Paris here is too obvious, so the consumption of Ligue 1 to Grand Paris is far less than the consumption of La Liga to Real Madrid and the Premier League to Manchester City. And let's not forget that the Bundesliga has the fewest games among the five major leagues, after all, there are only 18 teams and 34 rounds. After the downsizing of Ligue 1, there are only 18 teams and 34 rounds, the same as the Bundesliga. Therefore, in a horizontal comparison, Kane and Mbappe's consumption in the league is less than that of other strikers in the same class.
Of course, there is one place in front that is not accurate enough - this European Cup, there is a high probability that there will be no new champions. If Kane plays well and wins the Golden Boot, then he and his team-mates have a good chance of winning England's first European Cup.
Next, let's wait and see. Although it is difficult to guess the championship, the Golden Boot is indeed the greatest hope for Mbappe and Kane.