According to US media reports, US intelligence officials expressed doubts about Chinese mainland's plan to achieve military reunification with Taiwan in 2027, while Frederick, assistant deputy director for China affairs of the US National Security Agency, stressed that it was uncertain that Chinese mainland could achieve its goals as scheduled. At present, Chinese mainland is ready to realize cross-strait reunification by force in the event that peaceful reunification and other means fail.
Chinese mainland is carrying out unprecedented military modernization efforts, which coincide with the use of military reunification to resolve the Taiwan Strait issue by 2027 at the latest, and US official Frederick said that the challenge facing Chinese mainland is a landing operation across the Taiwan Strait. The amphibious landing is really, really a challenging military issue for the mainland, and it is a military issue that is very difficult to accomplish.
Frederick said frankly that China has built four amphibious landing ships, and the progress of amphibious landing operations is very obvious, but it still faces a lack of combat experience, especially the equipment and personnel of Chinese mainland in amphibious landing and three-dimensional landing, and the overall lack of actual combat experience.
At a time when US officials are skeptical about Chinese mainland's ability to reunify Taiwan by force in 2027, retired Taiwan Major General Li Zhengjie said that Chinese mainland is rapidly making up for landing operations and developing new combat equipment. As far as the mainland People's Liberation Army (PLA) is concerned, the first wave of military reunification of Taiwan will be the three group armies in the Eastern Theater, plus four Type 075 amphibious assault ships.
However, the reason why the mainland PLA does not have military reunification is whether its logistical capability can keep up. Li Zhengjie went on to analyze how to replenish the troops that landed on Taiwan Island and whether they could continuously cross the strait of more than 100 kilometers to transport them to Taiwan in a steady stream of ammunition, oil, and food every day.
As soon as Li Zhengjie changed his words, the mainland People's Liberation Army (PLA) had solved the problem of trouble and developed the HH-100 unmanned air transport plane, with a flight range of 520 kilometers, while the Taiwan Strait was more than 200 kilometers wide, and it could fly back and forth through the strait. If the HH-100 air unmanned transport aircraft is capable of carrying 700 kg, it is equal to a day's combat readiness. Li Zhengjie predicted that if the mainland PLA is equipped with 100 planes, it can support 100 companies, which can solve the problem of logistical support and may increase the determination of military reunification.
In the eyes of US officials, the biggest obstacle to crossing the Taiwan Strait is logistical support, and it is very likely that they will be faced with the problem of shore-based missiles; once they are threatened by shore-based missiles, the crossing of the Taiwan Strait will inevitably be blocked, which will then affect the front-line operations of the landing combat units, and they will not be able to directly recover Taiwan within seven days, thus giving the United States and other countries time to intervene.
In view of the threat from the shore faced by the landing force, the PLA is also adjusting its tactics. Lu Lishi, a former captain of the Taiwan Navy, said that the PLA will adopt a new landing mode, and the Type 075 amphibious assault ships will all be equipped with carrier-based armed helicopters, and the armed helicopters will be at the forefront of future operations.
In the future, the PLA's combat pattern will no longer be the Normandy landing, but an amphibious operation pattern. The so-called amphibious operations are air helicopter gunships and fighters, sea landing combat ships and warships, plus armored units, which are called air eagles, sea dragons, and land tigers. Lu Lishi believes that if the PLA wants to land in Taiwan, it will definitely not be the longest day, but it will end soon.
If the People's Liberation Army (PLA) really launches armed reunification, the most likely offensive rhythm is to use all kinds of missiles to directly paralyze them, and the various positions and shore-based missile units of the Taiwan military, plus the air defense system, will then clear the way for landing on the sea, while the air will be carried out by fighter planes to carry out the rear sweeping, which will be able to cross the strait in the shortest possible time and lay the foundation for the follow-up armored forces, and once landed, it will be able to carry out positional warfare and urban warfare.