The latest Champions League probability list, Bayern is less than two percent, Real Madrid beware of the curse
Just now, the foreign data website OPTA used a supercomputer to predict the probability of winning the Champions League this season. After quantifying the overall strength and form of the four teams at this stage, Real Madrid is in first place, with a 39% chance of winning the title. Objectively speaking, Real Madrid is indeed the strongest overall strength among the four teams at this stage, and it is also the most experienced team.
To be able to upset Manchester City away in the quarter-finals, arguably not possible with any team other than Real Madrid, is a testament to their quality. After defeating the biggest obstacle in the Champions League, Real Madrid's morale and psychological advantage at this stage are huge. This will help them to play stronger in the future. There is really no problem in ranking first. However, there is one thing to note, and that is that the favorites for the previous editions of the list have been eliminated. Since the knockout stages of the Champions League, Manchester City have been at the top of the odds and predictions charts.
It seems to have the momentum of the first favorite this season, but in the case of being generally favored by the outside world, Manchester City was eliminated in the quarter-final stage, which really did not surprise fans. In addition, Barcelona is also favored by many media and lists after beating Paris in the first leg, and is considered the second favorite in this season's Champions League. But he didn't expect to be eliminated by Paris in the second leg. It can be said that the first position of the hot is not so easy to sit on, and basically whichever team is favored has a high probability of being upset in the next game. For Real Madrid, they have to be careful.
In second place is Paris Saint-Germain with a 27% chance of winning the title. Objectively speaking, Paris does have a certain probability of winning the final championship this season. After entering the semi-finals of the Champions League, there is no longer a weak team in the true sense. The remaining teams are the ones who are in the best form and at this stage. Especially after Mbappe and others regained their form, this is Paris's biggest confidence in the knockout round. Considering that their opponent is Borussia Dortmund, the probability of Grand Paris advancing to the final is very high, and even the championship is not impossible to win.
In third place is Bayern Munich with a 17% chance of winning the title. After a thrilling knockout of Arsenal, Bayern have once again met their old rivals Real Madrid this season. The two teams have met in the knockout stages of the Champions League on a number of occasions in the past, but Bayern have the upper hand in terms of past results. Because Real Madrid is indeed a difficult opponent. But for Bayern, their current advantage is that they have no distractions in the league, and they are left with the Champions League as the only title they can compete for. For the Southern Kings, this season to do their best to compete for the Champions League is the most important task at the moment, and they are also eager to revenge Real Madrid next.
In fourth place is Borussia Dortmund with a 16% chance of winning the title. Objectively speaking, whether it is the various rankings or the predictions of outside fans, Dortmund is the least favored team. This has been the case since the quarter-finals, and it is always expected that Dortmund will be easily eliminated by other teams in the future. Perhaps it is due to their poor record in recent years and the average overall squad on paper. In short, Bumblebee has always been looked down upon. From a practical point of view, Dortmund is worth just over 500 million euros on paper, which is not even half of the other three teams. So it's understandable to be seen as the weakest team.
But anything is possible in the Champions League, with Borussia Dortmund having previously advanced from the group of death as top of the group and also beating a strong Atletico Madrid side. It can be said that the team that despised them before has been punished. Facing Paris this time, Dortmund also hopes to advance to the next round. Maybe in the end, the dark horse team will counterattack to the final. What do you think about this?