#精品长文创作季#
In recent years, the Philippines has provoked China on the South China Sea issue, and has constantly tested China's bottom line, and now it has moved the United States out.
Not long ago, the United States, Japan and the Philippines held a trilateral meeting at the White House and issued a joint statement to smear China.
In this meeting, the Philippines received financial support from the United States and Japan, and at the same time wantonly smeared China on the South China Sea issue.
Marcos also had a showdown with China after the meeting, and then the Chinese side also announced two major news to prepare for a full-scale action.
1. Marcos has a showdown with China
Since taking office, Marcos has always attached great importance to the South China Sea issue and has repeatedly made a fuss in the South China Sea to provoke China.
On April 11, Marcos, U.S. President Joe Biden and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida met at the White House for the first trilateral talks.
The content of the talks mainly focused on national security and defense affairs and national economic cooperation, and it was also a meeting of the Philippines to invest in Latin America.
At the meeting, Marcos said that he hoped to obtain investment from the United States and Japan in the future and seek help on the South China Sea issue.
Although Marcos stressed that the trilateral talks were not aimed at any country, he repeatedly mentioned the South China Sea, the East China Sea and Taiwan issues during the talks.
After the meeting, the three sides issued a joint statement directly mentioning China and smearing China on the South China Sea, East China Sea and Taiwan issues.
Marcos spoke in the Philippines as soon as the talks ended, saying that the United States had deployed four military bases with the Philippines last year.
This remark caused controversy in an instant, you must know that Marcos has just expressed his position to the Chinese side, and now it is unusual.
It has been learned that three of the new US military bases in the Philippines are located on Luzon Island and one on Balabac Island, which is only 400 kilometers away from Taiwan.
Relying on this military base, the United States can use it as a springboard to complete the coverage of the Taiwan Strait.
At the same time, Marcos said that the military bases set up by the US military in the Philippines are all aimed at protecting the security of the Philippines.
It can also be seen from this that Marcos actually has another purpose, that is, he wants the US military to intervene in the South China Sea issue.
The trilateral talks between the United States, Japan, and the Philippines can be said to have given Marcos confidence and made him firmly believe that he can win the support of the United States.
Marcos wants to use the relationship between the two countries on military cooperation to get the U.S. military to support the Philippines in the South China Sea.
At the same time, Marcos also had a direct showdown with China and drew a red line. He proposed that the "US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty" is a shared responsibility of both sides, and the Philippines has the right to activate the treaty, to put it bluntly, Marcos wants to use the treaty to threaten China.
In the past, Philippine vessels provoked China in the South China Sea, and the Chinese coast guard retaliated against them in accordance with the law.
But Marcos threatens China with the activation of the US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty, which is clearly drawing a line.
For a long time, the United States has excessively interfered in China's internal affairs and diplomacy, especially in the Taiwan Strait, East China Sea and South China Sea. Marcos's statement this time is naturally backed by the United States.
On the other hand, the United States also wants to find a legitimate reason to meddle in the South China Sea issue and further radiate the Taiwan issue.
Now that Marcos has paved the way for the United States, he has naturally been recognized by the United States and can follow the trend.
In the future, if the US military tilts toward the Philippines on the South China Sea issue, the South China Sea issue will become more and more muddy, and Marcos will be able to fish in troubled waters. Faced with such a situation, China will naturally not sit idly by and allow Marcos to do whatever he wants.
Second, two major news
After Marcos's showdown with China, China also gave a counterattack at the first time, but this counterattack was not a direct confrontation. China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced that Foreign Minister Wang Yi will visit Indonesia, Cambodia and Papua New Guinea.
As members of Southeast Asia, these three countries encircle the Philippines in the middle, and they have one thing in common, that is, they pursue a non-aligned foreign policy. As a country in Southeast Asia that advocates neutrality, Foreign Minister Wang Yi's visit also has new ideas.
Since the beginning of this year, Marcos has been visiting countries in order to seek international support. In addition to the United States and Japan, Germany, Canada, and India have all expressed support for the Philippines, which has fueled Marcos's arrogance.
However, the South China Sea issue is not an issue between China and the Philippines, but also related to the development of ASEAN. At the end of March, the commander of the Cambodian army visited China, during which he also communicated the cooperation between the two sides, and Cambodia also said after the meeting that it would support China in safeguarding its own interests.
At present, the South China Sea issue is China's core interest, and Cambodia's support for China is actually an attempt to make ASEAN's development more stable.
For a long time, Cambodia, which pursues neutrality and non-alignment, has chosen to support China, which has also sent a voice.
Indonesia and Papua New Guinea also stated last year that they would not choose to take sides, but now it seems that the situation in Southeast Asia will become more tense as the Philippines brings the United States in. At this time, if it is ignored, the consequences are unimaginable.
As relations between China and ASEAN countries gradually warm, relations between countries have naturally become a top priority. In the face of the arrival of the United States, even if the ASEAN countries pursue neutrality, they must avoid the occurrence of conflict, and it is natural for them to denounce the Philippines.
At the same time, China has continued to promote economic and trade cooperation in recent years, and its ties with ASEAN have become closer, making China an important partner of ASEAN. In fact, the joint training conducted by China and many ASEAN countries also illustrates this point.
With the implementation of the Code of Conduct in the South China Sea, China's relations with Indonesia have also developed rapidly, and have made great contributions to resolving differences in Southeast Asia. Overall, with the cooperation between China and ASEAN, the South China Sea issue is gradually being resolved.
But at this moment, Marcos wants to muddy the waters of this calm lake, obviously suspected of fishing in troubled waters, and in addition, his direct negotiations with China have obvious purposes. Now that the United States is being drawn into the South China Sea, Marcos's careful thinking is also revealed.
By announcing Foreign Minister Wang Yi's visit to the three ASEAN countries, China is actually warning the Philippines that the consequences of trying to form a faction on the South China Sea issue will be unimaginable. If regional stability is undermined, it will not only harm China's interests.
In general, China is already firmly tied to many ASEAN countries, and the Philippines will have to suffer the consequences if it wants the United States to help it muddy the waters. In addition, another bombshell news shows that China is ready.
3. The Chinese side is preparing for the move
Defense Minister Dong Jun met with Vietnamese Defense Minister Phan Van Giang, and the two sides had in-depth communication on strategic issues. On the South China Sea issue, the two sides also pledged to jointly safeguard maritime security and resolve the issue through peaceful negotiations.
During the talks, the two sides confirmed that a naval hotline would be set up thereafter and a memorandum of understanding was signed.
In contrast, the South China Sea hotline proposed by the Philippines has so far been rhetorical and has not taken concrete action.
Fundamentally, the South China Sea issue is linked to a number of countries, but the Philippines and Vietnam are more likely to disagree on this issue. However, the two countries' attitudes towards the South China Sea issue are also very different, which also shows their true intentions.
The Philippines' constant provocations against China over the South China Sea issue have caused many frictions and even triggered conflicts between the two sides. In particular, in the Ren'ai Jiao and Scarborough Shoal areas, the Philippines has tried to provoke large-scale conflicts in order to stir up Sino-Philippine relations.
Although Vietnam also has differences with China on the South China Sea issue, it is several times better than the Philippines in its approach to resolving the issue.
In addition to the high-level talks held by the two sides, they also emphasized the importance of communication on issues to avoid triggering conflicts.
The maritime issues raised by the Chinese side are not the whole of bilateral relations, and they have also been recognized by the Vietnamese side, which is also very different from the attitude of the Philippines. Seeing this, Marcos is also constantly courting Vietnam in an attempt to kick China out of the South China Sea issue.
Fortunately, Vietnam does not buy Marcos's account, and attaches more importance to China than the Philippines, and it has been reflected in many areas.
Indonesia, which was also co-opted by Marcos, also chose to discuss with China and did not bother with Marcos.
It is not difficult to see that neither Indonesia nor Vietnam intends to make policy adjustments on the South China Sea issue, and both have endorsed China's proposed code of conduct in the South China Sea.
This alone made Marcos grit his teeth with hatred, and naturally wanted to get help from the United States.
After the trilateral talks, the United States also delivered large quantities of missiles to a military base on Luzon.
However, the two major announcements made by the Chinese side naturally also mean that the United States and the Philippines are not afraid of joining hands and are ready to take action.
China hopes to communicate with Vietnam, Cambodia, Indonesia and Papua New Guinea to resolve the South China Sea issue through peaceful negotiations. In fact, there is a deep meaning behind this, that is, we will go all out to deal with the Philippines.
Today, the Philippines is at the end of its rope and is eager to wrestle with China on the South China Sea issue. Naturally, China is not a soft persimmon, and after the other countries are settled, it will naturally let the Philippines see which is stronger and which is weaker.
epilogue
China has always adhered to the principle of peaceful development, and has repeatedly emphasized common development and peaceful coexistence in its communication with other countries.
However, the Philippines believes that China's forbearance is not daring to confront it, and it is trying to solve the problem by provoking a conflict.
With relations with many Southeast Asian countries warming rapidly, China will be ready to deal with the Philippines when several countries reach an agreement on the South China Sea issue.
If the Philippines dares to provoke China in the South China Sea, it will face a strong counterattack from China.