Today's stock market can be described as a twist and turn, when the morning opened, the three major indexes of A-shares went all the way down, but then began to rise, but after entering the midday, the stock market began to weaken.
The gem is a mixed state, the intraday trend of rising and falling is also very obvious, the index is obviously under pressure, and many themes in the midday, the heat has begun to decline, the situation does not seem right.
In fact, in the author's opinion, tomorrow, April 19, the risk or future attack, there are two main reasons, and, still, two more important reasons, for tomorrow, and even the short-term stock market will have a certain impact.
First of all, to be honest, I have been emphasizing one point, that is, the Shanghai Composite Index is in a sideways range. And today, when the Shanghai Composite Index was at its highest, it rose to 3102 points, which can be regarded as running to a sideways high, that is, near the annual line.
However, what is interesting is that when the Shanghai Composite Index touched 3100 points, it could not rise, and began to adjust the trend, that is, this point brought greater pressure to the Shanghai Composite Index.
Moreover, more importantly, at this time, the Shanghai Composite Index unexpectedly closed an upper hammer star, but this is the upper shadow of an upper hammer star is not long, which also means that at present, the selling pressure of the Shanghai Composite Index has appeared.
So, can't the Shanghai Composite Index break through 3,100 points completely and effectively?
The author believes that there is no need to break through, and even if there is a breakthrough, it is meaningless, why? If you look at the beginning of February to the end of February, when the Shanghai Composite Index rose, you will understand how much volume there was, and the market still needs to digest such a large amount.
If, at this time, the index forcibly breaks through 3100 points, it is bound to form a very serious divergence, so the breakthrough is meaningless, and the probability is just a feint, so the pressure of 3100 points is very great.
From this point of view, it is not unreasonable that the Shanghai Composite Index will hit tomorrow, that is, on April 19, and the risk may hit in the future, of course, the so-called risk is only a sideways up and down market, not the so-called change market.
In the author's opinion, this point is more important.
Secondly, the ChiNext index took the lead in turning green, although, from the point of view of the decline, the ChiNext index did not fall much, it can only be regarded as a slight decline in the market, but the market's sentiment changes are vividly reflected in the gem, why?
As of press time, it can be seen that originally, the number of stocks rising and falling on the GEM was evenly matched, and the basic rise and fall were half of each other, but with the rise and fall of the GEM index, many stocks showed obvious weakness.
Now, with more than 900 stocks falling on the GEM and just over 300 stocks rising, it is clear that the number of stocks that are down on the GEM today is in the majority, so there have been some bad changes in the market's sentiment.
It is precisely because of the above two reasons that the author believes that tomorrow, April 19, the risk or future attack is not unreasonable, of course, there are certain variables in the current stock market, and it is still a more interesting variable.
It can be seen that if the ChiNext index continues to fall, then it will inevitably form a divergence, and if the Shanghai Composite Index continues to rise, it will also form a divergence, so that the market will become a little confusing.
Therefore, tomorrow, the market will be more likely to be polarized.
Today, there is also a key clue that today, the risk aversion sentiment of funds is higher, because the banking sector has seen a wave of obvious upward market, this sector intraday gains once exceeded 2%, and began to rise and fall at noon.
Therefore, tomorrow, the stock market will indeed be in a worse situation.
This is also normal, the Shanghai Composite Index does not have much momentum to help it break through 3100 points, this is a watershed, but also a chip-intensive area, the pressure above is too great, the turnover can not go up, it will diverge.
With the current daily turnover of less than one trillion yuan in the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets, it is also difficult to complete a breakthrough, so the market also needs to fluctuate in the sideways space, so as to further complete the shuffle and sort out the previous chips.