Cheng Mo: The US-Western aid to Ukraine and the aid to favor the weak and fear the hard? Let's talk about the dispute between the two parties in the United States
Original Cheng Mo Visionary 2024-04-16 15:19
Morning Mist / Repost
Abstract: Today's article mainly responds to three questions that many readers are concerned about: 1. Is the United States and the West's aid to Ukraine favoritism, bullying the weak and fearing the hard? 2. US President Ronald Reagan, who brought down the Soviet Union, is a Republican, so why should the Republican Party pursue isolationism? 3. Is Trump "playing a big game of chess"?
In the past two days, many WeChat friends have left me messages, or forwarded articles from other self-media to me, to the effect that Israel was attacked by Iranian drones and missiles, and five countries directly helped Israel intercept most of the drones and missiles, while Russia attacked Ukraine with drones and missiles every day, but no country helped intercept it。
I read the messages and some articles of these friends, and my heart was very sad. I just wanted to talk to some good friends in the core group, but I don't want to write about the official account, it's really offended. If these friends who blame the Western camp for not vigorously aiding Ukraine every day are offended, it is estimated that my official account can also be closed.
However, when friends kept leaving me messages and forwarding such articles, I decided to make a very offensive response to people desperately, with the aim of giving everyone a more objective understanding of the outside world and today's international affairs. Of course, I will be very restrained from my emotions and not say anything nasty, mainly because I don't want to offend these good-natured friends.
First, let's look at why some countries in the Western camp helped Israel intercept drones and missiles, but did not directly intercept Russian drones and missiles attacking Ukraine.
Ukraine shares a border with Russia, and the drones and missiles launched by Russia do not pass through any other country, but directly enter cities across Ukraine from the territorial waters and airspace of Ukraine occupied by Russia or occupied by the Russian army, and a very small number fly over the airspace of Belarus, an ally of Russia, but do not pass through the territorial waters and airspace controlled by any Western camp countries and their allies. How does this make the countries of the Western camp led by the United States intercept it?
Iran does not share a border with Israel, and its missiles and drones must fly over the airspace and territorial waters controlled by the US military or US allies before they can reach Israel, and if they fly over the territorial waters and airspace controlled by the US military and its allies, the US military and its allies can of course intercept them; for example, through the airspace of Saudi Arabia, an ally of the United States, although Saudi Arabia has not established diplomatic relations with Israel, it will not allow Iranian drones and missiles to fly over its airspace, and it must also intercept them in order to safeguard its own national sovereignty.
(Photo of the public with intercepted Iranian missiles)
Secondly, does the Western camp really bully the weak and fear the hard, favor one over the other, and work harder to aid Israel, but does not dare or do not want to vigorously aid Ukraine?
Yes, it is an indisputable fact that the Western camp is afraid of Russia's huge nuclear arsenal. However, neither Iran nor Hamas has nuclear weapons, and the Western camp directly sent troops to fight Iran and Hamas? In addition, Afghanistan does not have nuclear weapons, and the US military has not withdrawn from Afghanistan in ashes? The fundamental reason is that the politicians of the Western camp countries are not more intelligent and courageous than some self-media people on the Chinese Simplified Chinese network. They have to take into account their national interests when dealing with any major issue, and they can't do it to everyone's satisfaction.
Now let me briefly compare the difference between the Western camp's support for Israel and Ukraine.
1. In terms of diplomatic and public opinion support, after Hamas's large-scale attack on Israel with the support of Iran on October 7 last year, the governments and mainstream media of the vast majority of Western countries were sympathetic and supportive of Israel at first, but with the large number of civilian casualties caused by Israel's military actions, the vast majority of Western countries, including the United States, openly turned against Israel and believed that Israel must restrain its military actions. So far, only the British are still openly supporting Israel. I am not mistaken, the countries that openly support Israel in continuing its military operations are currently left with the United Kingdom. Correspondingly, almost all countries in the Western camp, including the United States, whether they are governments or mainstream public opinion, have so far publicly supported Ukraine's restoration of national sovereignty and territorial integrity.
2. In terms of military deterrence, after the outbreak of the Kazakh-Israeli conflict, the United States and Britain quickly dispatched additional naval and air forces to the Middle East to warn Iran and other countries threatening Israel not to act rashly; at the same time, Britain and the United States made it clear that they would not send troops into Israel to participate in the war. In contrast, after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, NATO member states led by the United States also immediately dispatched powerful land, sea and air forces to the surrounding areas of Ukraine, both in terms of the scale of the deployment of troops and the number of countries involved in the increase in troops, more than 10 times that of Britain and the United States in the Middle East after the Kazakh-Israeli war! Yes, I emphasize, it is more than 10 times.
(Western support for Ukraine far exceeds solidarity with Israel)
3. In terms of military, economic and humanitarian assistance, I will cite some data to speak. The vast majority of Chinese people like to pat their heads and draw conclusions based on their feelings, and I like to look at the data to speak. After the outbreak of the Kazakh-Israeli war, the United States gave Israel $4.5 billion in emergency military aid, and since then, it has sold about $6 billion in arms to Israel. I have not seen any information on military, economic or humanitarian assistance provided to Israel by other countries, while countries around the world have provided some $2 billion in humanitarian assistance to Palestinian refugees. Since the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the United States has provided more than $78 billion in military aid, more than $20 billion in economic assistance, and more than $1 billion in humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. The Western camp has set up a coordination group for a military alliance of 54 countries to aid Ukraine, and has also set up more than 10 sub-professional alliances to aid Ukraine, and the defense ministers of these countries hold an online or offline coordination meeting on arms and ammunition to aid Ukraine once a month. In addition to the United States, other countries and international organizations have provided Ukraine with more than $50 billion in military aid, more than $60 billion in economic aid and more than $5 billion in humanitarian aid. For example, Japan has provided more than $12 billion in economic and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine, and South Korea has provided $2.3 billion in economic and humanitarian assistance to Ukraine. Even China has provided millions of dollars in humanitarian aid to Ukraine.
To sum up, it can be said unceremoniously that in any way, the support of other countries in the Western camp for Israel is very limited, except for the United Kingdom, and only the United States has provided military aid to Israel, and the United States and Israel are currently deeply divided on Israel's continued military action, and have almost openly turned their faces. In contrast, the entire Western camp, with the exception of Hungary and a very few other countries, is sparing no effort to support Ukraine, and is even ready to continue to support Ukraine even if Trump takes office and the United States stops aiding Ukraine. For example, since the beginning of this year, Ukraine has signed a 10-year bilateral security agreement with 10 countries, including the United Kingdom, Germany, France, Denmark, Canada, Italy, the Netherlands, Finland, Latvia and Norway, and more countries will sign it in the future, and these countries have legally pledged to continue to expand military aid to Ukraine until Ukraine restores its national sovereignty and territorial integrity.
To compare Israel with Ukraine and to say that Israel is protected by the Western camp as a core ally, while Ukraine is abandoned by the Western camp, is simply to ignore the facts, turn black and white upside down, and make false statements.
(Many countries continue to expand military aid to Ukraine)
There are also many people who are dissatisfied with my article yesterday, saying that Reagan, who is also a Republican president, was very tough on the Soviet Union and even brought down the Soviet Union. There are a lot of such comments, and they are very reasonable. I'm going to make a special response today.
After reading so many such messages, I couldn't help but vomit blood! Of course, as I stated earlier, I won't curse. I just want to make two points to explain: First, I made it clear yesterday and in my previous articles that the two parties in the United States have been in dispute for a long time, and in the past, consensus was reached through mutual compromise, and the United States could not be viewed with a black and white, life-and-death China mentality; second, the times are changing, and with the emergence of extreme political figures like Trump, American society has rapidly turned to the right, and the two parties have become increasingly bitter and antagonistic, and now the Republican Party is even hijacking diplomacy with internal affairs.
In more plain language, although the Republican Party and its supporters advocate that the United States sweep up the snow and live its own life, the enemy comes to the door or threatens the global interests and national security of the United States, and the Republicans will pursue a hardline line in order to defend their own interests. During the Reagan era, the United States and the Soviet Union competed for global hegemony, and the Soviet Union even deployed a large number of missiles and nuclear weapons in Cuba, the backyard of the United States. This has already involved the life and death of the United States, and naturally, the mainstream public opinion in the United States is to fight the Soviet Union to the end.
Today's Russia really does not pose the same threat to the United States as it once was, and Russia even has a constitution that is similar to the United States and follows the evil path of the West, which is fundamentally different from the Soviet Union, and the mainstream public opinion in the United States has undergone tremendous changes compared with that year - pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian people do not recognize this hard fact, and the vast majority of Chinese people only like to listen to false information that suits their own tastes, and are accustomed to seeing the world with black and white thinking.
If some people can't understand my above paragraph, there is an easier way to prove my previous article wrong, which is to wake Reagan from his grave and run for president of the United States again, and at the same time resurrect the Soviet Union and directly compete with the United States for global hegemony, and then replace all these current die-hard supporters of the Republican Party with the Americans of the Reagan era.
(The world is like a chess game, how can you carve a boat for a sword)
By the way, I will also talk about the "big chess theory" that "Hwacheon fans" often talk about, that is, Trump believes that Ukraine should cede land and seek peace, and the United States should not aid Ukraine, but in fact he is playing a big game of chess, such as spending his main energy on dealing with a bigger enemy.
I've always hated this kind of "big chess theory", but I still have to resist saying anything too ugly. To put it seriously, I think any "big chess theory" is a fool's dream, which belongs to the Internet saying that "mentally ill people have a wide range of thinking, and mentally handicapped children have a lot of joy".
Recently, there have been many other bizarre comments, such as why Germany has 12 "Patriot" air defense systems, why only 2 sets and not all of them? France sent a Foreign Legion to Ukraine (this is fake news), why have other Western countries not sent troops? I will not respond to all such messages.
When the article was written here, I felt very panicked, feeling that it was meaningless to tell the truth, and it was particularly offensive to people, and the way it was written now basically offended pro-Russian and pro-Ukrainian people, and it also made neutral people feel unhappy, because this is not the "truth" they want, and it can't resonate with them.
In other words, in an environment that rejects the truth, I keep telling everyone the truth, telling the truth that makes everyone unhappy, and in fact isolating myself from my own readers. Because I don't want my conscience to be disturbed, I still don't want to accommodate this impetuous era after all.
(Ukrainian air defense system intercepts incoming missiles)
Norway is about to deliver F-16 fighter jets to Ukraine, Norwegian Foreign Minister Espen Barter Eide said at a joint briefing with Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba in Kyiv on April 15.
I insist on my previous judgment that F-16 fighters will appear on the battlefield in Ukraine as soon as June. Denmark, Norway and the Netherlands have pledged to send the first batch of 65 fighter jets to Ukraine, which has been licensed by the United States, and Belgium, Greece and other countries have pledged to provide Ukraine with more F-16 fighters.
Both Russian and Ukrainian media have recently been discussing the impact of the United States' cessation of military aid to Ukraine. The Russian media were overjoyed, and I will not relay their comments. I relay the opinion of some Ukrainian military on this issue.
Lieutenant General Budanov, head of Ukraine's military intelligence agency, said on April 14 that the Ukrainian army is preparing to repel a major offensive expected by the Russian army in late May or early June and will face a "catastrophic dilemma" without Western military assistance. Ukrainian Defense Minister Umerov said on the same day that the current situation in eastern Ukraine is "tense", and the Russian army is concentrating its efforts on the direction of Chasif Yar, west of Bakhmut, and urgently needs modern advanced equipment and technical support from Western allies.
The latest news shows that for the Chasiv Yar region, which has been fiercely attacked by the Russian army recently, the Ukrainian army has sent an additional brigade to strengthen the defense.
(The Ukrainian army galloped to the aid of Chasiv Yar)
A spokesman for the Eastern Ukrainian Theater said on April 15 that the Ukrainian army had to save artillery shells in the Bakhmut and Avdiivka directions, and the Russian army could only use 1 to 5 shells for every 10 shells fired by the Ukrainian army.
In recent months, the Russian army has fired an average of about 20,000 shells per day, killing about 100 Ukrainian soldiers, that is, an average of 200 shells killing 1 Ukrainian soldier, and the Ukrainian army has fired about 6,000 shells per day, killing about 500 Russian troops, with an average of 12 shells killing 1 Russian soldier, and the difference in efficiency between the two is 17 times. There are three main reasons for this huge gap: first, the Ukrainian army is mainly defending the main attack of the Russian army, and the attacking side is more likely to fall into the opponent's firepower network and suffer greater losses; second, the Ukrainian army has a stronger battlefield situational awareness and long-range precision strike capability; third, the number of drones launched by the Ukrainian army on the front line is more than 20 times that of the Russian army, which makes up for the lack of artillery fire to a certain extent.
Taking into account all the circumstances, I do not believe that the Russian army has an overwhelming artillery superiority over the Ukrainian army. Intensive artillery fire is important, but there is no need to exaggerate the gap between Russia and Ukraine. In fact, the Ukrainian army's superiority in battlefield situational awareness and long-range precision strike capabilities has not only not shrunk, but has been continuously expanding. Of course, in order to get more military assistance from allies, it is not too much to say that the difficult situation faced by the Ukrainian army, no matter how serious, is just a bystander who objectively judges this war, and cannot bring himself into the ditch because of the propaganda war between Russia and Ukraine.
Over the past 24 hours, there have been 100 battles on the lines of contact between the two sides, the most intense battles taking place around Bakhmut, especially in the direction of Chasif Yar.
On the 783rd day of the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the Ukrainian General Staff announced that the battle losses of the Russian army (including Russian localities, enterprises, and separatist groups) in the past 24 hours were as follows: 920 Russian troops were annihilated (killed and seriously wounded), and a total of 455,300 Russian troops were annihilated; Destroyed 9 tanks, 13 armored vehicles, 1 air defense system, 53 fuel tankers and logistics heavy-duty vehicles, 16 artillery pieces, and intercepted 11 suicide drones.
(The battle losses of the Russian army counted by the Ukrainian side on April 16)
Based on various information, I roughly estimated that the losses of Ukrainian officers and soldiers were about 94,000, of which the number of dead and seriously injured was also 1:1, and more than 20,000 Ukrainian civilians were killed. The warriors of Ukraine who died defending their homeland will return to heaven with glory and be with God.
Let us continue to pray that God will give peace and put an end to wars, that the wicked may be rewarded and the good be sheltered.
Information source: 2024-04-16 WeChat official account Visionary Way
ID:yjzd-303
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