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4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

author:Brother Kunpeng V

Guide:

The number of industries with a downward trend has increased, and the hot spots are concentrated in resource stocks and some high-dividend varieties, and there is still great uncertainty in the market in the short term, so it is necessary to prepare for it in advance.

Text: Brother Kunpeng

Last week, the number of industries/concepts in the downward trend of the two markets continued to increase, and the current market hotspots are concentrated in non-ferrous metals, coal and other resource stocks and some high-dividend varieties, the number of industries/concepts dragging down the market is increasing, and the number of industries/concepts contributing to the market is decreasing, and the imbalance between the two forces has led to a downward shift in the center of gravity of the index.

4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

Trend type distribution chart

This week is a crucial week, from last week's index operation state, the market is in a weak state, the loss effect is larger, but investor sentiment has not yet reached a state of panic, the fear index of the major broad-based indices are at a low level, that is, investors have not paid attention to the weak operation of the market and the increase in the loss effect. The operation of the panic index has a certain regularity, and only when the index fluctuates greatly, the panic index will rise, and this week we need to beware of the increase in the panic index caused by the increase in index volatility.

4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

CSI 300VIX

4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

CSI 1000VIX

The current market hotspots are concentrated in the resource variety industries stimulated by geopolitical conflicts, global interest rate cut expectations and trading convergence behavior, which may be more volatile this week, and the reason for the increased volatility is mainly caused by overheated trading, and geopolitical conflicts are still positive catalysts.

High-dividend stocks are still a relatively stable market main line, which is relatively less volatile, because its internal logic is the beneficiary of the interest rate cut cycle and high-quality development pattern, compared with the event-driven stimulated theme investment varieties have a more long-term logic, and the participants are mostly institutions, while the participants of the event-driven theme are mostly floating capital and retail investors, so the duration of high-dividend varieties is longer and less volatile.

The "National Nine Articles" introduced last week are good for the market in the long run, and the short-term market will still operate at its own pace.

Have a long-term vision, but still have to do well in the present.

Text: Brother Kunpeng

Last week, the number of industries/concepts in the downward trend of the two markets continued to increase, and the current market hotspots are concentrated in non-ferrous metals, coal and other resource stocks and some high-dividend varieties, the number of industries/concepts dragging down the market is increasing, and the number of industries/concepts contributing to the market is decreasing, and the imbalance between the two forces has led to a downward shift in the center of gravity of the index.

4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

Trend type distribution chart

This week is a crucial week, from last week's index operation state, the market is in a weak state, the loss effect is larger, but investor sentiment has not yet reached a state of panic, the fear index of the major broad-based indices are at a low level, that is, investors have not paid attention to the weak operation of the market and the increase in the loss effect. The operation of the panic index has a certain regularity, and only when the index fluctuates greatly, the panic index will rise, and this week we need to beware of the increase in the panic index caused by the increase in index volatility.

4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

CSI 300VIX

4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

CSI 1000VIX

The current market hotspots are concentrated in the resource variety industries stimulated by geopolitical conflicts, global interest rate cut expectations and trading convergence behavior, which may be more volatile this week, and the reason for the increased volatility is mainly caused by overheated trading, and geopolitical conflicts are still positive catalysts.

High-dividend stocks are still a relatively stable market main line, which is relatively less volatile, because its internal logic is the beneficiary of the interest rate cut cycle and high-quality development pattern, compared with the event-driven stimulated theme investment varieties have a more long-term logic, and the participants are mostly institutions, while the participants of the event-driven theme are mostly floating capital and retail investors, so the duration of high-dividend varieties is longer and less volatile.

The "National Nine Articles" introduced last week are good for the market in the long run, and the short-term market will still operate at its own pace.

Have a long-term vision, but still have to do well in the present.

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4.15 Uncertainty is still high, so be prepared in advance

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