Compared to the previous regular season finale, this year's end was very lively. On the western side, you can't be sure of the final place of 7-10 until the last minute. On the Eastern side, in addition to the Celtics, the second-place Bucks to the eighth-place Heat only have 4 wins, and the variables still exist. Of course, there are also teams that have quietly risen. The defending champion Nuggets, who avoided the Thunder and Timberwolves at the beginning of the season, have been following closely behind, and in the second half of the season, they relied on a wave of consecutive wins to win the first place in the West.
There's a very funny saying, you're saying that the Lakers have to go through two play-off games and fight their opponents to the death before they can qualify to be ravaged by the Denver Nuggets. Although it is a bit ugly, this is the reality, if the Lakers make a wrong step, they are basically not even qualified to meet with the teacher. The teams in the West, the Warriors, the Kings, the Suns, the Lakers, and Zhan Ku can't make the playoffs, and the newcomers and veterans quit the rivers and lakes, which is also a reincarnation.
It is very difficult for the Lakers to make it to the top eight. This involves a math problem, and our fans are very proficient in arithmetic since watching the Chinese men's basketball team and Chinese football. Especially the math problems that rely on other people's faces to eat are also very slippery. The Lakers currently only hope that the Warriors will lose next, and the Suns will beat the Kings and win two in a row. In this case, it is only the best fantasy to barely make it to eighth place.
If you say, the Suns lost 2 in a row. It's about to come to a wonderful part, and the record of the four teams may all come to 47-35, which depends on the number of wins and losses in the competition. According to the results of previous meetings, the Kings, Suns, Warriors and Lakers. The Lakers have the worst record here, and they can't even get home-court advantage.
In the East, the Celtics have locked up the first place in the regular season. The additions of Porzingis and Holiday have helped Stevens build a galaxy battleship, but judging by recent games, the Celtics are not without weaknesses. Anyway, there are still many teams that can defeat him.
Let's take a look at a set of data first, according to BR media modeling, the probability of the Celtics winning the Eastern Conference championship is as high as 77.3%, and the probability of winning the championship is 62.2%. Although it is somewhat incredible, from their starting five Tigers, you will find that it is indeed the most luxurious in the league. Zhu Ge + White + Brown + Tatum + Porzingis, Zhu Ge and White's offense and defense are first-class, White is even the man with the highest plus/minus in the league, and the offense of Shuangtanhua is needless to say, Porzingis is the existence of the white jade pillar of the sky.
The combined starting averages are 98 points per game, and with sharpshooters Hauser, Pritchard, Horford and Keta on the bench, the depth of the lineup is terrifying. But basketball isn't a simple math problem, and they've made mistakes in the regular season. For example, losing to the Lakers without Zhan Mei, being beaten by the Clippers in the third quarter, being beaten down by the defending champion Nuggets, etc.
Recently, it was even reversed by the Hawks by 30 points, and then Murray beat the Bucks, who lacked the Bucks, and finally lost by 13 points. Against the Knicks, with all players playing, they trailed by up to 31 points. If it weren't for Thibodeau's face, the last subs were sent to the end, so that the Green Army could recover some points, I am afraid that the loss would be very ugly. Although the Celtics are strong, Tatum can't play key shots, so it's hard to win the championship.