Sometimes I really "admire" the level of some domestic experts, who can always make predictions contrary to the general trend in the world.
In the real estate market, stock market, bond market, and gold market, it is not difficult to make a wrong prediction once, but it is difficult to make a wrong prediction every time. Such a "level" may be available only to our specialists.
This time, it was the price of gold that slapped in the face.
As we all know, gold prices came out of a wave of eight consecutive rises last month, soaring from more than 490 to 550. Some experts smelled the smell of traffic and immediately encouraged the people to buy gold in the media, and predicted that the gold price was likely to exceed 1,000 yuan!
They spread anxiety everywhere, as if if they didn't buy gold today, just as they didn't buy a house in 2008 or stocks in 2014, they would miss out on a chance to get rich.
But the lesson of blood again and again tells us: once the experts come out and sing too much, we ordinary people should quit. Because the people behind them want to cut leeks.
Unexpectedly, as soon as the experts finished blowing in the morning, "bad news" came from the United States in the afternoon: The international gold price fell! Gold fell by $23 per ounce.
The speed of the slap in the face is beyond imagination.
Let's take a look at the ugliness of certain experts:
A vice president of a financial institute said that "gold has been rising" has become an industry consensus.
A banker said that paper gold has more investment value than spot gold.
A financial big V claimed that "the logic of gold's surge is very clear".
中金、招行、瑞银也“集体看涨”。
Are the keywords of "industry consensus", "clear logic" and "collective bullishness" a little familiar? Yes, they also boasted about the property market and the stock market back then. The words are all the same, just a different subject.
Let's review how experts have blown about the property market and stock market in recent years:
A certain stock commented on the big V every day about "baby bottom" and "smelling the fragrance of calves". Oh, everyone has also seen the performance of Big A, there is no bottom.
A certain real estate speculator took a group of middle-class people to Cambodia to pick up leaks, but was chased and beaten by the landlord and threatened: See you once in the future.
A patriotic big V predicts that the U.S. debt will collapse soon, because the indiscriminate issuance of the dollar has lost its credibility, the world is selling the dollar, and the collapse of the United States is imminent. Then the central mother continued to increase her holdings of U.S. bonds.
Musk has a wonderful description of these experts, saying: "The so-called experts are people who refuse to accept new things. Most of the experts' research is useless, and their papers are a pile of waste paper. ”
He also sarcastically stated: "It's easy to become an expert, just have a mouth." ”
In fact, there are interest groups behind these experts.
For example, when Xu Tie was in the limelight, he hired economist Ren Zeping with an annual salary of 20 million yuan, and asked him to write various research reports that are beneficial to the property market and send them to major media to create artificial prosperity.
In 2017, the inflection point of the property market was already obvious, and Ren Zeping felt that he couldn't make it up, so he proposed to Xu Belting to stop expanding and reserve some cash.
As a result, Xu Belt's secretary warned him: Don't go against the grain in the future! Your task is to prove your boss's point of view through theoretical research! If the boss says it will rise, it will rise!
There are too many people like Xu Tie and Ren Zeping in our market, who distort normal market information and mislead the people.
How many experts are still willing to tell the truth under the control of big capital?
Very rare. Even if it is said, no media is willing to publicize it......
In recent years, real estate companies have run out of money, experts have lost their jobs, and they urgently need to find someone to support them.
Now, gold has risen sharply, and there is another opportunity to be "raised" again, of course, they have to actively promote and work hard to perform.
It's a pity that they forgot that gold is not real estate and cannot artificially create prosperity. The pricing power of the international gold price rests with the Americans.
Finally, I would like to share a little experience with fans: In this era full of fake experts, ordinary people must have the ability to think backwards. Whatever the experts say, we just do the opposite.
Experts let us buy gold, we go to buy houses, experts let us buy houses, we go to buy stocks, experts let us go into A-shares, we go to US stocks.
If you do the opposite, you may not be able to make a fortune, but you will definitely not lose money. After all, it is not easy for everyone to save some money, and capital preservation always comes first. Getting rich overnight is enviable, but for the vast majority of ordinary people, peace and making a little money is the king.
Author: 9527