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A pro-cyclical start, or a high?

author:Financial King Dana

The recent A-share market, in the process of upward, there is obviously a sector that is getting the attention of the market, which is the pro-cyclical sector, and the characteristics of the market are that while getting attention, it also means that it itself has risen already, so is the pro-cyclical start, or a high position?

A pro-cyclical start, or a high?

Let's take a look at the next week's K-line trend, last week's main three trading days, Monday closed with the yang line, the next two days are doji, the position of 3070 is a more obvious resistance level, and in this round of adjustment, 3000 points is an obvious support level, the next development of the market, obviously how to break through the 3070 threshold, the recent period, the start of the pro-cyclical plate, may be at a critical moment when the choice of tackling key problems.

Speaking of pro-cyclical, the most obvious before was gold and copper, and then aluminum futures also achieved a breakthrough, and chemical, steel, power and other sectors also had excellent performance last week.

It is particularly important to say here that during the long holiday, the non-farm payrolls data released by the United States exceeded expectations, reducing the need for interest rate cuts, affected by this, the U.S. stock market pulled back on Thursday night, and the dollar index was also on the upward trend. In this case, pro-cyclical sectors are likely to continue to be sought after.

Here is a very interesting topic about whether the pro-cyclical sector, especially the non-ferrous sector, has just started, or whether the cumulative increase is too large.

In fact, when we first chose a specific colored plate, our attention was focused on aluminum. The reason is very simple, first of all, the price of gold and copper has risen up, the concept of related stocks, is also a relatively high position, at this time relatively speaking, that is, the price of aluminum, has not yet started, but in the process of preparing to go, the same concept of aluminum stocks, is also a very beautiful form, and then even broke through in advance, so from the perspective of trading, although we advocate a new high, but if the cumulative increase in the stage is too large, whether there is a similar variety just started, is the strategy we choose.

A pro-cyclical start, or a high?

In addition, the news about chips over the weekend is still continuous, mainly because the United States pressured the Netherlands to continue to implement chip restrictions. So whether to ambush into the chip in advance, you can think for yourself.

Simulate the concept of non-ferrous plates in the part of the position.

Back to the market, the international situation continues to be complicated changes, so that the market has more uncertainty, although it is also a pro-cyclical catalyst, but we also need to pay attention to the short-term is a certain increase, according to our point of view, try not to intervene when the short-term selling pressure is heavier, and the pullback is also a good opportunity.

At present, AI-related is still in the consolidation form, and for their intervention, try to find the target before the key breakthrough position when they get out of the consolidation form, which is what needs to be done to review in advance.

Finally, the old saying:

Double.

A pro-cyclical start, or a high?

- The above content does not constitute any investment advice. The stock market is risky, and you need to be cautious when entering the market.

——— Finance Wang Dana, more investment thinking and logical analysis, welcome to pay attention!