Due to the Qingming holiday, A-shares are closed, today is the first day of the holiday, and the securities market ushered in 2 positive and 1 negative news, which will inevitably make the trend of A-shares after the holiday variable.
In order to go deeper into the three news of the small long holiday, and better predict the variables brought by the A-share market after the holiday, the following rhythm will be explained and analyzed.
Bearish 1: The Fed's interest rate cuts are slowing down
According to sources, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said that policymakers will wait for clearer signs of declining inflation before considering cutting interest rates.
It means that when the US inflation data falls to 2%, we will consider cutting interest rates, and it is still too early to cut interest rates! This means that the Fed's interest rate cut will continue to be postponed, and this news will bring certain negative pressure on global currencies and directly bearish on global currencies and financial markets.
Good 1: The China Securities Regulatory Commission punished those who manipulated stock prices
The China Securities Regulatory Commission issued an administrative penalty decision, which shows that from December 15, 2020 to November 17, 2021, Wang Bin controlled 87 accounts to manipulate Dianguang Technology, making a total profit of 90.2751 million yuan.
Due to Wang Bin's manipulation of stock prices, the China Securities Regulatory Commission decided to confiscate Wang Bin's illegal gains of 90.2751 million yuan and impose a fine of 181 million yuan. The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has punished those who manipulate stock prices, which is to rectify the lawbreakers in the stock market, so that the securities market can grow better and healthily.
Good 2: Asia-Pacific stock markets rose collectively
On the first day of the A-share holiday, the Asia-Pacific stock market rose collectively, especially the Nikkei stock market maintained a high volume rise, directly opened sharply higher and fluctuated upward, with an intraday increase of as much as 2 percent; in addition to the Japanese stock market, the South Korean stock market, Indonesia, Pakistan and other countries' stock markets rose to varying degrees; with the collective rise of the Asia-Pacific stock market, if it can be maintained, it will inevitably have a positive effect on stimulating the rise of A shares after the holiday.
Will there be variables in the A-share market after the holiday?
The above has analyzed and summarized the three major news on the first day of the holiday, and the real impact on the post-holiday A-share market is that the Fed's interest rate cut is slowing down, which is directly bearish for A-shares after the holiday.
Before the holiday, A-shares staged a market of "protecting the index and falling individual stocks" on two trading days, showing a general decline in the market, and the bears are getting stronger and stronger, and it seems that they have sent a signal to change the market.
The so-called variables are worried that A-shares will change with the help of negative benefits, and there will be big ups and downs; according to the current position of A-shares, if A-shares are really variable after the holiday, it will definitely change downward.
The reason is that A-shares have a phased pullback demand, you must know that this round of A-shares has risen for two months, and it is time to come to a wave of phased adjustments to release the accumulated selling pressure.
In short, in order to avoid the variable trend of A-shares after the holiday, investors must do a good job of risk prevention and control in advance, pay attention to the trend after the holiday, and then formulate an operation plan according to the actual trend, decide whether to increase or reduce positions, and follow the trend and follow the trend.