Today, A-shares withdrew a "3,000-point defense battle"

On March 26, the market rebounded throughout the day, with the three major indexes all rising slightly. At the close, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.17%, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 0.28%, and the ChiNext Index rose 0.44%.

In terms of sectors, Xiaomi automobiles, solid-state batteries, real estate, nuclear pollution prevention and control and other sectors were among the top gainers, while Sora concept, multimodal, data elements, mobile games and other sectors were among the top decliners.

Overall, the number of rising and falling stocks is similar. The turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets today was 956 billion, a decrease of 87.5 billion from the previous trading day, and the turnover fell below one trillion.

Northbound funds bought a net of 4.725 billion yuan throughout the day, including a net purchase of 2.252 billion yuan in Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and a net purchase of 2.473 billion yuan in Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect.

After several consecutive days of adjustment, the rebound of A-shares has seen a relatively obvious stagnation.

Yesterday, the major stock indexes fell below the 20-day line, and today the Shanghai Composite Index hit a minimum of 3006.26, approaching the 3000-point mark again after nearly a month.

However, under the strong leadership of the new energy track, especially the lithium battery industry chain, the index has pulled back a lot at the end of the market.

On the news side, Zeng Yuqun, chairman of CATL, said in an interview that CATL and Tesla are cooperating to develop batteries with faster charging speeds. In addition, the upcoming official release of Xiaomi cars has also driven the market's attention to the sector.

Recall that last Tuesday and Thursday, Muslims touched 3090.05 points twice, and it seems that 3100 points is just one step away.

Recall that a month ago (February 23 to February 29), the Shanghai Composite Index repeatedly oscillated around 3,000 points, and finally successfully broke through, which made the lively market in the past few weeks.

I can't help but sigh that the market is really one cycle after another, and the ebb and flow is nothing.

Although today's 3,000-point defense battle was "withdrawn" by the market, will the alarm sound again in the next few days of this week?

On the one hand, there is no need to panic too much.

A decline is nothing more than a process of finding support downwards until the rally becomes the consensus of the market again.

Graphically, at present, both the Shanghai Composite Index and Wind All A, which reflect the whole picture of the market, are close to the lower edge of the box during the consolidation period a month ago.

Although it cannot be asserted that the decline will be stopped, the strength of the intraday decline in the next few days should be stronger than the previous few trading days - just like the V in the afternoon today, the long lower shadow will bring a certain sense of security.

However, objectively speaking, near the end of the month, the market capital is under pressure. Moreover, the end of March is superimposed on the end of the month and the end of the quarter, and the willingness to withdraw funds is generally stronger.

So there are 3 trading days left this week, and everyone can "see more and move less".

As for the strength of the return of funds from early April from next week, it is too early to guess.

On the other hand, we also have to look back: which sectors are mainly falling in the adjustment in the past few days?

Taking the 76 sectors divided by the Straight Flush Industry Index as an example, as of today's close, only 11 sectors closed up in the past five trading days, and 65 sectors closed down.

In the past few days, the most resilient sectors are banking, aquaculture, media and real estate.

On the falling side, it can be said that the mud and sand are falling, which confirms that there are signs of retreat of funds.

Among the 406 sectors divided by concept plates, only 21 sectors closed up in the past five trading days, and the other 385 sectors closed down.

The leading gainers are the ones that are the most hyped: copper cables, Xiaomi cars, flying cars, etc.

Judging from today's close, concepts close to the new energy sector will be more popular, such as Xiaomi cars, sodium-ion batteries, etc., which are related to the latest news stimulus.

The outstanding decline was also a popular theme, but it is now a little "outdated".

Combined with the performance of major indices, we can roughly sketch the portrait of the "main force of decline" in the near future -

There are stocks in various industry sectors, with large turnover, relatively heavy fund positions, and small and medium-sized caps.

According to this understanding, the high-dividend assets corresponding to the dividend index should be a good hedging direction - we also thought so in yesterday's push.

But today, the dividend index unexpectedly weakened, which is worth analyzing separately.

According to media reports, the biggest variable affecting the market in early trading came from a stock in Hong Kong stocks: Zhejiang Huhangyong. The stock once extended its decline to 18% in early trading, and the trading volume quickly exceeded HK$100 million. The subsequent decline has narrowed, and the trading volume has not been significantly amplified.

The stock belongs to the highway sector, and the overall stock price has risen steadily since December last year. The company has maintained a high dividend rhythm in recent years.

Some market participants believe that the sudden decline may be related to the decline in the company's dividend per share announced in last night's earnings. In the past three years, the company's dividend per share has been above HK$0.4, but this year's dividend per share suddenly fell to HK$0.35, down nearly 15% from last year, and this level is also the lowest level in the past decade.

To a certain extent, the performance of the stock also deviated from the A-share dividend assets with a market value of nearly 10 trillion yuan, and the dividend ETF once fell nearly 1% in early trading. Dividend assets in Hong Kong stocks have also taken a hit, with the Hang Seng Dividend ETF significantly weaker than the market today.

The weakening of these two types of assets has caused a wave of impact on the market as a whole. High-dividend stocks such as PetroChina, China Shenhua, and Yangtze River Power have dragged down the market.

According to some analysts, the current dividend sector is in the stage of rotation diffusion to digest the high congestion brought about by the continuous rise since the beginning of the year.

The Great Wall Securities Research Report pointed out that the reasons for the adjustment of the dividend strategy since late February are:

(1) Market risk appetite has increased, and the phenomenon of dividend huddles has been alleviated: Before the Spring Festival, the proportion of CSI dividend turnover in A-share trading volume increased, reflecting the phenomenon of capital huddles in the dividend sector. After the Spring Festival, the overall risk appetite of the market increased, the main indices of the market rebounded, and the trading volume of A-shares rebounded significantly. In addition, the monetary, fiscal, industrial, financial market and other policy expectations before and after the two sessions, as well as some economic data in January and February exceeded expectations, which further boosted the overall risk appetite of the market and alleviated the phenomenon of dividend sector grouping.

(2) The technology sector continues to strengthen under multiple catalysis: events such as the landing of the AI video model Sora have once again triggered the development of the AI industry chain. Judging from the performance of A-shares, the upstream hardware and downstream applications of the AI industry are relatively more dominant. Before and after the two sessions, the relevant policies of "new quality productivity" continued to be rolled out and implemented. After the Spring Festival, the growth sector represented by AI and related themes led the stock market, and some market funds may turn to the growth sector, which in turn will further reduce the proportion of the dividend sector in the total market.

(3) The coal sector has been adjusted since the end of February: the weight of the coal sector in the CSI Dividend Index has increased steadily. Since the end of February 2024, the coal sector has adjusted, mainly due to the fact that as the weather warms up, the heating season gradually ends, coal demand enters the off-season, coupled with relatively high inventories, the overall demand has weakened, and coal prices have been adjusted.

However, the decline in the high-yield sector may also be an opportunity. Shen Wan Hongyuan said that he reiterated the judgment of the return of the high dividend style in April. During the April verification period, in the case of limited fundamental elasticity of demand, supply, overseas and technological innovation, the sustainable direction of fundamental improvement is relatively scarce, and it is the direction to find opportunities for valuation revaluation from steady-state high dividends and dynamic high dividends.

Investments are risky, and independent judgment is important

This article is for reference only and does not constitute a basis for trading, and you enter the market at your own risk.

Every reporter Zhao Yun and every editor Ye Feng

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body[data-weui-mode=care]:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .85);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .65);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .35);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .. 15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;-- weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);-weui-tag-background-red: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, ..) 1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .. 1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .) 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){-appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]).my_comment_empty_data{background-color:#111}}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-6: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.., wx-root{--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0, 0, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, .1);-- weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}body,.wx-root{--weui-BG-0: #ededed;--weui-BG-1: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-2: #fff;--weui-BG-3: #f7f7f7;--weui-BG-4: #4c4c4c;--weui-BG-5: #fff;--weui-FG-0: rgba(0, 0, 0, .. 9);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(0, 0, 0, .9);--weui-FG-1: rgba(0, 0, 0, .55);--weui-FG-2: rgba(0, 0, 0, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(0, 0, 0, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-YELLOW: #ffc300;--weui-GREEN: #91d300;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #95ec69;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1485ee;--weui-PURPLE: #6467f0;--weui-WHITE: #fff;;--weui-LINK: #576b95;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #06ae56;--weui-FG: #000;--weui-BG: #fff;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: #fa9d3b;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: #06ae56;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .. 5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .05)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: #e6e6e6}.wx-root,body{--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(0, 0, 0, .1)}.wx-root,body{--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: #ececec}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BTN-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, .1)}} @media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BTN-DEFAULT-ACTIVE-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .126)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-DIALOG-LINE-COLOR: rgba(255, 255, .1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--APPMSGCARD-BG: #1E1E1E}}@media( prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--APPMSGCARD-LINE-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .07)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-COLOR-ACTIVE: #373737}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-6: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-ACTIVE-MASK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-REDORANGE: #ff6146;--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6); --weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .) 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme: dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--discussInput-BG: rgba(255, 255, 255, .03)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--nickName-FG: #959595}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .. 6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}

div.autoTypeSetting24psection > p,div.autoTypeSetting24psection > section{margin-bottom: 24px;}