Hong Kong, suddenly reversed!

There is a first-tier city that is ushering in a reversal.

This is Hong Kong.

Recently, Hong Kong released its 2023 population data:

At the end of 2023, the provisional figure for Hong Kong's population was 7,503,100, an increase of 30,500 or 0.4% from the end of 2022.

Although the increase is not large, it is the second consecutive year of positive growth.

Moreover, this is the return of Hong Kong's population to 7.5 million after 2019!

Hong Kong's population is ushering in a reversal.

In 2019, Hong Kong's population reached a record peak of 7.52 million, but due to the impact of the pandemic and other events, Hong Kong's population decreased for two consecutive years in 2020/2021.

In two years, Hong Kong has lost 119,000 people.

However, it is not "a total of nearly 190,000 people for three consecutive years" as in the news!

Among them, there is a statistical bug.

Hong Kong's population statistics are conducted twice in the middle of the year and at the end of the year. At the end of the year, the first ones announced are "provisional figures".

For example, the provisional population figure for 2022 is 7,333,200, but by the time the 2023 data is released, the population at the end of 2022 has become 7,472,600.

According to provisional statistics, Hong Kong's population decreased by 68,200 at the end of 2022.

However, according to the revised figures, Hong Kong's population actually increased by 71,100 at the end of 2022.

Hong Kong's population data was released by subtracting the provisional figures from last year's revised figures, which caused the anxiety of "a total decrease of nearly 190,000 people for three consecutive years".

According to the revised data at the end of the year, Hong Kong's population only experienced negative growth in 2020/2021, and only decreased by 119,000 people.

In 2022/2023, Hong Kong's population has increased by another 100,000 people, and it is close to filling the hole of lost population.

Hong Kong's population is not as bad as imagined.

Population growth comes from two sources: natural growth + net migration inflow.

What Hong Kong needs to be wary of is the rapid decline in natural population growth.

In the eighties and nineties of the last century, with the rapid development of Hong Kong, the "Asian Tigers" became famous, and the population continued to grow, with an annual increase of around 50,000.

The turning point was 2020, when Hong Kong's population fell by 26,900, the first negative growth since 2004.

What is even more alarming is that

In 2020, the "death cross" of Hong Kong's population also appeared for the first time.

In 2020, there were 43,000 births and 50,700 deaths in Hong Kong, a natural decrease of 7,600.

As the number of births declines, the size of the natural decrease population gradually increases.

In 2021, there will be a natural decrease of 14,200 people;

In 2022, there will be a natural decrease of 29,500 people;

In 2023, there will be a natural decrease of 21,200 people.

The population commonality in East Asia is not left behind.

In 2022, Hong Kong's total fertility rate has slipped to 0.7, even lower than that of South Korea.

In terms of economy, Hong Kong is already the lowest in the world.

The decline in the number of births and the increase in net outflow have combined to lead to the decline in Hong Kong's population.

Fortunately, there will be 33,200 births in Hong Kong in 2023, an increase of 7,000 over 2022, showing signs of stopping the decline and rebounding.

If Hong Kong's overall population continues to grow, the number of births will continue to rise.

However, it is undeniable that the decline in the birth rate has become an unstoppable trend in East Asia.

The declining birthrate and aging population have deepened the anxiety of the population in various countries.

The same is true in Hong Kong.

We can only hope for the influx of foreign population.

And in the past two years,

Hong Kong's population growth is due to a massive net inflow of population.

In 2020, Hong Kong had a net outflow of 86,200 people, followed by a net outflow of 11,000 people in 2021, which became the main reason for the population decline.

Reversal, which appeared in 2022.

In 2022, there was a net outflow of 40,000 people.

However, at the end of the year, a net inflow of 100,000 people had been achieved.

At the end of 2023, Hong Kong had another 51,700 net inflows.

With the end of the epidemic control and the stability of the economy, those who have left Hong Kong are returning.

Migration is becoming the main force affecting Hong Kong's population.

Of the 51,700 net inflows, 48,000 were from Chinese mainland, accounting for 93%.

This is mainly due to Hong Kong's "talent grabbing plan".

At the end of 2022, Hong Kong launched the "Top Talent Pass Scheme", officially making a high-profile move.

Together with the most popular "Quality Migrant Scheme", there are as many as seven schemes to attract talents in Hong Kong.

Continue to increase efforts to grab people!

The results are also very impressive.

In 2023, Hong Kong received over 220,000 applications for the Talent Admission Scheme.

Among them, 135,000 have been approved, and the number of inbound talents has reached 90,000.

Among them, there were more than 60,000 applications under the TTPS, and 51,000 were approved, with an approval rate of 85%.

Hong Kong's identity suddenly exploded.

In addition to some advantages of job opportunities, tax incentives and convenient visas, education has become the most important advantage for middle-class parents in the mainland.

If you pass the joint examination or DSE exam for overseas Chinese students, you can go to 211/985 or even Qingbei;

Five of the eight universities in Hong Kong are among the world's top 100, and local students have an advantage;

International schools are far ahead of the IB full score, and they have a better chance of winning on the international track.

It can be said that "if you advance, you can attack Europe and the United States, and if you retreat, you can defend the mainland."

After 7 years of getting the Hong Kong identity, you can also choose to live in Hong Kong permanently and get a more fragrant Hong Kong passport.

Hong Kong's role as a bridge can be brought into full play directly.

Originally, Hong Kong had set a goal of attracting 105,000 people in three years.

In just one year, we are close to completing the three-year goal, far exceeding the plan.

2024 will be the most critical year.

If Hong Kong's population declines, the talent introduction programme will continue.

If Hong Kong's population continues to grow, the threshold for talent schemes will certainly be raised. In particular, 2024 is the last year for the QMAS to liberalize quotas.

The window period, I'm afraid it won't be too long.

If you are how to qualify, you still have to grab a spot as soon as possible!

Which talent program do I qualify for?

What is the difference between the talent programs?

How do I apply for the Talent Program?

What are the best advantages of Hong Kong identity?

……

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