Many people may think that it is surprising that Israel has already stormed Rafah, the last large town in Gaza!
A few days ago, wasn't it still saying that Hamas was fighting Israel and retreating, one time it was a miracle that it did not blow up tanks with its bare hands, and the other time it was the Israeli army that pulled and killed each other at every turn!
In fact, it is a fact that Israel cannot completely eliminate Hamas, but it is also a fact that it has invaded and occupied the city, and it is almost impossible to hold the stronghold under Israeli fire, so Hamas has been just constantly guerrilla and harassment!
Now Israel is persuading the Gaza refugees to leave the city of Rafah as soon as possible, but it has reached this point that there is basically no way back except to smuggle into Egypt, and Egypt is not willing to accept this large number of refugees, and when the time comes, they will have no other way but to shoot and disperse.
Egypt has previously warned that driving the Palestinians to Egypt would threaten a peace agreement between Egypt and Israel. This is the harshest statement ever made by a major power near Palestine since the start of the war.
Judging from the current situation, there is a high probability that Egypt will not interfere, Egypt has long lost the ambition of the past, and does not have the ability to really fight with Israel!
But if you want to talk about the ability to disperse refugees, there are still some people who have already said that they have started to deliver weapons and equipment, do you think it is to fight Israel or refugees?
As for Allah, Iran and the Houthis, they have also begun to speak in the past few days, and the Houthis have threatened to expand their operations if the Israeli army dares to launch a ground offensive against Rafah
Allah recorded its 1,000th military strike against Israeli forces since the start of the war, firing a salvo of 122-millimeter rockets at the Kayla barracks on the Golan Heights.
The small fights on weekdays have not stopped, but it is really difficult for them to unite, otherwise the Middle East would not be like this anyway!
In the final analysis, who can stop the Israeli army from attacking Rafah, may only be able to count on the US government now. It is not ruled out that Biden may take tough measures against Israel, for example, there have been media reports that the United States intends to withdraw its troops from Syria and Iraq.
In short, it is certain that the US strategy in the Middle East will further imbalance, and how to resolve it will depend on the Americans' own creation! If you play well, you will continue to dominate the Middle East, and if you don't play well, you will lose the hegemony of the dollar!
Let's talk about Israel, in the current situation, attacking Rafah is the only option, spending so much manpower and material resources, not a single strategic goal has been accomplished, there is really no way to explain it to the country, and now attacking Rafah can accomplish at least two goals! First, we must rescue the hostages, and second, we must destroy Hamas!
After all, Gaza is so big, and no hostages have been found for half a day, so there is a high probability that it will be in Rafah, and there is news that Hamas commander Sinwar is also hiding in Rafah, preparing to sneak into Egypt, no wonder Israel has begun to attack in a hurry!
After the successful capture of Rafah, Israel may then begin to investigate Hamas members one by one, and it can be said that Hamas has officially died out in Gaza.
In the end, there is a high probability that they will not occupy Gaza personally, and they may still consider finding a third party (not excluding the United Nations) to host Gaza, and finally continue to use their own intelligence network to find the Hamas leader in the Middle East!
This is the end of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict!
As for the rest of the Middle East, I can only say that I have a little hope for it, and there is little hope!