Friends, a major event happened in the village just now, and everyone must have seen the news, the village has changed a new village head, is this a new beginning?
At least historically, every change is the bottom of history, you can take a look at the following chart:
The beginning of the lows
1. Suddenly there is a new village chief, and the three fires should not be over yet;
It is said that the new official took office with three fires, and the stock market can rebound after the stock market crash, presumably it is also related to the new village head, and the village has continued to issue favorable policies in recent days, which is a gift from the new village head;
Looking back at the time when the previous village chief appeared, the stock market experienced 18 years of continuous decline, out of a wave of slow bull market; this time the market index returned to below 2700 points, and the village has adjusted and changed, I believe it is also intentional;
I think at least this is the beginning, and there will be a wave of market coming slowly, and I should believe that the good things in the village will continue to work hard and not over;
2. Today's turnover exceeded one trillion yuan, and the trend of the last day of tomorrow is also critical;
Generally speaking, for friends who want to hold coins for the holidays, today is the day to sell stocks, so the market will generally be under pressure, and today's turnover exceeds one trillion yuan, indicating that the market is still active;
Some people sell but there will be people who buy, trillions of transactions show that the market sentiment is okay, if you want to say that it is insufficient, it may be:
Today, there are still nearly 300 falling limits, and there are more than 700 falling by about 9 points, and the market finally chose to pull the weight and drive the index, and small-cap stocks are still relatively poor, which may hurt everyone's morale;
Although individual stocks are average, today's tough pull index shows that this time I want to stop the decline of the determination, tomorrow is the last trading day before the Spring Festival, will we continue to play music and dance?
Conclusion: The probability of continuing to close up tomorrow is high, and there may be many positive factors in the market after the Spring Festival, for the following reasons:
First, the new village chief's determination to stop the decline of the stock market is bound to be very strong, after all, it is very important to do a good job at the beginning of his work;
Second, the turnover shows that there are large funds to buy the bottom, and it is still the stage of suspending refinancing, and there is no short-selling capital suppression, which is more conducive to the bulls;
Third, in the past, the probability of rising in the days before the Spring Festival was relatively large, and this time it caught up with the special period of "bailing out the market".
Fourth, we have new expectations, today there is news about the equalization fund, the holiday is likely to brew relevant plans and news, and the holiday is also the best time to plan the relevant matters of the equalization fund;
Fifth, the risks of the market explosion are being released one by one, although they are still being digested, but these risks are exposed in advance, and the problems are released and solved collectively, which is very important for the long-term improvement in the future;
In general, although the market has some deficiencies, we also see that it is now gradually correcting, and the market style is beginning to slowly shift to value.
It takes some time for the market to recover, and high-dividend value stocks have outperformed the market during this time, and some small-cap micro-cap stocks have performed well in the quantitative era before, but now they are more in the survival of the fittest.
It's still the same sentence: if the market wants to do well, the index must stop falling first, the market wants the crisis to be resolved, and the liquidity problem must be solved first;
Old friends remember to like and communicate, new friends recognize and follow, time will give you the most real answer @Yunfan Guanshi