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Preamble:
On the 15th of this month, the Republican caucus meeting in the United States was officially held, and Trump, who has been very active recently, won the party election with a very obvious advantage, and officially began to impact the 2024 US presidential election.
It stands to reason that the competition between Trump and Biden, two old men in their seventies and eighties, for posts is an internal matter in the United States. However, the world is in chaos right now, and every move of the United States may trigger global changes. Therefore, the world is also quite concerned about the results of this election.
So, if in 2024, Trump can defeat Biden and return to the presidency, will that be a good thing or a bad thing for China?
Like it, and today we'll talk about it.
Trump's dilemma
Friends who follow international politics know that after three or four years of tossing, Trump has finally been active again in front of the people of the world.
In previous terms, Trump took the initiative to provoke a trade war, forcibly portraying China as an adversary, and devastating the relationship between the two countries. In this regard, the Chinese quickly calmed down after experiencing the initial panic. Because we have the only complete range of industries in the world, we can continue to produce what we want. On the other hand, in the United States, a large number of people's daily necessities are made in China, and the cost of living of the American people has risen since the sanctions were imposed on us.
Compared with the dissatisfaction of the people, the most interesting thing Trump did was to offend the arms bosses.
As we all know, in modern times, almost no president of the United States has ever stopped going to war. Where there is war, there is a logistical need, and where there is a logistical need, a large number of arms groups will be born. These groups make a lot of money by instigating wars and frantically demanding money from Congress.
This kind of behavior that harms national interests and maintains personal interests is actually a kind of chronic suicide for the United States. Former presidents have not been unaware of the stakes. But because they need the support of big business groups behind their election campaigns, they don't dare to offend these people. There are even some people behind the financiers, who are these arms tycoons.
But Trump is different, he himself is very rich and does not need anyone's financial support. Therefore, after coming to power, he did not care about the faces of all parties, ended the 20-year-long war in Afghanistan, and cut off an important source of income for a group of arms tycoons in China.
This kind of behavior is destined to put him under pressure from all sides.
In addition, Trump is a very classic old white American who supports America First, White First. He didn't just shout it in his slogan, but he did it when he came to power. This is also an important reason why the American red necks support him so wildly.
But we all know that the United States is a country with a very serious racial problem, and to support white people first is to offend a large number of people of other colors. This kind of blatant discrimination naturally aroused strong rejection among the people.
The pressure from all sides of the country is piled up, coupled with the fact that Trump himself is acting insanely, which naturally gives the DPP a good excuse to attack. Originally, in the trade war, Trump fought us quite hard, and the US stock market also showed signs of improvement. But because of the sudden outbreak of the epidemic, all the squeezed contradictions detonated instantly, and finally led to Trump becoming the most undignified president in American history.
Loli Island Incident
Trump has already won the intra-party race and is expected to challenge for the US presidency in 2024. If he comes to power, will it be good or bad for China?
To understand this question, we must find the answer from the current competition between the Republican Party and the Democratic Progressive Party.
We all know that after the results of the last election, Biden of the Democratic Progressive Party successfully came to power, and after taking office, he engaged in a series of political struggles with Trump. It is precisely because of these outrageous political struggles that Trump has become the most undignified president of the United States.
In the years since, Trump has never given up on pulling Biden out of office. Whether it is a judicial debate or a struggle for the right to speak, Trump has shown a very firm attitude.
It is precisely because of this that we can see that the current DPP and the Republican Party have long since separated themselves from the scope of mutual supervision and mutual cooperation and entered the stage of endless death.
No matter how strong a country is, once it enters the party and government stage, its foundation will be shaken. The same applies to the United States.
It is precisely because the Republican Party and the Democratic Progressive Party have completely torn their faces that the Lori Island incident broke out again a while ago. From this incident, we can see that this time, the "shadow government" of the United States, which is really hidden behind the scenes, is ready to abandon the Democratic Party.
The Lori Island incident was actually exposed many years ago. The extravagance of these dignitaries and dignitaries is in stark contrast to the misery of countless girls, allowing people to see clearly what kind of beast heart is hidden under the glamorous appearance of American politicians.
But to tell the truth, this kind of thing is very big in the eyes of ordinary people, but in the eyes of politicians, especially American politicians, it can be regarded as a "scandal" at best. From the point of view of a grand narrative, it is completely incapable of threatening a political figure.
Therefore, soon after this incident was exposed, it gradually lost its popularity.
And this time, the Loli Island incident was brought up again, and hundreds of elites from all walks of life were all on the list. There are even British princes involved.
This large-scale implication not only broke the impression of many people in the eyes of the public, but also made people feel the horror of the US party and government for the first time. Because if we combine this incident with the mysterious death of Epstein, we can come up with an answer: the family behind Clinton and Hillary, as well as the Democratic forces they represent, are about to be liquidated.
In this matter, Trump, as a person who has been to Loli Island, is recognized as a white lotus because of his relatively healthy aesthetics. This has also invisibly increased a lot of chips for the Republican Party.
If this matter is taken on the surface, it is that the Republican Party has found evidence and dealt a fatal blow to the Democratic Party. But in reality, the Republican Party and Trump alone do not have such capabilities. What can really influence the overall situation of the United States and have a profound impact on both parties is the "shadow government" hiding behind the United States, or Zionism.
This group of people uses their control over American social resources to secretly control the two parties in the United States, and it is visible to the naked eye that they will support Trump's ascension to power in this election. So, although the 2024 election has not yet begun, we can already predict that Trump will have a certain advantage in the election, and Biden is likely to lose.
Of course, the truth may be as incredible as Trump's rise to power, and there is no shortage of dark horses in the United States and in both parties. When the time comes, if a dark horse really rushes out, it is impossible to say.
Good or bad for China
Trump has an increasing advantage, and if he wins the Democratic Party in the next 2024 presidential race and returns to the presidency, what will be the impact on China?
Judging from Trump's style of acting, if he comes to power, it will most likely have a relatively positive impact on China.
We all know that Trump is a pure businessman and is not keen on war. He is the only president of the United States who has not started a war during his term in office, and he is also a man who cries out that the Russian-Ukrainian war can be ended.
I believe that many people who pay attention to international news will not forget that after Russia and Ukraine really started fighting, the Biden administration geared up, gave weapons and money, and used its control of public opinion to frantically smear Russia and support Zelensky. Later, he even completely tore face with Russia and came to a "financial nuclear bomb".
But what did Trump at the same time view about it?
Trump has said more than once that if he were the one sitting in the presidency, then this war would simply not be fought. Even if he had fought like that, he would have ended the war in 24 hours. Because it is only necessary to call Putin and Zelensky to the White House, give them a room for them to talk face-to-face, and everything can be over.
Although these words seem that Trump's understanding of war is very shallow, you cannot deny that he is a staunch anti-war person.
If Trump is allowed to take office, then he will most likely stop the current Russia-Ukraine war and effectively contain the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, including in the South China Sea and the Western Pacific, and there is a high probability that he will not jump over the wall in a hurry like the Biden administration.
In this way, the whole world can temporarily return from the clouds of war to the stage of peace and usher in a new round of development. China has strong productive forces, and industrial upgrading is also in a critical period. If we can seize this window and bury our heads in development for another four years, then the changes to the mainland will be very great.
Of course, Trump is unlikely to sit back and watch the mainland develop. In his previous term, he had already regarded China as a formidable adversary, and launched a frantic trade war against China despite opposition from all sides.
Frankly speaking, at that time, our level of development was indeed not as good as it is now, and in the early stage of the trade war, we had our own winners and losers. But later, with the perseverance of the mainland, in just a few years, we have made unimaginable breakthroughs in all walks of life, especially in high-tech industries. This time, if Trump launches another trade attack on the mainland, we will be much more comfortable responding.
Judging from China's current strength, we are not afraid of everyone on this planet, especially the United States, in a trade war.
The hollowing out of the U.S. industry is becoming more and more serious, and the longer the trade war lasts, the less stamina they will have, and the more favorable the situation will be.
Coupled with the fact that Trump is not universally recognized by the international community, and there are a large number of forces in the country who do not like him, when the time comes, the complicated internal struggle alone will be enough to contain a large part of his energy.
Therefore, if Trump can come to power in 2024, it will be good news for the mainland.
Of course, we cannot fully rely on the domestic struggles of other countries. If we want to be invincible in this world, we must first cultivate our internal strength. As the so-called iron strikes, it also needs its own hardness. If our own comprehensive strength is strong enough, then neither the United States, nor Europe, nor any other group will try to hinder us from rushing towards a great national rejuvenation.
What do you have to say about this? Please put your thoughts in the comment area below, and we'll see you next time.