In order for Thailand to be called the prime minister in the political arena, it must be recognized by the military. Even if you are not a member of the military, but you can get the approval of the military leadership, if not, it is basically no fun!!
Pita returned to parliament after 190 days, and he, like Trump, is becoming more and more ambitious.
Seeing that he was back in the council, wearing the same clothes he had left, it was self-evident what he meant, that is, he still wanted to climb back to the previous position.
It's just that now he basically doesn't have much chance of winning, even if the Advance Party fully supports him, and the current party leader said that he can make Xian, the chance of winning will not be very big!!
If the Thai prime minister wants to sit firmly, he must at least have the support of the military, even if he is not his own, he must not oppose you.
To be precise, Pita has long lost the lead in this regard, and now the military wears a pair of pants with the Pheu Thai Party, what do you compare to others.
Pita is back in Parliament and the Move Forward Party is very happy
On January 24, Thailand's Constitutional Court acquitted Pita and said he had been reinstated as a member of parliament.
The Kadima must be very happy, which also means that they have won back a big general, and don't forget that he is an important weapon for the Kadima to canvass for votes
The next day he came back in a hurry, and it should be said that he was surrounded by everyone, and those who were naturally familiar with him were also very happy to see him.
This time it still feels different, don't forget the past, it's a hug.
Now I feel that it is not as good as before, and it is more accurate to say that the strength of the Move Forward Party has long been lost.
When I first ran for prime minister, I brought in a coalition of eight parties.
It is the Move Forward Party and the Pheu Thai Party, which occupy the majority of the 151 and 141, and can occupy almost half of the lower parliamentarians.
Today, the two sides have long since parted ways, or more accurately, they have long been enemies.
The fact that Pheu Thai MPs did not go up to meet them shows that the two sides are also deliberately keeping their distance.
In five years' time, the Pheu Thai Party can take advantage of this opportunity to make a difference and regain the support that has been lost in the past.
However, for the Move Forward Party, there is not much room for maneuver, after all, if you are not in your position, there is no way to benefit the people, and you will not be able to attract votes invisibly.
In addition, their relationship with the military royal family is very bad, if the only one in the royal family who treats them may be the second prince in the United States.
They were all supported by the West, but now the second prince is not at home abroad at all, and his help is limited after all.
The Pheu Thai Party has a stable position and has the support of the military's top brass
It's not that he doesn't have a chance. In fact, the Thai Army is not monolithic.
If he can win over the top brass of the military, there is still a chance.
Evaluate the army commander, who holds the core real power of the armed forces, Prayut is the commander-in-chief of the army.
Even though he has retired, his prestige among the Thai military is still very high.
Every time there is a military coup, it is the army that dominates and controls Bangkok, and there are a total of 300,000 people in the Thai army, and the army can account for more than half, so it is said that the army is the most powerful.
Today's army commander in Thailand was raised by Prayut, and this person is also a member of the military.
So Pita wants to get his support, and it's basically no fun.
He used to be so embarrassed, the teeth of the military hated itchy, where would he be willing to be co-opted by him?
In the army system, there is the commander-in-chief, the deputy commander-in-chief, the chief of staff, the deputy chief of the general staff, and the minister of defense.
They are able to mobilize the Thai military, except for the Minister of Defense, who is directly appointed by the Prime Minister, and the rest are selected by the Thai military itself.
And the selection of these people is generally decided by the Privy Council, the top military and the royal family.
In addition to which faction he belongs to, there is also the school, as well as his own performance.
After Thaksin became the prime minister of Thailand, he promoted many of his classmates to the top of the army, but these people eventually betrayed him.
When the royal family and Thaksin are chosen, the military will still choose the royal family.
The Thai royal family can also interfere in the appointment and dismissal of the military's top brass at will, such as Thailand's most important first military region, which is jointly managed by the King of Thailand and the Queen Mother Siri of Thailand.
Prayut Chan-o-cha used to be the queen mother's bodyguard, so it was easy to get the attention of the Thai royal family.
They are closely connected to each other, and the relationship is also very complicated, so it is very difficult for Pita to win over.
The royal family holds key positions, and the police and army do not have a forward party
Although Thailand's political party was greatly affected in last year's general election, it doesn't mean that people don't have a chance!!
Even if you promise not to carry out a military coup, you know that it is unlikely. In 2006, there was also Yingluck's time to launch or launch.
Now the policy is not in the interests of the royal family and the military, then it will be scrapped!
The royal family's control over the military is also very strong, and don't forget that there are several coups with the shadow of the royal family.
watched the royal family and the military retreat, but in fact, they did not retreat.
The commanders of the three armed forces are firmly controlled by them, and the number one leader of the police station is controlled by them, and even Saita has no much to do with them.
The people who supported it did not succeed in ascending to the position, and were even put on the table.
Even if you are no longer willing in your heart, you can only choose to settle things because of the overall situation, and the two sides can be regarded as having reached a settlement, you are the first leader, and I am the second in command.
According to Peta, now he is only the leader of the opposition in parliament, but there is no one in either the military police department, and he can do whatever he wants in terms of business, but because he has hope to give him support, and the foundation in Thai politics is not deep, it is very difficult to make a comeback.
Even if he can become the largest party again in the next election, it does not mean that he will definitely be able to become the prime minister of Thailand!!
At least the 250 people in the House of Lords, he can't handle it, this time he will give you an equity case, so that you can't be the prime minister of Thailand, and there will be other things next time!!
What's more, the Move Forward Party itself still has a bad debt to deal with, for example, their challenge to Article 112 of the Thai Penal Code has made the royal family and the military unhappy.
The Supreme Constitutional Court of Thailand can dissolve them on the spot at any time and deprive them of the right to participate in politics.
If you want to make a comeback, you can't just talk about it, especially in a political environment like Thailand.
Thaksin was able to make a comeback, not only because he was really capable of it, but also because his wife's father was a senior member of the Thai police and was able to leave a foundation.
brief summary
But Pita is obviously not enough to see compared with him, so it is basically a comeback, and it can only be a laughing stock in vain!!
I said that Prayut was afraid of him, that is, he would let the people protest on the streets when the time came, but this point is basically not acceptable to the military, after all, the military is handy at this point!