The front foot is still "de-neutralizing", and the back foot Foxconn is going to take advantage of China's new energy?

Starting from the acquisition of Taiwan's automotive wiring harness factory and entering Tesla's supplier system, Foxconn, which has been in the automotive industry for 18 years, is landing in Henan with its grand dream of making cars.

Recently, the information on the enterprise check shows that Foxconn New Energy Vehicle Industry Development (Henan) Co., Ltd. (hereinafter referred to as "Foxconn Henan New Energy") was officially registered and established with a registered capital of 500 million yuan, the company is located in Zhengzhou Airport Economic Comprehensive Experimental Zone, Zhengzhou City, Henan Province, and its business scope includes auto parts and accessories manufacturing, motor manufacturing, new material technology research and development, new energy vehicle sales, new energy vehicle waste power battery recycling and cascade utilization (excluding hazardous waste management), park management services, Supply chain management services, on-road motor vehicle production, etc.

In this regard, Foxconn said that according to the group's 3+3 strategic industrial plan, in 2023, Foxconn Technology Group will set up Foxconn's new business headquarters in Zhengzhou and establish Foxconn New Business Development Group Co., Ltd. to plan the development of new industries including new energy vehicles and batteries. The establishment of a new energy vehicle company by Foxconn New Business Development Group will further focus on the new energy vehicle industry and accelerate the implementation of the project.

However, Foxconn, which was still accelerating its "withdrawal" from the Chinese market at the end of last year, why did it suddenly change its strategy this year?

1

Attitude change

According to shareholder information, Foxconn Henan New Energy is wholly owned by Foxconn New Business Development Group Co., Ltd., which is a wholly-owned subsidiary of Hongfujin Precision Electronics (Zhengzhou) Co., Ltd.

In 2020, Foxconn's parent company, Hon Hai Technology, and Yulon Motors established a joint venture, Honghua Advanced Technology Co., Ltd., to start the design and manufacturing of new energy vehicles. Honghua Advanced is the company's electric vehicle brand. Up to now, Honghua Advanced has released a total of 5 models, including the SUV Model C, the sedan Model E, the electric bus Model T, the crossover recreational vehicle Model B, and the electric pickup truck Model V, but none of them have been mass-produced and listed.

In April last year, Foxconn set up the unveiling ceremony of Foxconn's new business headquarters in Zhengzhou, and announced that it would build a new Foxconn in Henan. At that time, Liu Yangwei, chairman of Hon Hai Technology Group and Hon Hua Advanced, also said that the "new" of the new business headquarters is, first, to open up a new situation for the group's industrial development in Chinese mainland, and second, to base itself in Henan and plan new ideas for strategic industries.

According to Foxconn's development strategy, in the coming period, Foxconn will accelerate the implementation of three emerging industries: new energy vehicles, digital health, and robots, involving the "3+3" transformation and development of three cutting-edge technologies of semiconductors, artificial intelligence, and new-generation mobile communications. Foxconn's new business headquarters in Zhengzhou is the core base and important benchmark for Foxconn's future global innovation and industrial layout, and is responsible for the overall planning of the development of new industries including new energy vehicles and batteries.

However, 6 months later, the national tax department and the Ministry of Natural Resources conducted tax inspections and land use investigations on Foxconn's enterprises in accordance with the law, which made Foxconn's attitude begin to waver, and Foxconn's largest customer Apple is transferring production capacity to markets such as Vietnam and India, where labor is cheaper, and Foxconn, which has followed Apple south in recent years, has also begun to accelerate its "withdrawal" from China. From investing in the construction of factories in India to dismissing employees on the spot and packing and transporting factory equipment, it is statistically said that Foxconn has closed 20 domestic factories and transferred about 300 billion revenue production capacity.

In November last year, Hung Wah Advanced was listed on the new board of the Taiwan Stock Exchange as Taiwan's first pure electric vehicle concept stock. At this time, Liu Yangwei not only revealed the mass production progress of Model C, but also planned to deliver more than 9,000 orders by the end of June this year and launch Model D. At the same time, he also said that Honghua Advanced plans to cut into the North American and Southeast Asian markets in the future, and will be based in Taiwan and look at the world. The layout of the Chinese market is not mentioned.

2

Recognize reality

"The main reason for this is that in the context of the rapid rise of new energy vehicles in China, in order to support local car companies, many countries have begun to emphasize the establishment of a new energy vehicle industry chain that is de-neutralized. Foxconn's main purpose in making cars is not to sell cars domestically, but to become a global car foundry, so Foxconn hesitated. Some industry insiders said that from the establishment of the new business headquarters to the registration of new energy vehicle companies in Henan, it can be seen that in more than half a year, Foxconn has also seen the current development pattern of new energy vehicles.

In June last year, Liu Yangwei said to the public that Foxconn's car manufacturing is mainly based on OEM, and the faster the better. If Foxconn wants to quickly realize the transformation from a mobile phone foundry to an automobile foundry, it is inseparable from the support of China's automotive industry chain.

On the one hand, after more than 20 years of continuous breakthroughs and rapid growth in the development of new energy vehicles in China, from upstream battery materials and production, midstream vehicle manufacturing, to downstream sales and service, an efficient and complete new energy vehicle ecosystem has been built, which can help Foxconn establish innate advantages in technology, ecology, price and other aspects.

On the other hand, Foxconn's previous decision to transfer production capacity also made it see the difficulty of building factories abroad. Taking India as an example, in 2022, Foxconn and India's Vedanta Group jointly initiated the establishment of a chip company that produces semiconductors and display components, which was valued at $19.5 billion at the time, but because it has been shelved by the Indian government, Foxconn can only withdraw its investment.

In the process, Foxconn's market share also showed a downward trend. According to Nikkei Asia News, Foxconn still held 70% of the order share during the iPhone 14 period, and only 58% was left after the iPhone 15 came out, and the rest was distributed to other foundries such as Luxshare.

Foxconn's performance has also been affected as a result. According to the latest financial report data, in December 2023, Foxconn's revenue fell 27% year-on-year, and revenue in the fourth quarter totaled $59.7 billion, down 5.4% year-on-year, and sales in the first quarter of 2024 are also expected to decline year-on-year. The decline was due to weak or flat sales of its computing products, smart consumer electronics, and cloud and networking products.

"The weakness of the mobile phone market and the decline in market share have forced Foxconn to pin its hopes on new energy vehicle OEM, so as to drive the 'resurrection' of other industries. Some industry insiders told the "Automobile Talk" that just as China planned to cultivate the mobile phone industry chain by introducing Foxconn complete machine factories, Foxconn also needs to rely on China's new energy industry chain to realize its own car manufacturing plan.

3

What are the prospects?

According to the plan, Foxconn will supply auto parts and services for 10% of the world's electric vehicles (about 3 million) between 2025 and 2027. Together with the car manufacturing business, Foxconn expects that by 2026, the electric vehicle-related business will contribute about 229.6 billion yuan in annual revenue.

Although Foxconn revealed that as of November 2023, a total of 51 electric vehicle plans are underway, of which 14 potential customers and 23 projects have reached the stage of contact and negotiation. However, the decline in global automobile capacity utilization also indicates that everything is not as smooth as Foxconn expected.

GlobalData's base forecast shows that global vehicle capacity utilization may not reach 70% in 2024, while the industry-accepted "healthy" range is 70-80%, which is below the lower end of the health value. In 2028, global automotive capacity utilization will fall further to 65%, and in the event of weak demand, capacity utilization may fall to 60%. At that time, the new production capacity brought by the construction of electric vehicle factories may be difficult to obtain the support of demand.

In this context, where is the prospect of Foxconn's OEM? According to the analysis of "automobile", China's automobile exports may become the best way for Foxconn to achieve its goals.

According to the customs data compiled by the China Passenger Car Association, China's automobile exports will rank first in the world in both volume and value in 2023. Among them, China's automobile exports in 2023 will be 5.22 million units, with a growth rate of 57%, and in terms of export value, China's automobile exports in 2023 will be 101.6 billion US dollars, which also surpasses Japan's automobile exports. Some Japanese institutions predict that China's automobile exports may reach 10 million units per year.

Affected by this, multinational car companies such as Tesla, BMW, Kia and Ford have expanded the export scale of Chinese-made cars, which also provides Foxconn with OEM opportunities, just like Geely's Mercedes-Benz smart and Beam Cars OEM MINI new energy models will be exported to overseas markets. However, this time will Foxconn be able to seize the opportunity?

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#cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-BRAND: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px) and (prefers-color-scheme:dark){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) .wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not(.pages_skin_pc) body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){--weui-BG-0: #111;--weui-BG-1: #1e1e1e;--weui-BG-2: #191919;--weui-BG-3: #202020;--weui-BG-4: #404040;--weui-BG-5: #2c2c2c;--weui-FG-0: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-FG-HALF: rgba(255, 255, 255, .6);--weui-FG-1: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-FG-2: rgba(255, 255, 255, .3);--weui-FG-3: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-FG-4: rgba(255, 255, 255, .15);--weui-FG-5: rgba(255, 255, 255, .1);--weui-RED: #fa5151;--weui-ORANGERED: #ff6146;--weui-ORANGE: #c87d2f;--weui-YELLOW: #cc9c00;--weui-GREEN: #74a800;--weui-LIGHTGREEN: #3eb575;--weui-FIRE: #07c160;--weui-BLUE: #10aeff;--weui-INDIGO: #1196ff;--weui-PURPLE: #8183ff;--weui-WHITE: rgba(255, 255, 255, .8);--weui-LINK: #7d90a9;--weui-TEXTGREEN: #259c5c;;--weui-FG: #fff;--weui-BG: #000;--weui-TAG-TEXT-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 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rgba(250, 81, 81, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-RED: rgba(250, 81, 81, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-ORANGE: rgba(250, 157, 59, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .. 6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-GREEN: rgba(6, 174, 86, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .6);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLUE: rgba(16, 174, 255, .1);--weui-TAG-TEXT-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .5);--weui-TAG-BACKGROUND-BLACK: rgba(255, 255, 255, .05)}}@media(prefers-color-scheme:dark){.wx-root:not([data-weui-theme=light]),body:not([data-weui-theme=light]){-appmsgExtra-BG: #121212}}@media(prefers-color-scheme: dark){body:not([data-weui-theme=light]) .rich_media_content img:not(.wx_img_placeholder){filter:brightness(.8)}}@media screen and (min-width:1024px){body:not(.pages_skin_pc) :root{--appmsgPageGap: 20px;--appmsgPageBottomGap: 40px}}:root{--articleFontsize: 17px}:root{--sab: env(safe-area-input-bottom)}:root{--wxBorderAvatarRatio: 3}:root{--discussPageGap: 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