Come ahead to calculate the score for Hong Kong! If you want to qualify from the group, you will have to draw at least three times in a row, and it will be a life-and-death battle against Lebanon

Not losing the first game, at least not the worst result. But not winning Tajikistan, which is theoretically the weakest in the group, also made it more difficult for the national football team to qualify, and at the same time, it was time to calculate the points for the national football team in advance!

Now the two groups A and B have only played the first round, and the next four groups have not yet played; in the case that four of the six groups are third in the group and can be promoted, it is estimated that it is indeed "elusive" to qualify!

So let's take a look at the 24-team cup competition, which generally results in the third place in the group, what is the record!

In the last Asian Cup, the four groups that entered the round of 16 were third, namely Bahrain with 4 points, Kyrgyzstan and Oman with a 3-point goal difference of 0, and Vietnam with a 3-point goal difference of -1. The two eliminated groups were third-placed, with Palestine with two points and a three-point goal difference of -1, but Lebanon behind Vietnam in the Fair Play points.

The European Cup from 2016 and the Africa Cup of Nations from 2019 are also the same format as the Asian Cup!

In the 2019 Africa Cup of Nations, the four groups that advanced to the knockout stage were the Democratic Republic of Congo and Benin, which also had a 3-point goal difference of 0, Guinea with a 4-point goal difference, and South Africa, which had a 3-point goal difference, and the two groups that went out were Angola, with 2 points, and Kenya, which had a 3-point goal difference, were -4.

In the 2021 Africa Cup of Nations, the four groups that advanced to the knockout stage were the third in the group, namely Cape Verde and Malawi, which also have a 4-point goal difference of 0, Comoros with a 3-point goal difference of -2, and Tunisia with a 3-point goal difference of +2. The two exits from the group are Sierra Leone with two points and Sudan with one point.

In Euro 2016, the third place in the group of four groups to reach the round of 16 was Slovakia with a 4-point goal difference, Ireland with a 4-point goal difference of -2, and Portugal and Northern Ireland with a 3-point goal difference. The two third-place groups that missed out on the round of 16 were Albania and Turkey, both with a three-point goal difference of -2.

The third place in the group of the four groups that advanced to the round of 16 in the last European Championship was Switzerland with a 4-point goal difference of -1, Ukraine with a 3-point goal difference of -1, and the Czech Republic and Portugal with a 4-point goal difference of +1. The two third-place finishers in the group who missed out on the round of 16 were Slovakia with a three-point goal difference of -5 and Finland with a three-point goal difference of -2.

Through the last Asian Cup and the past two African Cup of Nations and the European Cup, the 5 24-team cups in which the team participated, it is not difficult to see that it is not difficult to see the points of the teams that advance to the third place in the group - if you can get 4 points, you will properly qualify (and even hope to rank second in the group), and three points are the bottom line but not insurance, but if you have 3 points and the goal difference is not negative, you can basically qualify.

For the current national football team with weak attack, if we can do a good job of defending and not conceding goals in the next two games, three consecutive draws can basically ensure qualification.

Of course, since the Chinese team is in Group A, which ends earlier than other group games, if you want to avoid looking at other people's faces, the best way is to get at least 4 points (of course, it is better to grab more points). And after the draw against Tajikistan, if China wants to get at least four points, it means that we have to win against a team in Qatar and Lebanon.

The three teams in this group are almost all "soft persimmons" tailored for the host; even if the Qatar team qualifies early, the final round of the group will give the Chinese team a maximum of 1 point. Therefore, for the Chinese team, if they want to win in this Asian Cup and completely control the initiative to qualify, they must win against Lebanon in the next game. The next game will be a do-or-die battle for both teams!