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During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem

author:Step by step, rush forward

[Opening: Historical Codes in the Mist, Interpreting the Long Echoes of Numbers]

In the folds of time, the figures of history are as bright as the stars, but they are also full of countless unsolved mysteries. Today, we will look through the fog to uncover the history of 1959 to 1961 and discuss that stormy time.

[1. The Start-up Country: Population Migration in the Chaotic Years]

The new China, a start-up country, is at a time when the country is in ruins and waiting to be rebuilt, and all industries are flourishing. However, the sheer volume of the demographics made the numbers for this period rich and complex. Especially in rural areas, the underreporting of deaths and the lag in statistics on births and deaths have exacerbated the gap between the actual population and household registration data.

In 1959, the census data of the People's Republic of China announced that the country's registered population was nearly 400 million. This huge number hides an untold truth. Due to the chaotic management and irregular migration of people, a part of the population was double-counted, which laid the groundwork for later data interpretation.

During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem

[2. Urban-rural migration: the twin identity of household registration]

In the early years of the People's Republic of China, industrialization and the influx of large numbers of peasants into the cities brought unprecedented challenges to the demographics. The dual identity of urban and rural hukou became a characteristic of this period. In the process of migration, due to management loopholes, some people retained their rural hukou while obtaining an urban hukou, resulting in an error in the actual population size.

In 1959, an expert survey showed that there were about 11.92 million people with dual status. The existence of this number makes the already huge registered population even more distorted.

[3. Statistical loopholes: the falsity of numbers]

In the early years of the People's Republic of China, social order was chaotic, especially in rural areas, and management lagged behind. The underreporting of life and death statistics is serious, and many families fail to report the deaths of their relatives in a timely manner, resulting in an underestimation of the actual number of deaths.

By 1959, this underreporting resulted in a population gap of about 7.5 million people. The emergence of this number has led people to question the legend of "30 million people who died of starvation".

During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem

[4. Population adjustment under economic pressure: the "disappearance" of urban hukou]

Since 1960, China's economy has faced major difficulties, and in response to the pressure, the country has begun to implement a large-scale population reduction policy. During this period, more than 30 million people returned to the countryside from the cities. However, due to management problems, these people were not deregistered in a timely manner.

According to statistics, about 14.82 million people have "disappeared" from the statistics. This figure makes the legend of the "30 million disappeared people" even more confusing.

[5. The Sorrow of History: Human Suffering Beyond Numbers]

Looking back on this period of history, people can't help but sigh for the human suffering of that period. Despite the loss of population, the claim that 30 million people died of starvation has proven to be a misreading of history.

[6. The Lesson of Numbers: Lessons from History]

During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem

This history is a wake-up call. Numbers are a record of history, but they are also prone to misinterpretation. We need to be more cautious in interpreting historical data, digging deeper into the reasons behind it, and avoiding simply evaluating the state of society in a period in numbers.

[Conclusion: History is like a mirror, reflecting on the footsteps of the future]

History is like a mirror, illuminating the past and revealing the future. We need to approach history with an open mind, not only to see the stories behind the numbers, but also to understand the sufferings and challenges that human society has experienced in different historical periods. Through deep historical reflection, we may be able to guide the future more wisely.

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[7. Historical Comparison: The Mystery of Population in the Sui and Tang Dynasties]

History repeats itself, and numbers have allowed us to discover another mystery over time. During the Sui and Tang dynasties, a legend about the population spread widely, and it is said that the population of the country was 8.9 million during the Sui Dynasty, but by the time of the "Kaiyuan Rule" of the prosperous Tang Dynasty, there were only 8.2 million households.

During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem

[VIII. Household registration rectification and data fluctuations]

During the Sui and Tang dynasties, society was in turmoil and lives were devastated. In the era of frequent wars, it is difficult to accurately carry out population statistics, and social order is chaotic. After the establishment of the Sui Dynasty, in order to carry out more accurate population statistics, the government implemented a series of household registration rectification policies, and adopted extreme punitive measures against families who concealed their household registration.

As a result of the implementation of these policies, some people who were originally underreported or concealed have been unearthed, which has also led to a rapid increase in the registered population in just eight years, reaching an unprecedented 40 million.

On the contrary, after the establishment of the Tang Dynasty, it adopted a more lenient household registration policy, allowing the common people to conceal their population and property. This slowed down the process of population counting in the Tang Dynasty, and it was not until 108 years later that the registered population reached 40 million.

[9. Historical Truth: The Boundaries of Statistics]

This contrast tells us that statistics are often subject to the context of the times and the policies of the rulers. The increase or decrease of the number does not absolutely reflect the life and death changes of the population, but is also the product of changes in the political and social system.

During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem

[10. Historical Reflection: The Limitations of Numbers and the Richness of Human Society]

In discussing these historical data, we can't help but reflect on the limitations of numbers in history. Numbers can provide us with a way to understand the past, but they can never fully tell the true face of history.

History is woven into the rich and colorful lives of human society, and numbers are only the tip of the iceberg. While delving into history, we need to listen to more different voices and see more stories behind historical events, so that we can better understand and cherish the development process of human society.

[Conclusion: The Mystery of Numbers, the Charm of History]

History is a vast labyrinth, and numbers are the beacons we explore within it. And each set of numbers contains a long reverberating historical code. By unlocking these codes, we can see the past more clearly and guide the future more clearly.

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During the three-year difficult period, the population decreased by 30 million, which is actually a statistical problem