#文章首发挑战赛#
Introduction:
The conflict between Russia and Ukraine escalated, and the US Secretary of Defense said that he would consider sending troops to war with Russia, which immediately caused an uproar on the Internet.
1. Austin expressed his stance that he would consider sending troops, and netizens hotly discussed the "bluff" of the United States
U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin recently stated on the issue of the Russia-Ukraine war that if the United States stops aid to Ukraine, the United States will consider sending troops to war with Russia. This remark immediately caused an uproar on the Internet, and most netizens thought that this was a "bluff" by the United States and purely "scaring people".
Austin's exact words were reported to be that "Putin's atrocities cannot be rewarded" and that if he does not continue to support Ukraine, "it will only encourage more atrocities in the future." Some analysts pointed out that this is the great importance that the United States attaches to the situation in Ukraine, and it also conveys a signal that the United States will not support Ukraine without a bottom line.
However, more netizens believe that the current reaction of the United States is only a "war of words" and will not really send troops to war with Russia. The first reason is that this will trigger a world war, and the consequences are difficult to predict; the second reason is that the United States has limited combat effectiveness in fighting Islamic terrorists, and it will be difficult to win against Russia; and the third reason is that if the United States actually goes to war, the United States will also be attacked, and the United States will not take this risk.
2. Comparative analysis of strength: Russia and the United States are inseparable from each other head-to-head
If we compare the strength of the United States and Russia, it is not difficult to find that the two countries are evenly matched on many levels, and it is difficult to distinguish between the two countries in a real war. In terms of economic strength, the US GDP in 2021 reached $23 trillion, nearly 10 times that of Russia, but in terms of military spending, Russia's military spending in 2021 was 4.1% of GDP, compared to only 3.5% of the United States.
Russia has invested heavily in the development of armaments, and its weaponry is of the highest level in the world. In terms of conventional weapons, the US military has 89 capital ships and Russia has 60, and the US military has more than 5,800 fighter planes and Russia has more than 3,700. The two countries are arguably comparable in this regard.
In terms of nuclear weapons, Russia has a total of more than 6,000 nuclear warheads, slightly more than the 5,500 in the United States. Russia has the largest number of tactical nuclear weapons in its hands, a counterweight to terror that the United States cannot ignore.
3. Think tank experts: The head-to-head confrontation between the United States and Russia will hit the strength of both sides hard
Regarding the question of whether the United States and Russia will go to war with real guns, most think tank experts give a judgment of "low likelihood". The professor at the Moscow Institute of International Relations said that it would be catastrophic, and that both the United States and Russia were losers. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace researchers note that Ukraine is important to the United States, but far from worth the lives of hundreds of thousands of American soldiers for it.
Brookings Institution scholars also believe that the United States is most worried about getting involved in a proxy war, and the current approach is to weaken Russia without actually entering the war. Coincidentally, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has recently publicly appealed to the United States not to fear a head-on confrontation with Russia for fear of World War III.
4. Prediction: It is difficult for the United States and Russia to go to war, and multilateral negotiations are expected to thaw
Looking at the current situation and rhetoric of the United States and Russia, the author predicts that the possibility of a head-on war between the two countries is extremely low. The reason is that it will be a devastating blow to the forces of both countries, and the consequences will be unbearable.
However, if the conflict escalates and prolongs further, this possibility will also increase. The key lies in whether the international community, especially China, which has good relations with Russia, can facilitate and promote effective multilateral negotiations to thaw the current impasse. This requires the world's major powers to transcend their differences and play their part in avoiding world instability.
User Comments:
Some netizens said: The United States is talking about it, they have never only exported ideas, not revolution. In the face of a strong enemy like Russia, it is simply a fool's dream to talk about sending troops.
Some netizens also said: It cannot be ruled out that US politicians will make extreme decisions, and don't they go to war like crazy on the Iraq issue? What we are most afraid of now is that the two sides misjudge the situation and make mistakes in the escalation of confrontation.
Some netizens said: The consequences of the head-to-head confrontation between the United States and Russia are too tragic, and this is a disaster for the entire human race. We look forward to the two major powers joining hands to address global challenges, rather than fighting each other.