Any war in the world has different interests from different standpoints and angles. Therefore, it is actually of little significance to divide right and wrong, because right and wrong are only relative, and it is fundamental to talk about their own interests.
Now that the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is about to turn two years old, and the new round of Palestinian-Israeli conflict is almost three months away, both of which are counteroffensive wars against the US hegemonic strategy. Before talking about the benefits of the two wars of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict for our China, let's talk about the global hegemony strategy of the United States.
Since the fall of Britain, the old hegemon of World War II, the world has become two camps dominated by the United States and the Soviet Union, namely NATO and the Warsaw Pact. In the previous Middle East wars, in fact, the United States, the Soviet Union, and Britain were competing for interests in the Middle East, because the Middle East was a British colony before World War II. Supporting the Jews to establish Israel was supported by the United States and the Soviet Union to deal with Britain, but I did not expect that after the first Middle East war, Israel fell to the United States.
The USSR thus broke with Israel. The United States also waged several wars in the Middle East through Israel as a proxy, and after successfully dismantling the Arab League, it established the petrodollar hegemony. The struggle for hegemony between the United States and the Soviet Union lasted for more than forty years, and finally the Soviet Union failed and collapsed, and the United States became the world's first power!
The United States then proceeded to its global hegemony; In fact, until now, under the coercion of the United States, the vast majority of the so-called independent countries in the world have only nominally independent people.
For example, countries like Japan, South Korea, Germany, Canada, etc., cannot make their own decisions in terms of diplomacy and military, including their own national territory. Honestly, what's the difference between these countries and colonies?
The so-called sovereign independence refers to the fact that the cultural, economic, scientific, technological, and military systems can be self-contained and achieve comprehensive and independent development. In addition to the United States, there are only two countries left in the world: China and Russia. The reason why the United States has such good welfare is not how industrious the Americans are, but because the hegemonic rules of the United States in the world trading system force everyone to use the dollar as the settlement currency for doing business.
Not only does the United States not only have to "pump water," but everyone has to put even the principal and interest in the United States' wallet and let it be at its disposal. In other words, it means that other countries have to work for the United States to support and maintain their high welfare life.
Under the influence of China and Russia's independent development, more and more countries also hope to achieve sovereign independence and independent development, so they have begun to say no to US hegemony. Therefore, the United States regards China and Russia as a thorn in the flesh, and has been trying in vain to make China and Russia subordinate through containment, suppression, cultural invasion and other means.
Its strategic route of advancement is to expand eastward from Europe to blockade and encircle Russia. With regard to China's encirclement, the United States is trying in vain to push it all the way from the Middle East to Afghanistan and intervene in the Xinjiang region through the Wakhan Corridor, and then form a so-called island chain from East Asia with Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines as proxies, and carry out a complete blockade and containment of us from both land and water.
It is estimated that many people may not know that Afghanistan is our neighbor, and the mainland Xinjiang borders Afghanistan, with a 400-kilometer-long narrow valley in the middle. Of these, 100 kilometers are located in Xinjiang, more than 200 kilometers are in Afghanistan, and the middle 92 kilometers are the area connecting China and Afghanistan.
Originally, the United States wanted Afghanistan to be a puppet, but Afghanistan resolutely refused to submit, so the United States launched a war of aggression by labeling them terrorists and saying that they possessed weapons of mass destruction. The war lasted from 2001 to 2014, and the strong Afghans made the US military suffer, and in the end, the United States could only abandon the unconquered Afghanistan and withdraw its troops!
To tell you the truth, if Afghanistan had been conquered by the United States, I am afraid that Xinjiang would not have the tranquility it has now! It is estimated that everyone should remember that the Philippines became a pawn of the United States in 2012 and created the Scarborough Shoal incident, and then the United States led the so-called South China Sea arbitration case. In 2016, there was a confrontation in the South China Sea, and after an invisible battle, the US military withdrew from the South China Sea.
If Afghanistan becomes a proxy of the United States, perhaps it will not be Russia that will fight first.
I guess it was the confrontation in the South China Sea that made the United States make a war assessment before deciding to strike at Russia first. The reason is very simple, we have no problem with our backs, if a war is started within the first island chain, the US coalition forces need to rely on supplies from the sea and air, and with the mainland's shore-based missile strike capability, the United States has no chance of winning at all.
But the Russian side is different, the border with Ukraine is completely land and flat, and it is much easier to replenish. Therefore, it is not that Putin does not have strategic determination, but that the West has decided to take Russia first. Because once Russia is subjugated by the West, it borders the mainland by land, and at this time the West can besiege us from multiple directions.
In 2014, the US-led NATO bloc in Europe had expanded eastward to the Warsaw Pact border with Russia. But Ukrainian President Poroshenko at this time was a sober man and did not want to become a war agent of the West. The United States has successfully propped up the comedian Zelensky, who has no political experience, as the president of Ukraine by inciting so-called democracy and freedom, and began to train the Ukrainian army to constantly provoke Russia.
Zelensky, like the new Argentine President Milley, is an actor who can win the love and support of the people through his performances. The vast majority of the people do not understand politics, and they will support whoever makes them happy, but for a country in an important strategic position, it is absolutely a great disaster to let people who do not understand politics come to power.
In fact, everyone knows it, but they often don't choose it that way. So, the Ukrainian people are going through the pain of war!
After the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, it is estimated that what the United States never dreamed of was that Russia was stunned to resist the war with the resources provided by more than 30 NATO countries for nearly two years. Objectively speaking, it is the persecution of the United States that has made China and Russia back-to-back strategic partners. Otherwise, China and Russia are just leading countries, and the relationship was not good before.
We must admit that we have a common enemy with Russia in terms of anti-American hegemony, and the longer Russia carries it, the better it will be for us. We can find some problems in those weapons and equipment that NATO provides to Ukraine, and then make corresponding preparations, and the longer Russia carries it, the greater the consumption of the West, which is very beneficial to us.
In essence, we must break the hegemonic rules of the United States, and we must defeat it, otherwise it will be impossible for it to give up the terms of hegemony and sit down for negotiations. However, the best way to defeat the United States is not to injure the enemy by injuring 1,000 and inflicting 800 losses on itself, but to use strength to fight.
At the beginning of 2023, the West has been unable to keep up with the needs of the Ukrainian battlefield in terms of weapons and ammunition. On January 17, 2023, the New York Times quoted U.S. and Israeli officials as saying that the U.S. Department of Defense is using a large but little-known ammunition depot inside Israel to supply Ukraine with artillery shells. After an agreement was reached between the US Department of Defense and the Israeli government, approximately 300,000 155-mm artillery shells were transferred through this ammunition depot.
Now that NATO is running out of ammunition, this is the best time to take the opportunity to open up a new battlefield that can contain the West, and the Middle East is undoubtedly the best choice as a base for petrodollars. Because after the outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian war, the United States once again withdrew its troops from the Middle East to Europe on a large scale, and now it has transferred artillery shells from the Middle East proxy Israel to the battlefield in Ukraine, which shows that the United States is very empty in the Middle East.
As a result, the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Group (Hamas) launched an attack on Israel and became the vanguard of anti-American hegemony in the Middle East.
On October 19, 2023 local time, American media Axios reported that a number of Israeli officials revealed that the United States plans to transfer tens of thousands of 155mm ammunition to aid Ukraine to Israel. According to the report, it was the Israeli military that told the Pentagon that they needed the shells for a ground offensive against Gaza.
In terms of the anti-US hegemonic strategy, it is necessary to abolish the NATO bloc in Europe and the hegemony of the dollar in the Middle East. In this way, if we abolish the island chain encirclement of the United States in East Asia, there is a high probability that we will not have to solve it through war.
The outbreak of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict has undoubtedly greatly reduced the pressure on Russia, and the West is facing a two-front attrition. As long as this side of the Middle East continues, it is inevitable that Russia will defeat NATO on the battlefield in Ukraine.
As long as the "wheel warfare" is used in the Middle East to encircle and beat Israel, and the method of cutting the flesh with a knife is used to keep Israel in long-term tension and fear, the United States can be contained. Israel, a small country, has very limited industrial production capacity, mainly relying on imports to sustain it, and its reserves basically cannot last for four months.
Israeli ace forces are withdrawing from Gaza
Therefore, the Middle East side must not let Israel rest, that is, it is to turn over and fight it, so that it is in constant tension and fear, and Israel will inevitably cling to the thigh of the United States. If the United States is dragged into the water, it is tantamount to being caught in a proxy war.
For other Middle Eastern countries, the killing of Israel is a shameful "holy war" and a national victory!
Judging from the current situation in the Middle East, it is a proxy war to besiege Israel, that is, to fight Israel through non-governmental armed groups. This is actually a very good way, someone pays for it, someone gives weapons, and then let these armed forces assemble to fight Israel.
Not only can it consume the enemy, but the countries of the Middle East can also take the opportunity to export the threat of excess domestic force to their own regime, and at the same time, they can also test the performance of weapons and equipment through actual combat. Judging from the current situation, Saudi Arabia and Iran have a consensus as the Sunni and Shiite bosses of Islam to kill Israel and completely drive the United States out of the Middle East.
In fact, China and Russia can also join forces with Middle Eastern countries to conduct joint military Xi at sea, and transport weapons and equipment that need to be eliminated to the Middle East through warships for discounting. And Russia could send Wagner to the Middle East to assist those armed groups, for Russia, facing the same enemy, just fighting on different battlefields.
On the battlefield in Ukraine, it is necessary to have a pair of thirty, and in the Middle East, there are seven or eight teams to consume the United States together, which is simply not too cost-effective. For the United States, this is another battlefield, and it needs to face a large number of armed groups supported by resources throughout the Middle East.
For the Arab countries of the Middle East, this is an opportunity to re-establish the rules with the United States, and they will not easily miss this opportunity. As long as the United States cannot hold on, NATO will collapse, similar to France, which has long wanted to throw off the iron chain around its neck and become the boss of Europe.
The Israeli "nail" must be removed, otherwise there will be no peace on the Syrian side. Syria is located at the crossroads of Asia, Europe and Africa, and if it is truncated here, the Belt and Road will not be smooth.
It is good for us that the Middle East is now working together to eradicate Israel. It is estimated that the decisive battle in the Middle East will be in the Golan Heights between Syria, Lebanon and Israel. Because the Golan Heights is not only a strategic high ground in the Middle East, but also a water tower in the Middle East, where about half of Israel's fresh water comes from.
It is estimated that when the time comes, the front will expand from Gaza to this area, and this is also the best place for Russia to intervene. As long as the "Middle East game" is successfully played and Russia will win, and we will subdue Japan, South Korea, and the Philippines, the US proxy in East Asia, there will be basically no need to use force.
The Middle East situation is an anti-US hegemonic battle that combines the right time, place, and people, and marks the change of the anti-US hegemonic strategy from passive to active! Israel will die, and the United States will lose!