The situation in 2023 is a bit unexpected, originally everyone thought that as the epidemic gradually drifted away, the economy recovered rapidly, and good days were coming, however, what was unexpected was that the new crown disappeared, and the real hard days came. What's going on? Let's find out:
01 The economic recovery is in trouble
It is clear that resuming economic development after the pandemic is a top priority, and as people return to travel and work, consumer demand will rise sharply, and society will be at full strength, and the economy will quickly catch up with the previous economic level.
However, a year has passed, the rapid economic recovery has been far less than expected, some industries have fallen into a state of stagnation or even recession, and people are far from being as confident as they were at the beginning of the year to overcome difficulties and move forward.
First of all, there are serious financial problems.
Since the real estate market entered the adjustment cycle, land revenue has fallen sharply, which has further led to the fact that the income and expenditure of some areas are almost completely balanced, so there is a fiscal deficit within a certain range.
Not only that, but it can be seen from the current data that land finance in some areas is significantly lagging behind compared to the past. It would not be an exaggeration to say that it is in a state of atrophy.
According to the data released by the Ministry of Finance, from January to October, the national government fund budget revenue was 4,379.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 16%. In terms of central and local governments, the budget revenue of central government funds was 341.7 billion yuan, down 5.8 percent year-on-year, and the budget revenue of local government funds at the same level was 4,037.8 billion yuan, down 16.8 percent year-on-year, of which 3,499.2 billion yuan was from the transfer of state-owned land use rights, down 20.5 percent year-on-year.
Second, the frequent occurrence of local bonds has exacerbated the financial crisis.
Its scale has not been properly addressed for many years, and it has now become the last straw that overwhelms finance. Obviously, its consequences are too much for ordinary people to bear, and even seriously threaten local credit problems.
If you lose everyone's trust, it will be very detrimental to the local economy and other aspects in the long run. Therefore, in order to solve this problem, the relevant departments have taken measures to eliminate non-staff personnel and simplify the personnel in the system as a way to relieve the pressure.
For example, in February this year, Tongcheng City, Anhui Province, held a symposium on the standardization of the clean-up of non-staff personnel.
In August this year, Lichuan City, Hubei Province, also publicly stated that it had dismissed 301 non-staff employees who had not been standardized.
In October this year, the China Institutional Establishment Network also announced that according to the transfer of duties, the People's Bank of China will correspondingly reduce the number of 30 administrative personnel and 6 departmental and bureau-level leaders.
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Judging by the reaction of the common people, people are still very supportive of this policy and have great hopes for it. However, it wasn't long before the tuition fees went up, as if it was pouring cold water on people again.
For example, there is news on the Internet that in recent years, some colleges and universities have said that it is difficult to cover the cost of training with financial support alone. Since the beginning of this year, colleges and universities have ushered in another wave of "price increases", including Shanghai, Jilin, Sichuan and other provinces have raised the tuition fees of college freshmen.
For example, Shanghai plans to adjust the average tuition standard of public colleges and universities from 5,420 yuan per student per academic year to 7,215 yuan per student per academic year from the fall of 2023, an increase of about 33%. For new students, the average overpayment of tuition fees per student per academic year (two semesters) is about 1,795 yuan.
From this, or perhaps everyone understands a little, and realizes that this is just a disaster. Realize that in recent years, most people have unknowingly owed a lot of debt, and life is becoming more and more stressful, and a lot of everyone's salary is used to pay off debts.
Even more seriously, people may finally realize that almost no one can escape the fate of "debt repayment", and that all those who enjoy public services have become "victims" of sharing the burden of local debt.
02 China has been mired in various trade wars.
China has always adhered to the policy of common development and has lived in friendship with other countries.
However, it will inevitably be deliberately targeted by some countries. We insist on saluting first and then soldiering, and patience is limited. If necessary, we will take measures to sanction the other party. For example, on December 21, the Ministry of Commerce and the Ministry of Science and Technology issued the revised Catalogue of Technologies Prohibited and Restricted from Export by China, which will be implemented from the date of publication.
Compared with the 2020 version of the Catalogue, the technical items in the new Catalogue have been reduced from 164 to 134, with a total of 34 technical items deleted, 4 new items added, and 37 modified.
Among them, the new item is 1 prohibited technical item, that is, for human cell cloning and gene editing technology. The three new technical items that are restricted from export are crop hybrid advantage utilization technology, bulk material handling and transportation technology, and lidar system.
In addition, from mining and smelting technology, the rare earth industry is on the list of prohibited and restricted exports.
However, some insiders believe that China is still in a weak position in this trade war. Because the United States has been cooperating with other forces to contain China. This situation will be very detrimental to the development of China's foreign trade enterprises.
Therefore, in the case of a completely limited foreign trade industry, it is difficult for ordinary people not to be affected. After all, manufacturing accounts for a large proportion of China's industry. If the development of the manufacturing industry is sluggish, it is conceivable that many enterprises will face layoffs. So what should ordinary people do to reduce the impact of the storm in this situation?
03 There are two issues to pay attention to in future employment
Recently, the storm has formed, and it is useless to complain, the only thing we can do is to recognize the facts, try to avoid this risk, and reduce the damage caused to ourselves.
1. Try to stay away from sunset industries when you are employed.
Sunset industries refer to those industries that are gradually declining due to technological progress, market changes, etc. Jobs in these industries often face problems such as reduced employment opportunities and limited development space. For example, the traditional real estate industry and manufacturing industry, in recent years, their development prospects are not as good as before.
For our college students who have just entered the society, we must keep our eyes open and focus on the prospects of the industry.
Of course, starting a business is also a good option, and the state will also provide corresponding financial support. However, choosing the direction of entrepreneurship also requires an analysis of the prospects of the industry.
2. Work in a city with a high level of economy.
This is mainly because big cities do have better employment opportunities and more choices, and wages are much higher than in ordinary cities.
Young people need more courage to pursue their dreams, and the desire for a comfortable life is destined to be ordinary. Only by daring to fight and dare to break through can we have the opportunity to compete with others.
Of course, if you don't seek fame and fortune in a big city, but you are very confused about your future development, and you don't know what kind of work you are good at and what kind of environment you are suitable for, it is also recommended that you may as well experience a few years in a big city.
During this time, the circles you come into contact with and the work you come into contact with will make you self-reflect and understand what you really want in the constant collision. And with the big city as a springboard, it will be easier for you to go back to the small city in a few years.
In short, the law of nature is the survival of the fittest! For us ordinary people, we cannot fundamentally change the overall economy of the country, but we can change our attitude towards dealing with problems and choose whether or not to actively adapt to the current environment in order to seek a more suitable direction for our development.
Wan Ziwen said: Every word of the article was typed out by me, and I clicked "watching" to let me know that you are also "doing your best" for life.