【Military Subplane】Author: Big Ivan
According to a report by Iranian state television quoted by Chinanews on December 26, on December 25, local time, the Israeli Air Force carried out an airstrike on the Saeed Zainap area near Damascus, Syria. In this airstrike, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps unfortunately lost a general, and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' senior military adviser in Syria, Said Razi Mousavi, was killed by the Israeli Air Force, which can be said to have suffered heavy losses.
However, after Mousavi was killed by the Israeli Air Force, the news came out of a mess, for example, some media did not know how they heard it, and inexplicably passed Mousavi to the "Commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps", and the whole thing also turned into "The Commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps was killed by the Israeli Air Force in Syria"...... At the same time, more media attention has focused on Mousavi and Major General Haji Qasim Soleimani, the commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps' Quds Force (Quds), who was assassinated by Trump in 2020, noting that Mousavi and Soleimani have a good relationship and that the two are "close comrades-in-arms."
Mousavi and Soleimani before their deaths
At the same time, news that Iran will retaliate against Mousavi for his death has also spread on the Internet, saying that Iran will carry out large-scale retaliation against Israel. What's even more outrageous is that the news created by our domestic self-media, Big Ivan heard that it was actually exported to domestic sales and moved to Iran......
However, the Israeli side reacted very cautiously, and when the Israeli army spokesman mentioned the news of Mousavi's death, he uncharacteristically did not directly admit that the incident was related to the Israeli Air Force, but only said that all the tactical actions of the Israeli Air Force were made in accordance with Israel's national interests.
Moussaoui's true identity
The killing of a military adviser, Mousavi, by the Israeli bombing has led to so many stories of demons and monsters, most of which are fake news.
There are many erroneous reports on the Internet that the "commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps" was killed
For example, some media outlets say that Saeed Mousavi is the commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, and then more media outlets quote it without distinction, which is an outright rumor. According to a press release from the French Broadcasting Corporation that reported the incident earlier, Sayyid Razi Mousavi has the rank of brigadier general in the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, and of course the rank of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps is very special, and the supreme commander is only a major general.
It is worth mentioning that because the Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force is responsible for Iran's special function of expanding its overseas influence and carrying out overseas military operations, although the Quds Force is nominally under the command of the Revolutionary Guards, the commander of the Quds Force is also a major general, such as Major General Soleimani and his successor, Major General Ismail. So, since Mousavi has the rank of brigadier general, and it is not clear whether he is a brigadier general or a brigadier general of the second class, he is clearly not up to the post of commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps.
In fact, the current commander of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps and the commander of the Quds Force of the Revolutionary Guard Corps are all public:
The current commander of the Revolutionary Guards is Major General Hussein Seramy, who was appointed by Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Ali in 2019 to replace the former commander of the Revolutionary Guards, Major General Mohammad Jaafari. Major General Salami has been active in recent years, and after the start of the "Al-Aqsa flood" military operation, he also issued a strategic deterrent to Israel;
The commander of the Revolutionary Guards Quds Force has been Maj. Gen. Ismail Carney since the death of Maj. Gen. Soleimani in January 2020. Before taking office, Major General Carney had been serving as General Soleimani's deputy, specializing in the intelligence work of the Quds Force.
As for Brigadier General Mousavi, considering the strategic layout of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps' "Arc of Resistance" in Syria and Lebanon, there must be a high-ranking general in Syria who will oversee the overall strategic situation of the Arc of Resistance in Syria, and Brigadier General Mousavi may be responsible for this function. Therefore, it is of course correct to say that this high-ranking general has a more important position in the arc of resistance, but it is better to say that this high-ranking general is the "commander" of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards.
As the former commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps Quds Force, Major General Soleimani has been active in the strategic center of gravity of the arc of resistance - Syria, Lebanon and Iraq in the last years of his life. Generally speaking, as the three important strategic bases of the Arc of Resistance, the Revolutionary Guard Quds Force has three senior generals at the brigadier level in Syria, Lebanon, and Iraq to oversee the overall strategic situation of the Arc of Resistance. As a military adviser to the three countries, it is not surprising that Major General Soleimani has a good relationship with the three senior generals of the Brigadier General rank.
At present, there is no sufficient evidence that Brigadier General Mousavi and Major General Soleimani have a good personal relationship between them. The only thing that Big Ivan is more interested in is that when Major General Soleimani was about to die for four years, he was brought out by various media, which proved how famous this general was back then.
Will Iran retaliate on a massive scale?
As for Iran's retaliation? Big Ivan believes that there will not be much retaliation, and judging from the current statements of all parties in Iran, as of the time Big Ivan wrote this article (on the evening of 26 July), Supreme Leader Khamenei did not express his position.
The army of the Islamic Republic of Iran has stated that it will give an "authoritative response" to the murder of Brigadier General Mousavi, but this "authoritative response" will be completely different from the "terrorist acts" carried out by the Zionist regime; Iranian President Raisi has also stated that Raisi's statement is relatively softer, pointing out that the Zionist bombing of Brigadier General Mousavi is "weak and desperate" and that Israel will "pay the price" for his crimes; neither the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps nor the Quds Force have taken a stand.
Of course, theoretically saying that the Iranian armed forces have made a statement, it is equivalent to the Revolutionary Guards. Compared with the statements of all parties in Iran after the death of Major General Soleimani, it can be found that Iran does not seem to care about the death of Brigadier General Mousavi, and the intensity of confrontation is likely not to be compared with the "Soleimani" operation in that year:
After all, on the one hand, the arc of resistance of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps has now begun to give Israel strength. The current intensification of the assault on Israel includes the Houthi raids on merchant ships heading for the port of Eilat in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which have had a major impact on Israeli imports; the Allah attacks on Israel along the Lebanese-Israeli border, forcing Israel to abandon its northern settlements as a whole and turning a large number of pioneers into street walkers; and the raids and harassment of US military bases in Iraq, which have left the US military in the Middle East to take care of other ......
At present, the latest card thrown out by Iran is in the Strait of Gibraltar, and Big Ivan tends to break diplomatic relations near the coast of Israel, which geopolitically, in fact, has formed an encirclement of Israel, especially the Strait of Gibraltar, which is really likely to lock Israel up. Therefore, the Revolutionary Guards just need to continue to fight according to the established plan, and there is no need to play another role.
On the other hand, this intelligence war between Iran and Israel has always been an open secret in the Middle East. Israel's intelligence services are relatively high-profile, and the assassination of Iranian nuclear scientists and Revolutionary Guard Corps dignitaries will generally be reported all over the world, while Iran's retaliation, Israel and Western media will generally tend to cover the cover. Judging from the Israeli army's ability to conceal casualties this time, the Israeli side has the ability to cover the cover.
So, if Israel assassinates one of Iran's top military advisers in Syria, the most likely response from the Iranian side is to respond by means of intelligence warfare and assassinate one of Israel's Mossad or Sinbet leaders. It is also possible to respond by maintaining the current strategic posture but increasing the tactical level further, such as supplying the Houthis with more powerful gadgets, the Allah Party with new guys, and the Iraqi Popular Mobilization Forces with the ballistic missiles they covet to hit US military bases...... These responses are completely sufficient, and since the Zionist assassination has come, the Revolutionary Guards will be able to kill them back.
In the end, Ivan's point of view, in fact, should not look at the death of Brigadier General Mousavi as important to the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps, a major feature of the Arc of Resistance in military and political terms is decentralization and multiple backups.
The so-called decentralization is tailor-made for the decapitation operations carried out by the US military and the Israeli army, and multiple decision-making modules form a decision-making center, and one or two decision-making modules are missing, which will not have much impact on the resistance organization of the Arc of Resistance. The most typical example is Hamas's Politburo, you take him as a Politburo leader, and the rest of the leaders continue to lead the armed struggle, and even in the organization of the armed forces, the Arc of Resistance also implements the principle of decentralization well, especially the Houthis in Yemen and the Allah forces in Lebanon.
And in terms of backup, the senior leaders of the Arc of Resistance are more or less sacrificial, ready to sacrifice meaningfully one day when they embark on the path of confrontation with the Israeli Zionist regime. Thus, the death of a senior leader, his deputy is then on top, and the deputy of the deputy is on top...... For example, Major General Soleimani died, Major General Ismail was on top, and Major General Ismail's deputy served as the deputy commander of the Quds forces.
Therefore, the outside world takes the death of Brigadier General Mousavi so seriously, and Big Ivan does not care about this at all. As long as Israel continues to exist, there will be an arc of resistance, and if there is an arc of resistance, there will be sacrifices, and what to do if there is sacrifice, and future generations will continue to move forward.