Champions League Death Group: Paris has the strongest attack, Milan has the fewest goals, and Newcastle are eliminated if they lose!
Champions League Group F is worthy of the strongest group of death in 23/24, the current 4 strong teams in the group are ranked with 7 points (Dortmund), 6 points (Paris Saint-Germain), 5 points (AC Milan), 4 points (Newcastle), and Dortmund can top the list as the first in the group, on the one hand, it is indeed the day Newcastle, giving Newcastle two defeats, on the other hand, Dortmund compared to Milan and Newcastle, the injury situation is also more stable.
Champions League Group F standings
Now, the four giants in Group F can be said to have won and lost each other (except for Newcastle who were beaten by Borussia Dortmund), among them, Paris Saint-Germain is undoubtedly the strongest team on paper, Paris Saint-Germain is at the top of the table with a total value of 1.07 billion euros, and their performance of scoring 7 goals in 4 games against strong opponents also fully shows that Paris Saint-Germain is outstanding.
1. The strongest theory: Paris Saint-Germain
In this group stage, Paris Saint-Germain is the only team that can score in 4 games, even the current group leader Dortmund, only two games with Newcastle can score, which shows that the 4 teams will be extra cautious when playing each other to avoid creating opportunities for the opponent, which also led to a total of 8 matches in the Champions League Group F, 4 teams have scored a total of 16 goals! is one of the lowest in the 8 groups of the Champions League.
The key reason why Paris Saint-Germain is in second place
As the well-deserved "big brother" of Group F, the reason why Paris Saint-Germain failed to win Dortmund is relatively simple, and Paris Saint-Germain's away results are particularly bad: Paris Saint-Germain has played a total of 8 away games this season, with only 4 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses, and all away losses with Newcastle and AC Milan.
Such a poor away result really shouldn't have happened to the Ligue 1 hegemon!
From a statistical point of view, Paris Saint-Germain's poor away from home in the Champions League can be reflected in tactics, whether it is Dortmund or AC Milan, or Newcastle, which defeated Paris Saint-Germain 4:1, these three teams are very conservative in the face of Paris, and the average possession rate is only about 35%, Paris can calmly beat Dort and Milan at home, but it seems that the offensive ability is insufficient on the road.
Although Paris brought in Portuguese center forward Gonzalo Ramos, the 22-year-old center forward is indeed difficult to stand alone in the face of the conservative teams facing Paris, and it will take time and experience to go further.
Mbappe needs to step up
On the other hand, although Enrique got the coaching job of Paris Saint-Germain, the transfer power is not entirely up to him, Mbappe hopes to build a stronger "French Paris", so this summer window Muani, Dembele, Barcorra, Lucas have come, and Neymar, Verratti, Wijnaldum and other players have left, Paris Saint-Germain's introduction of these Frenchmen has not performed as well as ideally, and they still need time to integrate into the team.
2. The worst team: Newcastle
You'd be hard-pressed to say that Newcastle's injury wave isn't directly related to the Champions League, with around 12 players unavailable for a variety of reasons in tomorrow's clash with Paris Saint-Germain, including main players Dan Byrne, Joseph Willock, Botman, Wilson, Sean (uncertain availability), and main substitutes Barnes, Targart, Elliott, Murphy, Tonali.
This has been the case for a long time, and it is precisely as it has been the case that Newcastle's results have dropped significantly in the last two months, with the good news being that Eddie Howe still has a good starting XI (most recently a 4-1 win over Chelsea) and the bad news is that Newcastle have won just two of their nine away games this season, including a Carabao Cup game.
3. The team with the fewest goals: AC Milan
For AC Milan, the most uncomfortable thing is the injury of their frontcourt core Rafael Leao, Milan has actually lost less games this season as long as they play counter-attacks, but they have lost more games in active possession, and Leao is undoubtedly the focus of Milan's counter-attack.
Rafael Leao is Milan's best player at breaking through
In this season's Champions League, Leao can complete an average of 3.8 dribbles per game, and his absence is definitely an irreparable loss for AC Milan, especially Milan's goals this season are more difficult.
However, the good news is that AC Milan are the absolute home dragons, and although they have lost two games at home this season, Milan played one less man in the half of the game against Juventus because of a foul on Malik Jiafu.
Recently, AC Milan has won consecutive home games against Paris Saint-Germain and Fiorentina under the pressure of injuries, which shows the tenacity of AC Milan at home.
4. The team with the most points: Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund are currently the closest team to qualifying, and a win away at Milan would secure a place for Dortmund, which is bound to boost their hunger for victory.
But Dortmund's biggest problem is actually difficult to solve, in the past two seasons, Dortmund has sent away Haaland and Bellingham in a row, Dortmund's attack has declined significantly, especially last season Dortmund's key signing of striker Alli, he also declined significantly because of his own illness, and has not been able to integrate into Dortmund.
Bellingham was one of Dort's goal guarantees last season
And the responsibility of replacing Bellingham and Haaland has been handed over to Sabitzer and Phil Kruger, both of whom are far inferior to Bellingham and Haaland in terms of ability and potential!
Dortmund's average of goals per game in the Bundesliga this season is only 2.08 goals, while in previous seasons, Dortmund has always been able to maintain around 2.44 goals, and from the perspective of Dortmund's summer window recruitment, Dortmund's transfer strategy, with the continuous personnel changes, gradually become pragmatic, Phil Kruger, Sabitzer, Bensebaini The average age of the three main players in the new season is 29 years old.
Overall, Borussia Dortmund have sent away a pillar player almost every year in recent years, and it is normal for results to fluctuate, and Dortmund's current results are still something to be proud of.
Conclusion: Predict the outcome of the match
Group F matches will be played at the same time tomorrow morning at 04:00 a.m., and in my opinion, Paris Saint-Germain and AC Milan are the more dominant teams playing at home, so I think both teams can win.
Among them, although Newcastle has a good lineup, there are very few qualified substitutes available for this team, and it is difficult for the main players to get a chance to rest during the previous international break, and Newcastle's lineup will become more and more difficult to continue, and this time facing Paris Saint-Germain, the strongest team in the group, Newcastle will be difficult to bear.
As for the match between AC Milan and Dortmund, the author prefers to believe in San Siro's AC Milan, especially compared to Dortmund, AC Milan has actually strengthened its strength this summer, even if Leao is absent, Milan has other options, and Pioli's conservative style in the face of strong teams may become the key to Milan's victory!