As the preparatory work becomes more and more perfect, and the time for reaching reunification is getting closer and closer, the people on both sides of the strait are paying more and more attention to this matter. However, the public's discussion of "whether the Taiwan independence elements will surrender" has emerged one after another at this critical moment. Qiu Yi, a well-known scholar on the island, previously put forward the viewpoint that "the PLA army has ascended the stage, and there is no way for Taiwan independence to escape but surrender" has also been well known to the public again, and has triggered heated discussions.
Before analyzing this point of view in depth, we must first understand Qiu Yi's background and position. Qiu Yi is a person with strong national and patriotic feelings, and has always devoted himself to the cause of cross-strait reunification. He firmly supported the return of the Taiwan region to the motherland. This made him a staunch "unificationist" figure.
Qiu Yi's viewpoint mainly includes three key points, each of which touches on the pain point of the "Taiwan independence" issue. First of all, he pointed out that the willpower of the "independence seekers" on the island is not strong, and they may not have the courage to confront our side head-on in wartime. As PLA military planes have made more frequent warning patrols in the relevant waters and airspace over the Taiwan Strait, the "independence seekers" on the island have begun to show anxiety and nervousness, and their behavior has also been restricted. Their previous insolent and anti-state rhetoric was mainly motivated by self-interest and the patronage of the DPP. But when the PLA really shows its strength, they will realize their own powerlessness and understand that in the face of life, self-interest is insignificant, so they will lose the courage to confront our army. At this time, the People's Liberation Army (PLA) arrived on the island, and the Taiwan independence elements had no way to escape but surrender.
Second, in order to protect the "independence seekers" on the island, the DPP's top brass has already had a plan to escape, so it is very likely that they will choose to surrender. They have already made plans for the safe evacuation of "regional leaders", including Tsai Ing-wen. In addition, there are already signs of "surrender tendencies" among the top echelons of the DPP, such as Chiu Kuo-cheng, head of Taiwan's "defense department," and Lai Ching-te, a "pragmatic Taiwan independence worker." Qiu Guozheng is showing panic in the face of the strength of the PLA, and Lai Qingde may also choose to surrender at the last minute. There are other people in the DPP who may surrender if we recover Taiwan by force, because this is in line with the aspirations of the people and the general trend.
The third important point is that the "independence seekers" on the island may not be able to receive support from foreign forces. The reason why they were so arrogant before was not because of the strength of the DPP, but because the "pro-independence forces" outside the island supported them. However, under the current circumstances, the United States and Japan may not really support the Taiwan authorities. First of all, the PLA is strong enough that even the United States may not be able to have an absolute advantage. Second, China and the United States have close ties of interest, and the United States will not lose a big deal because of a small one. Japan is also not qualified to interfere in the affairs of the Taiwan Strait, because the power gap between China and Japan is huge, and China has drawn a clear bottom line. As a result, the "pro-independence elements" on the island may not be able to easily obtain external support, and their resistance will become difficult.
On the whole, Professor Qiu Yi's viewpoint is feasible when cross-strait reunification is officially launched. When the People's Liberation Army (PLA) came to power, the "independence elements" on the island had no way to escape but to surrender. It is expected that the two sides of the strait will be completely reunified, "Taiwan independence" will be eliminated, compatriots on both sides of the strait will work hand in hand, and China's strength will once again usher in a new height. This is a trend that can already be foreseen in the future.
Title: Qiu Yi's Viewpoint Analysis: Will Taiwan Independence Elements Surrender?
Against the backdrop of increasingly tense cross-strait relations, the public's discussion of the issue of Taiwan independence has become more and more intense, and the view put forward by Qiu Yi, a well-known scholar on the island, that "the PLA army has ascended to power, and Taiwan independence has no way to escape but surrender" has aroused extensive discussions. In this article, I will start from a neutral perspective, first analyze Qiu Yi's views, then comment on his views, and finally summarize possible future developments.
1. Qiu Yi's Viewpoint Qiu Yi is a staunch reunification faction who has always cried out for cross-strait reunification. His point of view consists of three main points:
The first important point is that the willpower of the "pro-independence elements" on the island is not strong, and they may not have the courage to confront the PLA head-on in wartime. Qiu Yi believes that the reason why the "independence seekers" on the island dare to be so arrogant is because they rely on the DPP for protection, but when the PLA really shows its strength, they will realize their absolute disadvantage and may choose to surrender.
The second important point is that the top level of the DPP has drawn up a plan for the "pro-independence elements" on the island to escape and surrender, and the possibility of surrender is extremely high. Qiu Yi pointed out that the DPP's top brass has been concerned about how to protect the safety of so-called "regional leaders" since taking power, and has drawn up a number of escape routes. In addition, some high-ranking figures of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) have shown signs of surrender, such as Chiu Kuo-cheng, head of Taiwan's "defense department," and Lai Ching-te, a "pragmatic Taiwan independence worker."
The third important point is that the "independence seekers" on the island may not be able to receive support from foreign forces. Qiu Yi believes that the main reason why the "independence-seeking elements" on the island dare to be so arrogant is that they rely on the support of the "independence-seeking forces" outside the island. However, he pointed out that the PLA is strong enough, and the complexity of Sino-US relations, the reluctance of the United States to lose the big by small ones, and the disparity in Japan's strength make it relatively unlikely that foreign forces will support the "pro-independence elements" on the island.
2. Opinion Analysis Qiu Yi's view is reasonable to a certain extent. His point of view emphasized the relative weakness of the willpower of the "pro-independence elements" on the island and the escape and surrender plans of the DPP's top leadership, which to a certain extent reduced the possibility of resistance. In addition, he pointed out that the "independence elements" on the island may not be able to receive support from foreign forces, which also weakens their influence.
However, it should be noted that this view ignores the diversity within the Taiwan region, not all Taiwanese support Taiwan independence, and not all DPP top brass will surrender. Moreover, international politics is complex, and foreign forces may adopt various positions and actions on the Taiwan issue, and it is difficult to generalize. In addition, the possibility of the PLA coming to power is a complex issue that requires a combination of factors, including international pressure and the possible consequences of conflict.
3. Prediction of future development Future development depends to a large extent on the interaction of various factors. If cross-strait relations continue to be tense and the likelihood of the PLA coming to power increases, then, according to Qiu Yi's view, some "pro-independence elements" may choose to surrender. However, this is not the only possibility, as the Taiwan issue involves complex political, military, and international factors.
In short, Qiu Yi's views have sparked a discussion on the issue of Taiwan independence, but when predicting future developments, we need to consider various factors and maintain a cautious and neutral attitude. In any case, peace and stability should be the ultimate goal, and promoting cross-strait reconciliation and cooperation should be the primary task.