According to data monitoring, today's national three-yuan pig price is 14.85 yuan/kg, down 0.15 yuan/kg compared with yesterday.
From the perspective of the 31 provinces and cities that are monitored in the country:
Rising regions (0): None;
Flat areas (5): Inner Mongolia, Zhejiang, Jiangxi, Hainan, Ningxia;
Falling areas (26): Hebei, Jilin, Anhui, Chongqing, Shaanxi, etc., with a range of 0.01-0.37 yuan/kg.
The lowest price in the country is 12.67 yuan/kg in Qinghai, down 0.22 yuan/kg compared with yesterday;
The highest price in the country is 16.60 yuan/kg in Ningxia, which is the same as yesterday's quotation.
Today, the national market pig price "a green", from the grassroots feedback to understand, the pig price fell high, the market showed a downward trend, the logic of the pig price decline is very clear, the root cause is the scale of pig enterprises to show incremental slaughter performance. At present, the market supply is increasing, the demand is not following up well, and the downward pressure on the market is not decreasing, so will the pig price fall back to the "original price"?
Komaki believes that pig prices do not have the basis for continuous decline, and there are two good news in the market:
On the one hand, in Shandong, Hebei and Henan, the risk of epidemic disease in retail pig farms has weakened, the market panic slaughter mentality has decreased, the impact of epidemic disease on market production capacity is weak, and the mentality of the breeding end has gradually improved;
On the other hand, pork consumption is in the stage of "from weak to strong", with the arrival of the beginning of the winter solar term, the seasonal consumption of pork is about to enter the peak season, and the southern region will also open the cycle of pickling at the end of the month, and the consumption enthusiasm of residents in the northern region has gradually improved, the performance of fresh pork has gradually improved, and the operating rate of slaughterhouses is expected to be strong.
In the short term, pig prices or will maintain a narrow range of bottoming out of the situation, however, this month's pig prices to "near weak far strong", pig prices do not have a sustained downward trend, if farmers resist the price reduction mentality, pig prices are still expected to rise, however, rationally, because the pig production capacity is in the cashing stage, pig prices will rise in space or will be more limited.
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