Marked by the Burmese military's admission of losing control of a strategic border town, the Burmese military, as the biggest protective umbrella for wire fraud, has lost more than it has won in the contest with the local armed forces of various ethnic groups, and the pattern of northern Myanmar is undergoing the biggest change in more than 60 years.
The Kokang Allied Army achieved a phased victory
On November 2, a Burmese military spokesman publicly acknowledged that the Tatmadaw had lost control of a strategic border town leading to China. The spokesman did not specify which town it was, but those familiar with the campaign knew that the town mentioned by the spokesman of the Burmese army was the Qingshui River port in Kokang County, Myanmar, which is opposite Mengding Town, Gengma County, Lincang City, Yunnan Province.
On October 27, the "Three Brothers of Northern Myanmar" – the Kokang Allied Army, the De'ang National Liberation Army (NAPLA), and the Arakan Army (Arakan Army) jointly launched a special military operation aimed at countering the rampant armed wire fraud groups in northern Myanmar. The Kokang Allied forces quickly occupied the town of Qingshuihe, which was an important port for the export of agricultural products from northern Myanmar to China, and the capture of the Qingshui River port by the Allied forces was of great significance to its future financial resources.
In addition to the Qingshui River port, at present, Myanmar's Mujie City, which is the most important and largest port on the border with China, and the Jiesu Port in Ruili City, Dehong Prefecture, Yunnan Province, has also been surrounded by the civilian armed forces, and may also fall into the hands of the civilian armed forces.
Myanmar's border ports with China are in northern Myanmar, and northern Myanmar is an area where the civilian armed forces and the government army are intertwined, once these ports are all controlled by the civilian armed forces, it will have a very important impact, because the border ports are different from other towns, once the civilian armed forces succeed, in the future, China will have to resume official exchanges with the civilian armed forces in terms of border trade and personnel and material exchanges, this move will promote the in-depth evolution of the pattern in northern Myanmar, and no one can say what the situation will be in the future.
It is precisely because the Burmese army has suffered many defeats and few victories in this battle and the situation is not good, and recently, there has been news from the Burmese side that the Burmese army is preparing to use cluster bombs, and cluster bombs are weapons of mass destruction banned by the United Nations. It would rather risk being sanctioned by the United Nations than preparing to use cluster bombs, a gesture that proves that the tide of war is very unfavorable to it.
Myanmar has about 500,000 troops, air supremacy and a variety of heavy weapons, but the Mindi Force, which has fought with the Burmese army for decades, also has its own means of defeating the big with the small and the weak against the strong.
According to a spokesman for the Kokang Alliance, more than 20 militias, large and small, have participated in the special military operation against wire fraud in northern Myanmar.
A female unit of the Kokang Confederate Army on the march
It is not difficult to see from the current war situation that the civilian and local forces in northern Myanmar are obviously acting in concert this time, and they cooperate very tacitly with each other, while the Burmese army is attacking everywhere, with all the grass and trees, and is extremely vicious. In order to bomb the area around the Laja port controlled by the Kachin Independence Army, Burmese fighter planes even once intruded into China's airspace,—— and the headquarters of the Kachin Independence Army was located in the area of the Laga port.
The goal of the campaign in northern Myanmar is to crack down on the armed telecommunications syndicates entrenched in northern Myanmar and consider northern Myanmar to be a "place outside the law", but the reality is that the Myanmar military has not hesitated to stand on the side of the telecommunications syndicates, or in other words, the Burmese army itself is the biggest protective umbrella of the telecommunications syndicates.
As the campaign progresses, it is expected that the Burmese army and the civilian armed forces may have a strong crossbow situation, and when everyone can't move, the opportunity for peace negotiations will come, but no matter which way the campaign is ended, the Burmese military's control over northern Myanmar will be greatly weakened, and northern Myanmar will usher in a new situation.