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The King of Thailand recently issued an important order formally appointing Police General Dosa Suweimon to the post of Commissioner of the Thai National Police. The news seems to have been prepared for a long time, just waiting to be officially announced. Police Admiral Dosa Suweimon is a close confidant of the Thai royal family, which makes his ascension a foregone conclusion.
Thailand has several key positions, including commander of the three services and commissioner of police, which must be filled by someone trusted by the royal family. Both Prayuth and Maha wanted the position to be filled by their own supporters, so they even teamed up to rule out competition from Surache. What appears to be a game within the Thai police is actually a new power contest between the Pheu Thai Party, the military and the royal family.
The new police commissioner, Sergeal General Doza, is not new, he holds an undergraduate degree from the Faculty of Political Science of Thammasat University in Thailand and a master's degree from Sparton University in Thailand. He worked his way up the ranks, eventually becoming police commissioner at the age of 59.
Former Thai National Police Commissioner General Than Rong Sat will naturally retire with honor, but even if he does not voluntarily resign, the royal family and military may consider replacing him. The reason is simple, because he chose to remain neutral and not support the royal family in this year's Thai election. This behaviour aroused the resentment of other senior officers, including General Sankajan of the Joint Defence Ministry, General Chalimbong, Commander-in-Chief of the Royal Thai Armed Forces, General Na Rongpan, Commander-in-Chief of the Thai Army, Admiral Chachachai, Commander-in-Chief of the Thai Navy, and Admiral Alongkorn, Commander-in-Chief of the Thai Air Force. This joint statement actually set Prayuth on a difficult path, even if he intended to stage a military coup, he would face great difficulties. Therefore, he chose to carry out drastic reforms before leaving office, directly changing the commanders of the three services in order to reverse the situation.
Prayuth did not completely relinquish power, and he foresaw the risk of possible liquidation. He must not only protect himself, but also ensure the continued power of the royal family. As a result, he may continue to manipulate politics behind the scenes.
The police commissioner election does not appear to have a direct connection to the military, but many believe Prayuth may be behind it. Although Prayuth has retired, he does not plan to retire from politics entirely. The sudden investigation of General Surache was unusual, when such a high-ranking official should suddenly have his residence searched. Mid-level police officers are likely to have someone behind the scenes, while many speculate that this supporter may be Prayuth.
However, while the search was underway, the arrival of Commissioner Vorawat, the Cyber Crime Investigation Bureau of Thailand (CCIB), changed everything. After some negotiation, General Surache finally agreed to the search. The incident made him seem quite embarrassed because he was photographed by media reporters wearing home clothes at the time.
Prayuth's former party suffered a serious setback in the election, so he had to leave to account for others. However, he does not intend to throw in the towel, but wants to continue to manipulate politics behind the scenes. He has many lives and has suppressed the Red Shirts, so he must hold on to power to prevent others from posing a threat to him.
Some even drove their wedding cars to Pheu Thai party headquarters to call for political reconciliation. Supporters hope to keep the party united through the wedding.
At present, some civil political groups are still dissatisfied, most of them related to Kadima. This situation has forced Prayuth to remain vigilant to prevent the situation from deteriorating.
The military does not have complete trust in Pheu Thai and, in fact, is skeptical of all parties. It also explains why they amended the constitution and reformed parliament to ensure that the upper house was in their own hands. They want to avoid a situation like Pita's again, as it would make the situation even more chaotic. Prayuth has learned from this and he will continue to be vigilant.
Prayuth may not like Kadima and is not very optimistic about Pheu Thai, but he may have no other choice. Bedongdan seems to be more reliable, at least once in office, without fear that the royal family and military will take action against him.
In addition, he needs to be wary of Western intervention. He is also wary of being a Pheu Thai party lest they consider themselves the "boss." Pheu Thai leader Seita proposed a number of reforms, including reforming the army, amending the constitution and purchasing German military equipment. These moves caused dissatisfaction among the military, who hoped that Setta would restrain and not interfere too much in military affairs.
Above all, the military has been a key force in Thai politics, and they determine the direction of the regime. Prayuth looks relaxed when he leaves office, but it is a gesture for him because everything is in his hands. Some people had better remain humble or they could be sanctioned at any time.
Summary: For Prayuth, the current results are what he expected. Even if he himself did not become prime minister, he still had the backing behind him. For Pheu Thai, they must understand that the military is more powerful than they expected. If they want to run the country effectively, they must learn to live peacefully with the royal family and the military and avoid division.
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