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Recently, Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte raised serious concerns about strengthening military ties with the United States and increasing the number of U.S. bases. He warned that if the current situation in the South China Sea continues to escalate, he gave a 7 rate to the possibility of war, while the Philippines, as a transit point for the United States, will bear a higher risk, reaching 8 to 9 points. This shows that Duterte is highly concerned about the situation in the South China Sea and is extremely uneasy about the risk of the Philippines being involved in a major power war.
The United States has increased its military deployment in the South China Sea, adding three bases in the northern Philippines and one in the south. This is clearly a preparation for a possible future conflict in the Taiwan Strait. At the same time, Japan's southwest strategy gradually extended to the island of Taiwan. If the Philippines assists the United States in extending from the south through Luzon to the north, it will put the island of Taiwan under a squeeze, increasing the risk of conflict.
Duterte's score of 7 shows his fiery concern about the current situation. Once the United States provokes a conflict in China's neighborhood, Sino-US relations will be severely affected, and combat operations in the Taiwan Strait and South China Sea will further escalate. The Philippines, as a small country, will inevitably fall victim to U.S. interests if it provides bases and transit points, which will defend its interests at all costs, including using its allies and pawns.
The United States is accelerating the implementation of its Indo-Pacific military strategy, and 2023 is seen as a substantial year. The United States is actively building alliances of different sizes to change the dynamics of the first island chain into a chain of alliances made up of different countries, thereby increasing operational tension in the airspace of various sea areas.
In addition to political, economic, and cultural means, military means are considered the most critical means of the United States in great power competition. Through military action, the United States can effectively weaken the development of other countries and widen the gap with itself.
Therefore, Duterte's concerns are legitimate, and sensible politicians should keep in mind the layout of the United States in the Indo-Pacific and always put their own national interests first. For these countries, the disasters and shocks they might endure in a war are not on the U.S. radar. In this highly competitive international situation, only vigilance and wisdom can safeguard national security and interests.
As tensions escalate in the Indo-Pacific, governments are thinking hard about how to address the challenge. In this context, Duterte's concerns are not just personal, but also represent those of the Philippines' national interests.
The United States uses pawns to promote its military strategy in order to protect its own interests. This tactic puts countries like the Philippines in a dangerous position, and they can fall prey to the struggle for interests between great powers. In U.S. international policy, interests are always paramount, and these small countries are often secondary players in the big power game.
However, it is precisely in this tense situation that the international community needs more diplomatic efforts to maintain peace and stability. And not only by military means to resolve disputes. To that end, the Philippines and other countries must actively participate in international organizations and seek multilateral cooperation to find solutions to problems.
Overall, Duterte's warning reminds us that tensions between large countries can have serious implications for smaller ones. In this complex international context, countries should adopt a prudent foreign policy and strive to maintain international peace and security and ensure that national interests are not compromised. It is only through dialogue, cooperation and diplomacy that we can move towards a more peaceful and prosperous future.
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