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In recent years, with the continuous increase of China's comprehensive national strength, the geopolitical game in the Asia-Pacific region has become increasingly intense. Especially in the context of the United States actively promoting the "return to the Asia-Pacific" in an attempt to contain China, the confrontation between the two camps of China and the United States has become increasingly pronounced. And in recent military exercises, the United States and its allies have frequently shown their swords, which makes one wonder whether this is a precursor to a threat to China.
First, let's review the last three military exercises. In early September, the United States joined forces with many nations to conduct five-day Garuda Shield exercise between Java and Kalimantan. The participating countries included the United States, Japan, Australia, Indonesia, the United Kingdom, France and Singapore, bringing together more than 5,000 soldiers. The exercise, which covered a number of items such as beach grabbing and landing, amphibious fire strikes, and air transportation, seemed to be designed to adapt to the operational environment of islands and reefs.
Then, beginning September 12, the U.S. and Canadian warships USS Ralph Johnson and USS Vancouver held joint exercises in the South China Sea, including anti-submarine operations, formation operations and surface operations. The two warships belong to the Burke-class Type 2A destroyer of the United States and the Halifax-class heavy frigate of Canada, respectively, and are both powerful combat forces.
Most notable was the Yellow Sea exercise, in which, in addition to the USS Ralph Johnson and USS Vancouver, South Korea's frigate USS Seoul and the American American-class amphibious assault ship were involved. The amphibious assault ship "America" has attracted much attention, although it does not have a dock compartment, but has strong air power and can carry multiple carrier-based aircraft, which is nicknamed the "Lightning aircraft carrier".
Although these exercises appear to be routine training on the surface, they inevitably raise some concerns. Especially in the context of geopolitical tensions, one wonders whether the United States could use these exercises to prepare for a surprise attack on China.
However, to accurately assess the likelihood of a raid, we need to consider several factors. First of all, as a huge country, China's naval and air power cannot be underestimated. The US military can hardly cause serious losses to China by relying only on the strikes of these warships.
Second, the U.S. military's attack capabilities are limited. Although the Tomahawk cruise missiles have a long range, their number is limited and not enough to inflict heavy damage on China's all-round targets. The F-35B, despite its excellent stealth performance, carries limited ammunition and cannot carry out large-scale air strikes.
Moreover, China has a strong counterattack capability, including air and naval defense systems and a large number of warplanes. The naval forces of China's northern and central theaters are also capable of effectively responding to potential threats.
Most importantly, despite the tensions between China and the United States, both sides are well aware of the importance of peace. The two sides maintain briefings and communication and do their best to avoid the escalation of the conflict.
So while U.S. military exercises raise some concerns, a surprise attack on China is less likely. The game between China and the United States will continue, but both sides will proceed cautiously to avoid the outbreak of war.
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