A war between China and the United States would trigger a global catastrophe
China and the United States are two of the most powerful countries in the world today, and if there is a war between them, the consequences will be catastrophic. This is not alarmism, but a fact that history has already proven. Looking back at the introduction of the Truman Doctrine in 1947, it marked the transformation of the world from multipolar to bipolar hegemony. If the United States and the Soviet Union had exchanged fire directly, major changes would have taken place in world history and the world pattern. Now the war between China and the United States will have a similar effect, if not worse. Chinese State Councilor and Defense Minister Li Shangfu has warned that this will be a disaster that the whole world cannot bear.
International changes
To understand the possible impact of a war between China and the United States, military data alone is not enough, because many people do not know the performance and quantity of military weapons. However, if we look at the three aspects of the international situation, the national economy and the world's science and technology, the possible impact of the Sino-US war is very obvious. Do not think that the Sino-American war is just a game between two countries, it will trigger changes on a global scale, far beyond our imagination.
For example, in the Western Pacific, if a conflict breaks out between China and the United States, can U.S. military allies in the region, such as Japan and Australia, stay out of the picture? The answer is clearly no. Without great strength, they cannot remain neutral. Even if they want to withdraw from the war, the United States will not agree. The strategy of the three island chains, which the United States has spent more than half a century to build, cannot fail at a critical moment. In this way, the war is no longer limited to China and the United States, but affects the entire region.
Similarly, China has its own military allies and partners. Behind the complex international relations is a game of interests and influence of various countries. If the United States uses other countries to participate in the war, China will not sit idly by. At that time, countries such as North Korea and Russia may also intervene in the war in different ways, and World War III may break out. No country can achieve ultimate victory, and it is only possible to end the war until the entire world is plunged into chaos and destruction.
Of course, China has always adhered to the principle of independence and mutual respect for territorial and sovereign integrity, and we will not take the initiative to launch an attack on the United States. Whether the United States will realize the danger of war in the face of a strong counterattack is a question that the US government and military should consider. We don't want to become a world hegemon like the United States, but we are confident enough to stop the United States from continuing to dominate the world.
National economy
Second, in terms of the development of the national economy, war will also bring huge losses, which neither China nor the United States can afford. Although the United States has always regarded China as the biggest threat, trade between China and the United States is inextricably linked. According to 2021 data, the United States and China account for 24% and 18% of total global GDP, respectively, and they are the two largest economies in the world. If the economy shrinks as a result of war, the economic and trade losses may exceed the military losses.
More importantly, when the economic systems of China and the United States are affected by the war, other countries are also implicated. At the time of World War II, this effect may not have been obvious, but now the countries of the world are very close to trade, and countries have developed interdependent relationships. Whether people are willing to sacrifice their current standard of living for war is a question that all countries should seriously consider. Imagine what Americans would do when they could no longer buy "Made in China" products.
Don't think it's unfounded. There have been many examples in history of social unrest and conflict caused by the deterioration of the economic system and economic environment. A global economic catastrophe triggered by the Sino-US war is not as simple as a financial crisis, but will plunge the whole world into difficulties and crises. This is also an important reason why Minister Li Shangfu believes that the Sino-US war will be an unbearable disaster for the world, and the influence of China and the United States on the world economy is too great.
World Technology
Finally, there is the impact on the development of science and technology in the world, which may be the most fatal point. Albert Einstein once said: I don't know what weapons will be used in the third world war, but the fourth will definitely be stone! Why did he say that? Because the advent of nuclear weapons makes future wars more terrible and dangerous. China and the United States are both major powers with nuclear weapons and rank among the highest in the world. If the war escalates to the level of using nuclear weapons, no part of the world is safe. China can strike directly at the U.S. mainland, and the U.S. can directly threaten Chinese people.
At that time, North China was so big that it couldn't fit a quiet desk. Not to mention that the world is so big that there is no place for human beings to live. What is even more frightening is that the power of modern nuclear weapons far exceeds that of "fat people" and "little boys". A global catastrophe caused by nuclear weapons would cause enormous loss and suffering to the whole world. Once a vicious circle is formed, the fourth stone world war is not impossible. China never wants to try the bitter consequences of war, and the United States should also be wary.
Therefore, all countries in the world hope that the two major scientific and technological powers of China and the United States can exercise restraint and not let science and technology become a tool of destruction, but for the purpose of peace and development. Especially the United States, do not go further and further on the road of challenging the bottom line of other countries. Times have changed, China has developed into a scientific and technological power, and the United States has lost the conditions for obtaining benefits through scientific and technological superiority.
After understanding the impact and harm of the Sino-US war, and continuing to provoke and threaten, the United States must bear full responsibility for the possible war.