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Russia once again launched a missile air strike on the Kiev area, and the Ukrainian soldiers fired 30 rounds in a row at the Patriot position, unable to parry, and finally drowned by Russian missiles. This incident has provoked profound thinking and not only has an impact on the situation in Ukraine, but also challenges the international strategic pattern. It is worth mentioning that throughout modern warfare, saturation strikes have become a common tactic, whether it is Ukrainian Patriot missiles or other air defense systems, it is difficult to be invincible in the face of a large-scale missile attack.
Recently, Ukraine has received military aid from Western countries, which has prompted the Ukrainian army to launch a counteroffensive against the Russian army on multiple fronts. The Russian army has adopted the strategy of targeting the Ukrainian army's ammunition and material assembly points and command communication system, trying to weaken the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army by destroying logistics lines and command lines.
Kiev, as the core command center of the Ukrainian government army, has naturally become the primary target of the Russian army. According to reports from Ukrainian government forces, on May 16 alone, Kiev was attacked by six Dagger air-launched ballistic missiles, nine cruise missiles, three S-400 missiles and six Witness-136 suicide drones. This is just data that is being recorded, and there may be more missile and drone attacks that are not recorded. The whole of Kiev suffered a massive missile attack, which posed a great threat to the city.
On the night of May 16, about 30 missiles were fired from an anti-aircraft missile position in the city of Kiev, creating a spectacular sight. However, this scene was quickly broken, and the position exploded, apparently because the ammunition reserve was exhausted, and the Ukrainian army could no longer intercept incoming missiles or suicide drones.
According to the tail flame trajectory of the initial launch of the missile, this position is likely to be equipped with American-made Patriot-3 anti-aircraft missiles. However, despite their faster launch frequency, the Patriot missile still relies on the number of bombs. Once the number of incoming targets exceeds the number of ammunition reserves, even if the missile performance is strong, it is difficult to resist the attack. In fact, anti-aircraft missiles usually use a twin-shot spaced salvo to increase the target interception rate. Therefore, even if the number of incoming targets is only half of the number of ammunition in reserve, it may deplete the reserve of the position.
The attack on the missile positions of the Ukrainian Patriot is a typical example, which shows the limitations of the number of ammunition reserves. In addition, according to Ukrainian military and Russian military sources, the possibility of attacking this position includes not only Dagger air-launched ballistic missiles, but also Witness-136 drones. This composite strike also proves the feasibility of the PLA's anti-Patriot missile tactics.
Taiwan has a large number of Patriot anti-aircraft missile systems, which, although limited in the face of advanced fighters, still have a certain deterrent power due to their numerical superiority. Therefore, the PLA needs to think about how to quickly destroy these Patriot air defense positions, and suicide drones may become a solution. For the number of Patriot missiles that the Taiwan military has, the PLA only needs to prepare about 500 J-6 drones or other suicide drones and decoy cruise missiles to consume all its ammunition.
In addition, the PLA also has the more powerful DF-17 hypersonic missile, which can independently undertake the task of destroying the air defense positions of the Taiwan military. While this may be an overuse, it shows the strategic choices the PLA may adopt in the future.
The Russian army's attack on the Ukrainian Patriot missile position can be regarded as a low-end version of the anti-Patriot missile tactic, but it has achieved remarkable results. The PLA has greater strike capabilities and industrial capabilities, and can more confidently respond to a possible future battle for unification. In modern warfare, how to effectively respond to saturation strikes has become a key issue, which poses brand-new challenges to the international strategic pattern and military strategy.
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