Henan Sifeng noodle industry because of the high price of 1.6 yuan a few days ago, has become the leader in the wheat market, a large number of traders flock to come, some vehicles can not be sold into the factory for 3 days, you can imagine how huge the traffic is. Although it has fallen a lot in recent days, it can still be sold at a price of about 1.61~1.62 yuan, which is about 5 cents higher than the mainstream price in the market, why?
It shows that the company's demand for high gluten wheat is large, and their high demand in the short term supports the price rise, and only when it reaches a certain inventory level will the price really fall. At the same time, high-quality wheat in Hebei has come to Sifeng Noodles to monetize, but the local area is gradually decreasing.
1. Grain merchants with abundant funds and strong storage capacity have stopped selling grain, mainly to do trend market or swing market, and have a strong ability to grasp and control the market.
2. Grain merchants with relatively insufficient funds and weak storage capacity vacate some wheat and prepare to buy corn, and tend to follow the trend of market conditions.
Flour enterprises in Henan's high-price area are full of cars, but flour companies in Hebei are full of doors, indicating that the rhythm of decline in Hebei has also begun to weaken, and in a few days, the price of wheat will end, so it is not suitable to throw it all at once. However, the possibility that wheat prices will stop falling and rise in the short term is very small, so everyone chooses whether to sell or not and the pace according to their actual situation. After all, wheat can be said to be a complete victory at the moment, but it is only a matter of earning more and earning less.
1. As long as wheat does not sell off a lot, wheat prices will not fall sharply.
2, the local reserve bank to buy wheat at a price of 1.57~1.6 yuan, the market is very cold.
3, corn is currently "collapsed" down, in order to create opportunities for traders to buy corn after vacating their positions.
4, selling wheat at a falling price is to "make a splash" - do not sell when the price rises, and rush to sell at a falling price, this way should be changed.
5. After October every year, large enterprises represented by a certain grain and a certain island should harvest corn to ensure that the price of farmers is stable during the grain selling period, and also create a good trend support for the stability of wheat prices.
6. If the price of wheat falls too much now, many people will quickly enter the market to rush to buy wheat, and the price of wheat will remain stable or rebound.
7, some traders with deep pockets are indifferent to the current decline at all, waiting for the price of wheat to rise sharply before shooting, they are those who can really touch the top of the wheat market.
8, some grain merchants have made a profit of 2 cents, down 2~3 points do not recognize, but also to wait and see the rising market before shooting, this invisible greed will also support short-term wheat prices will not fall sharply.
To sum up, the price of wheat will definitely rise in the future, and the rising profit is given to those wheat with low moisture, high bulk density and low toxin, and those wheat with low bulk density and high toxin will become quite uncomfortable.
(1) The first is that the wheat that can be stored in the market now has requirements for toxins, but after the purchase of the reserve warehouse, flour companies have no requirements for toxins, or they are not so important, they pay more attention to good wheat with high bulk density.
There is also those wheat with good moisture but low bulk density, which can only be put into the state of new wheat bottoming out and a large number of shortage in the hands of grain points to obtain corresponding profits. Therefore, wheat with low bulk density can take advantage of the price stability to shoot, do not expect that the price of good wheat in the future will drive your wheat to rise, it is simply "wishful thinking".
(2) The flour sales of flour enterprises have not improved much at all, especially after three years have passed, the sales of staple foods such as hanging noodles and steamed buns have not increased but declined, mainly because large households have more time and less time for dine-in, so the consumption of staple foods has increased.
After liberalization, everyone eats more meat, vegetables, fruits, relative to the consumption of staple foods will be reduced, more importantly, last year's grabbing, hoarding, many families to buy flour and noodles have not been eaten until now, there is nothing to stimulate consumers to buy a large number of factors.
(3) What role will the chief director play in the future? Some people interpret the auction of the minimum purchase of wheat as "rumors", rumors are that there will be auctions every year, and the law is basically to start around October, even if it is not started, it will be opened at some point in time.
At what price the wheat they auctioned will be marketed, no one knows. Will it deliberately raise the price, resulting in less market transactions, invisibly transmitting this pressure to traders, allowing grain points and traders to take the initiative to sell grain, and then pushing it backwards to enterprises, will enterprises take out a knife again to harvest at this time? After all, the wheat auctioned by the flour enterprises cannot be waterlogged for a penny, but the wheat purchased by the grain merchant can be deducted and compared, and the price of the purchase is declared.
(4) Some domestic traders ran to Russia to buy wheat to supply domestic flour enterprises, but also gave them to run abroad to purchase wheat with huge profits, these wheat directly loaded into the country, corresponding to a little supplement this year Henan reduced 20 million tons of wheat magnitude share, although the magnitude is a drop in the bucket, but grasshoppers are small but also meat!
In summary, the market is changing, no one can predict what will happen in the next second, looking at the piles of wheat in the warehouse, calculating their own profits, those are "floating profits" - flowers in the mirror, flowers are not flowers, spring dreams are not traced. As long as you don't cash out for a day and don't put money in your pocket, you can't count how much money you've actually earned. (Personal opinion, for reference only, does not represent correctness)
The latest national wheat price on September 11, 2023
Shandong Shanghe Jinsha River: Pumai 1.52 yuan / jin. Drop 1 point.
Developed flour group Wucheng company: Pumai 1.525 yuan / jin. Drop 5 centimeters.
Henan Zhoukou Wudeli: white wheat 1.515 yuan / jin. Up 1 point.
Jiangsu Suqian Wudeli: white wheat 1.515 yuan / jin. Drop 1 point.
Shaanxi Xianyang Wudeli: Pumai 1.53 yuan / jin. Up 1 point.
Shandong Heze Tianbang grain and oil: aged wheat 1.555 yuan / jin, new wheat 1.52 yuan / jin. Drop 1 point.