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RAND Corporation: There is no need for a full-scale war, and the U.S. military can cut the maritime lifeline to contain China's rise

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The South China Sea Route: an important hub for geopolitics

In recent years, the South China Sea has become a focal point of geopolitical competition. The RAND Corporation's recent strategy report emphasizes that China regards the South China Sea-Indian Ocean direction as its strategic breakthrough direction, which has aroused widespread concern in the international community. The United States also does not show weakness, trying to contain China's rise by limiting its "maritime lifeline". The importance of this region cannot be overlooked.

RAND Corporation: There is no need for a full-scale war, and the U.S. military can cut the maritime lifeline to contain China's rise

The South China Sea is geographically unique, connecting the Pacific and Indian Oceans and is a key meeting point for Asia and Oceania. The sea routes of the United States, Japan, South Korea, Russia and other countries all pass through the South China Sea. According to statistics, hundreds of thousands of ships of various types pass through the South China Sea every year, accounting for one-third of the world's total. Japan relies on 98% of its natural rubber supplied by the South China Sea. In addition, the vast majority of fuel consumed by U.S. forces in the Western Pacific is transported through the Middle East via the South China Sea.

Russia's two main routes, the medium and southern routes, inevitably cross the South China Sea. For China, the South China Sea is almost an indispensable "lifeline", as 27 of China's 39 shipping routes to other countries must pass through here. In addition, most of China's oil imports need to be transported through the South China Sea. In 2013, China proposed the "Maritime Silk Road" strategy, further highlighting the strategic importance of the South China Sea.

RAND Corporation: There is no need for a full-scale war, and the U.S. military can cut the maritime lifeline to contain China's rise

Geopolitical implications in the South China Sea

The South China Sea Route is vital not only for the economic development of East Asian countries, but also for energy security. However, the United States continues to send aircraft carrier battle groups into the South China Sea, demonstrating its strong concern for the region. The Pentagon has suggested that the United States needs to strengthen intelligence gathering on underwater combat space in peacetime, including mapping of underwater arrays and nearshore energy and telecommunications infrastructure.

In addition, the U.S. Navy needs to have enough maritime patrol aircraft for anti-submarine and surface reconnaissance missions, as well as to support sea lines of communication and interdiction operations. The Air Force and Navy should also jointly evaluate the future integration of air and maritime operations centers to support multi-service operations. In addition, the U.S. military needs to develop and deploy masking, decoying, and false targeting platforms to ensure their effectiveness and widespread deployment. All of these measures clearly show that the Pentagon is preparing for large-scale "controlled" military operations off the coast of China, particularly in the South China Sea.

RAND Corporation: There is no need for a full-scale war, and the U.S. military can cut the maritime lifeline to contain China's rise

summary

The South China Sea region plays a pivotal role in geopolitics. China sees it as a strategic breakthrough, while the United States seeks to contain China's rise by controlling the South China Sea. The waterways in this region are vital to the economic development and energy security of many countries. However, as competition intensifies, geopolitical risks are also rising. The United States must not only strengthen intelligence gathering, but also improve military deployments to safeguard its geopolitical interests in the South China Sea. The South China Sea issue remains a focus of close attention by the international community, and any geopolitical conflict may have a serious impact on global stability. Therefore, resolving disputes through diplomacy and cooperation is the key to maintaining regional peace and stability.

RAND Corporation: There is no need for a full-scale war, and the U.S. military can cut the maritime lifeline to contain China's rise

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