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According to the South China Morning Post, U.S. National Security Adviser Sullivan recently made an impassioned statement at a think tank security conference, making impassioned remarks on the Taiwan issue. He first emphasized the consistent position of the Biden administration, insisting that the US policy towards Taiwan has been consistent, including abiding by the one-China policy, pursuing the principles of the three Sino-US joint communiques, abiding by the Taiwan Relations Act, and fulfilling the six commitments to Taiwan.
Sullivan then denounced the mainland's approach, accusing it of posing a threat to security in the Taiwan Strait and asserting that U.S. efforts in a variety of areas of diplomacy, defense and intelligence are aimed at ensuring that the United States does not have to respond to questions about whether to help defend Taiwan.
However, Sullivan's rhetoric can also be understood from another angle: what the United States is doing is actually aimed at preventing the mainland from recovering Taiwan, so as long as the mainland does not take decisive action, Washington can avoid the difficult choice between intervention and sending troops.
Sullivan stressed that the United States has successfully prevented the emergence of the above dilemma through deterrence, the so-called "deterrence of the PLA from invading Taiwan". Although his wording is more euphemistic, this is actually a disguised expression of Washington's staunch opposition to cross-strait reunification.
However, whether it is Sullivan's provocation or the Biden administration's vacillation on the Taiwan Strait issue, it is undeniable that the current situation has entered a new normal, and the mainland firmly holds the initiative. In the past, the mainland has been wary of the "Taiwan independence" separatist forces on the island and colluded with external forces in Western countries to eventually promote the concept of "de jure Taiwan independence."
However, with the rapid improvement of the overall strength of the PLA and the gradual narrowing of the gap between China and the United States in terms of comprehensive national strength, the possibility of engaging in "de jure Taiwan independence" is close to zero. Both the Taiwan authorities and the Western backers behind it have recognized that the mainland has not only drawn an insurmountable red line, but has the ability to fulfill this determination. As the mainland's defense minister said at the "incense meeting," the PLA will not hesitate to take action in any attempt to separate Taiwan from China.
Therefore, the United States, as the initiator, began to change its strategy, no longer openly supporting Taiwan's "relying on the United States to seek independence", but striving to realize the strategy of "using Taiwan to contain China" that is more conducive to itself. By strengthening official contacts with the Taiwan authorities, selling a large number of weapons and equipment, and increasing Taiwan's international exposure, the United States is trying to internationalize China's internal affairs by gradually turning the Taiwan Strait issue into an international issue. The ultimate goal is to keep the two sides permanently divided.
However, this strategy is not an easy one. The recent outbreak of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the subsequent series of reactions fully prove that the US conspiracy is not easy to succeed. First, despite the Biden administration's attempts to draw parallels between the Ukraine issue and the Taiwan Strait issue, most developing countries still firmly support China's "one-China principle" and condemn US interference in China's internal affairs.
Moreover, Sullivan's so-called deterrence is nothing more than a joke, and simply sending some sensationalist lawmakers to visit Taiwan and occasionally sending warships to cruise the Taiwan Strait is far from enough to constitute a deterrent. The reason why the mainland has not taken military action is because we know that the two sides of the strait belong to the same nation, and this is the fundamental reason why we are reluctant to use force. In short, the mainland will not give up the goal of peaceful reunification unless compelled to do so.
On the contrary, although the United States claims to have close relations with Taiwan in peacetime, it deliberately distances itself from Taiwan in formal international forums. If there is some kind of deterrence, it is more the role of the mainland's clear warning to the United States. Finally, it should be emphasized that cross-strait reunification has a bearing on the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation, and there is absolutely no room for any possibility of bargaining.
The Taiwan Strait issue is the most important and sensitive link in Sino-US relations. Once the United States makes a wrong choice on this issue, it will not only seriously impact Sino-US relations, but also the fate of the United States itself will not escape the price. At this challenging time, the sons and daughters of China should unite to defend the sovereignty and territorial integrity of the country and jointly create a prosperous and stable environment.
According to the South China Morning Post, US President National Security Adviser Sullivan recently delivered a speech at a think tank security conference, expressing a firm position on Taiwan-related issues. He once again stressed that the Biden administration's position on the Taiwan issue has not changed, firmly supports the one-China policy, respects the principles of the three Sino-US joint communiques, adheres to the Taiwan Relations Law and fulfills the six commitments to Taiwan.
However, Sullivan did not stop there, pointing criticism at the mainland, saying that his actions posed a threat to the security of the Taiwan Strait. He said unequivocally that the United States' active efforts in the fields of diplomacy, defense and intelligence are aimed at ensuring that the United States does not have to answer the question of whether it will help defend Taiwan.
Of course, we can also interpret Sullivan's speech from another angle. The essence of this move by the United States is to try to curb the momentum of the mainland to recover Taiwan. As long as the mainland does not take resolute measures, Washington can avoid the dilemma of intervention and troops.
Sullivan affirmed that the United States successfully prevented the above dilemma through deterrence, that is, "successfully deterred the PLA from invading Taiwan." Although the wording is more euphemistic, this is undoubtedly a reconfirmation of the resolute opposition to cross-strait reunification.
However, whether it is the criticism of the United States or the vacillation of the Biden administration, it cannot be ignored that the current situation has entered a new stage, and the mainland is holding the initiative. In the past, the mainland has always been wary of the "Taiwan independence" separatist forces on the island, colluding with external forces in Western countries, and working for "de jure Taiwan independence."
However, with the rapid improvement of the overall strength of the People's Liberation Army and the gradual approach of the comprehensive national strength of China and the United States, the possibility of pursuing "de jure Taiwan independence" has almost disappeared. The Taiwan authorities and their supporters have profoundly realized that the mainland has not only drawn an insurmountable red line, but also has the strength and determination to defend its territorial integrity. Just as the mainland defense minister said at the "incense meeting," the PLA will not hesitate to resolutely crack down on any attempt to split Taiwan.
It is precisely for this reason that the United States has changed its strategy from its role as the initiator, and no longer openly supports Taiwan's "relying on the United States to seek independence", but prefers to "use Taiwan to contain China". By strengthening official contacts with the Taiwan authorities, providing more military equipment, and increasing Taiwan's international exposure, the United States is trying to internationalize the Taiwan Strait issue. The ultimate goal is to maintain the divided state between the two sides of the strait to avoid direct military intervention.
However, this strategy is not easy. The recent Russia-Ukraine conflict and its chain reaction fully prove that the US scheme is not easy to succeed. First, despite the Biden administration's attempts to link the Ukraine issue with the Taiwan Strait issue, most developing countries still firmly support China's "one-China principle" and oppose external interference.
Moreover, Sullivan's so-called deterrence is not surprising, and sending lawmakers to visit Taiwan and occasionally cruising in the Taiwan Strait is not enough to create a substantial deterrent. The mainland's refusal to take military action has nothing to do with the US movement, but stems from our recognition that both sides of the strait belong to one China, and this is the fundamental reason why we do not use force. In short, unless the situation is urgent, the mainland will not give up the goal of realizing peaceful reunification.
On the contrary, although the United States usually claims to have close relations with Taiwan, it often keeps a certain distance from Taiwan in formal international forums. If there is some kind of deterrence, it is more the role of the mainland's firm warning to the United States. Finally, it should be made clear that cross-strait reunification has a bearing on the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation and leaves no room for negotiation and compromise.
The Taiwan Strait issue is a major play in Sino-US relations, and it involves vital and extremely sensitive issues. Once the United States makes a wrong choice on this issue, it will not only seriously impact Sino-US relations, but also inevitably pay a price. At this moment full of challenges and opportunities, all the sons and daughters of China should closely unite to safeguard national sovereignty and territorial integrity and jointly create a peaceful and stable environment.
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