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Yesterday the curtain of two World Cup matches was unveiled. Among the sweaty fighters, Japan and Croatia played 1-1, while Brazil played South Korea 4-1 to show absolute dominance. Before and after, the two teams that stood tall in Asian football said goodbye to the stage one after another, which is really embarrassing. For South Korea, they seem to be evenly matched against the powerhouse Brazil, but they have not been able to fight back, which is unfortunate.
Japan, by contrast, has given unexpected surprises. In the first half, they took the lead, but in the following game, they remained firmly in the face of Croatia's counter-attack, withstanding a long 120 minutes of hard work before reaching the penalty shootout. However, it is regrettable that the Japanese team showed a difficult time in the penalty shoot-out session, and head coach Morihoichi admitted that the selection and order of the penalties were decided by the players themselves, and the final result was heartbreaking. However, after Japan and South Korea stopped one after another, the name of the quarterfinals has become a reality, and foreign media FiveThirtyEight has also adjusted the probability of winning the championship in time: Portugal accounts for only 6%, while France is as high as 11%, which is jaw-dropping.
It is worth mentioning that there are also 5 teams with less than 10% probability of winning the title: Morocco only 1%, Switzerland only 2%, Croatia 4%, Portugal only 6%, and the Netherlands slightly improved at 7%. Although Portugal's prospects for winning the title are a little bleak, considering their future clash with Switzerland, foreign media predict that Portugal has a 61% chance of qualifying. However, Switzerland's FIBA ranked 15th, which is by no means an easy opponent. Among the remaining 10 teams, Morocco is ranked 22nd with FIBA, the weakest, which is unfortunate to face Spain's strong opponent.
France, England, Spain and Argentina all have a probability of winning between 10% and 20%. In terms of player value, the Netherlands and Argentina are relatively balanced, but in the FIBA ranking, the Netherlands ranks 8th, Argentina ranks 3rd, and the strength of the two sides is different. Argentina need to effectively fend off the Dutch counter-attack, while the Netherlands need to find ways to limit Messi's play.
England played France this time, looking back at the 7 meetings between the two teams this century, England only won 1 time, drew 2 times, lost 4 times, and was completely at a disadvantage. However, due to the replacement of the roster, this kind of head-to-head record may not have much reference value. The England team this time is dominated by young players, full of vitality, quite like the previous French team. It is expected that this contest will be the best of the eight, not even inferior to the final.
Among the teams, Brazil stands out with a 32% chance of winning the title. As a unique giant, Brazil showed great strength in the match against South Korea. They were already 4-0 in the first half, and in the second half, they wisely chose to slow down the pace of attack, not only sending favors to avoid provoking opponents to increase the risk of injury, but also retaining the physical reserves of the main players.
Next, Brazil will face Croatia, ranked 1st in the world against 12th. The two teams have met 4 times in their history, with Brazil winning 3 times and losing only 1 in a friendlies. However, Croatia, as the runners-up of the previous edition, has a tough fighting spirit, and even if Brazil is superior, the process may be full of difficulties. If it qualifies to the last four, Brazil will face the winners of the Netherlands and Argentina, and perhaps a South American civil war will face ahead.
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