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Text|Archaeological exploration
Editor|Archaeological Exploration
preface
In recent years, China's rise has impressed the world, no country dares to underestimate China, even the "self-respecting" United States, worried that China threatens its hegemonic status, which is enough to show that China's strength should not be underestimated.
In the 40 years of reform and opening up, China has achieved miracles unprecedented in human economic history, from sustained high-speed growth to GDP and import and export trade scale climbing to the second and first in the world respectively.
It is worth mentioning that there has been a "miracle" in China in recent decades, that is, in the past 40 years, China has never had any economic crisis.
But now, a new storm has arrived, and China needs to prepare for the worst in four situations that China has never seen before.
So, what are these four crises? And what changes will it bring to China?
Comparison of economic growth rates between China and the United States
First of all, it is impressive at this point, from the previous poor and white to the world's second largest economy, it is not difficult to find China's growth rate.
At the same time, if we compare the economic growth rates between China and the United States, we can clearly see the differences and the magnitude of the changes in recent years.
According to the World Bank, China's GDP growth averaged 9.4% over the more than four decades from 1978 to 2020.
In the United States, on the other hand, the GDP growth rate is only 2.6%, and it is no exaggeration to say that the United States has remained almost unchanged for so many years.
Although the overall economy of the United States is still overwhelming China's, the gap is narrowing infinitely to a degree visible to the naked eye.
Of course, this is only one aspect, let's look at the proportion of the economies of the two countries in the world over the years, we still take the period from 1978 to 2020.
China's share of the world economy fell from 1.8% to 16.3% at the beginning, and from 21.6% in the United States to 18.3% in the last two.
Looking at this momentum, China's influence in the international community seems to be beyond the reach of even the United States, of course, the reason for this is not a unilateral reason, but based on the development of various aspects of international trends.
Take China, for example, after the mainland's reform and opening up, it has actively integrated with various international trade organizations, participated in the governance of the global economy, and adhered to the attitude of win-win cooperation and win-win, making the mainland's economy like a rocket.
On the other hand, after the international order is determined, the United States is already a mature economy, that is, it is saturated in the international market, which also means that their upside is completely limited.
So it is not difficult to see that although the United States is still that superpower, it has rarely performed in recent years.
And there are signs of decay, which are manifested from the epidemic and the end of the epidemic, as well as various phenomena in the United States.
In contrast, China's development potential is gradually being developed, but this also brings us a new challenge, that is, the United States will not sit idly by after seeing China's development.
They will suppress the development of sanctions against China from all sides, and this trend will only increase in the future, which may be one of the most serious crises facing the mainland in the future.
The international environment presents complications
If the contrast between the Chinese and American economies has led the United States to constantly impose sanctions on China, which is implicit, then the international complication is perhaps the most intuitive point.
Although we feel stable at home, we have to admit that today's international community has long been chaotic into a pot of porridge, and the situation has long begun to get out of control.
First of all, the United States, in order to be able to put actual combat pressure on the mainland, in addition to containing the economy in the economic aspect, has also strengthened its alliance with the countries surrounding the mainland.
In order to increase its voice in the Asia-Pacific region, many military deployments have been set up, and if the United States wants to gain a foothold in the Asia-Pacific region, then it is naturally impossible to bypass China.
Therefore, we began to make stumbling blocks against the mainland in the South China Sea and the Taiwan issue, first instigating Taiwan separatists to make trouble in order to slow down the trend of mainland reunification.
At the same time, on the South China Sea issue, the Philippines has repeatedly asked the country to compete with the mainland to disrupt the pace of mainland development, which is only their first step.
This is followed by a series of actions, such as military exercises in the Asia-Pacific region with Japan and South Korea, or constantly wooing countries around the mainland, and it is not difficult to see that the United States can be described as unscrupulous in order to hinder China's development.
Even want to use the "encirclement" method to make the mainland form an isolated and helpless dilemma in the international community, all this has to make the mainland pay attention, after all, only when the country is stable can there be momentum for development.
In addition to the United States, there are also other factors of instability around the mainland, such as the nuclear crisis on the Korean Peninsula, which was brought to the table some time ago due to the urgency of the situation.
Immediately further north is the Russian-Ukrainian war, which still has no intention of ending, but with the support of the United States and NATO, it is heating up more and more, which is also one of the problems that lead to international chaos.
With the blessing of these problems, we also have to admit that today's international community is indeed a big challenge for us.
The transformation of the international industrial chain
First of all, we must understand that a large part of the reason why the mainland's economy can get a qualitative leap in a short period of time is because of the improvement of the domestic industrial chain.
As one of the world's leading production countries, this title is not for nothing, but this year the mainland has undergone major changes in production.
First of all, the cost of labor will increase with time, and then the mainland will begin to upgrade the industrial chain.
If you want to develop the industrial chain to the high-end, this will make some companies that have come cheaper to China begin to be a little uncertain.
Immediately afterwards, the United States unilaterally raised tariffs on Chinese exports, which did bring a great challenge to the mainland's industrial chain, especially during the mainland's transformation.
Immediately after the rapid rise of countries around Southeast Asia, they attracted a lot of industries from China with preferential policies and cheap labor.
In addition, Western countries continue to sing the praises of China, causing many people to think that China's production can no longer keep up with the pace of the times, is this really the case?
It is worth noting that the attraction of the past is only a few small enterprises and insignificant products, which does not fundamentally shake the possibility that the mainland is the world's largest producer.
The fundamental reason is mainly because the most perfect place in the global industrial chain is still in the mainland, which is still attractive to other high-end enterprises.
However, the fact that foreign companies are looking elsewhere does exist, although it is small, but we must also be vigilant to prevent such things from continuing to expand.
Domestic phenomenon
Finally, we have to understand some things in China, the mainland is a country with a large land and many ethnic groups and elements, so it is normal to occasionally have some problems.
For example, the phenomenon of "giant babies" on the Internet, I understand the word this way, they have adult behavior and activity ability, but they are like a giant baby who relies on instincts in doing things, without thinking about problems at all, and looking at problems is only from one aspect.
Let's take a few of the simplest examples, although the new crown has long left us, but some things at that time are only remembered today.
But whenever there is a little public opinion incitement, we will see such a thing on the Internet, that is, someone is grabbing masks and medicines.
Now after Japan announced the discharge of nuclear wastewater, some people began to grab salt, which is really strange, they often lack the ability to distinguish right from wrong, and the machine is easy to be led to rhythm.
That is, listening to the wind is the wind, listening to the rain is the rain, which is not only their personal reason, but also has a lot to do with today's network environment.
Almost all of today's network messages have information overload, fragmentation, etc., and for a while people do not know which is true and which is false.
In addition, the supervision of the network is not very perfect, which gives some criminals the opportunity to deliberately create some fake news to confuse the public to create panic.
The purpose is to cause us to panic and want to make trouble from within, and some Western countries use such methods to create chaos not once or twice, for these people can be said to be inexhaustible, can not be deleted.
This is also the reason why we have to be wary, improving network security in the future is also a top priority, and for us personally, we must also have the ability to distinguish right from wrong, and we must not be the "communicator" before a thing is determined.
epilogue
The four situations we mentioned above may be facing by China or in the future, but in any case it will be a big test.
Although the United States is in decline, its power is still there, and we need to put it in the first place to prevent them from revolting before they die.
Internally, it is the right choice to strengthen the awareness of our citizens and follow the direction of the country, and not to give those separatists any chance.
But we don't really have to worry, which challenge we have faced over the years is small? In the end, not all of them are solved by us.
We have come step by step from difficulties, and naturally we will not be afraid, and at the same time, I also believe that in the future, the mainland will realize the great ideal of the rejuvenation of the motherland.
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