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New trends in Thailand's political situation! Recently, in the context of the upcoming Thai Prime Minister's election, Thaksin Shinawatra returned to the motherland after years of exile, which will also become a landmark event in Thailand's political situation. In fact, Thaksin's move to return to China is far-reaching, and the pro-American party Pita may push Thaksin to the prime minister's throne, and netizens even commented on Thaksin's decision: High! It's really high!
Thailand's prime minister's election is about to begin, and Thaksin's return home will bring about major political changes
According to reports, Thailand's elections will hold a third general election for the prime minister on August 22. Thailand's political landscape has also changed significantly recently, with some speculating that Thaksin's move will turn the pro-American Peta into a tool for his victory as prime minister.
Thaksin's return to China on the eve of the announcement of the election results marked the successful end of his 15-year exile, a trip that will not be easy and will certainly have a profound impact on the election of the prime minister and the future political development of Thailand. Netizens' evaluation of Thaksin's operation is: High! It's really high!
In fact, Thaksin tweeted that he has always longed to return to Thailand, see his grandchildren and enjoy family reunion. This is one of the goals that Yingluck and Bedondam have been striving for for many years. However, in pushing Thaksin to return home, Yingluck was overthrown by a military coup, and Bedongdan went into the campaign shortly after the cesarean section.
Thaksin has previously announced that he will return to China, but he stressed that he is "waiting for a more stable political environment" and has repeatedly postponed his return. In order for his father to return to his homeland smoothly and reunite with his family, Bedongdan was even willing to give up the prime ministership to Setta.
Before Thaksin's news, Bedongdan had prayed for her father and placed a statue of the king next to her place of worship to show that her Pheu Thai party is a moderate realist party that does not pose a threat to the Thai royal family and military and ease political resistance to Thaksin's return.
On the other hand, Thai conservatives have also chosen to ally with Bedong Dan because they are extremely worried about the possibility of Forward Party Pita provoking youth riots. In order to achieve an alliance with the Thaksin family, conservatives reluctantly agreed to Thaksin's request to return to Thailand.
It is not only Bei Dongdan's operation that allows his father to return to China as he wishes. In fact, there must be Thaksin himself behind these operations. Thaksin's return may reshuffle the election situation of Thailand's prime minister.
The pro-American Pita may become a winning tool, and Thaksin's return home is a brilliant move
Specifically, why did Thaksin's return to Congress turn the pro-American Pita into an election tool?
In Thai politics, the Kadima Party, led by the pro-American radical Pitta, is powerful. Their rise has undermined the core interests of the Thai royal family and military. By pushing through a series of reforms, Kadima sought to weaken the power of the royal family and reduce the influence of the military in politics. Conservatives have long worried that Pita's victory would destabilize Thailand's political situation.
Meanwhile, Thaksin's choice to return home on election day indirectly helped conservatives by enabling them to counter Kadima's momentum.
As we mentioned earlier, because the conservatives were very worried that Kadima might spark youth unrest, they had to ally with Bedongdan and reluctantly agreed to the Thaksin family's alliance conditions, that is, Thaksin to return to Thailand. In this context, Kadima became the biggest driving force for conservatives to turn into alliances with Bedongdan.
Thus, in this context, Kadima's presence and influence is considered one of Thaksin's tools to end his exile and seize the prime ministership. In addition to Pita's Kadima party that will help him win the new prime ministership, there are other forces that are also pushing for it.
It is reported that before Thaksin's plane arrived, the Red Shirts had arrived at Thailand's Don Mueang Airport to greet Thaksin. Given the situation in the prime minister's election and Thailand's international reputation, the military has not taken a hard line on the campaign. Therefore, Thaksin's return will also force the military to fulfill their promises, and at the same time give the military no reason to repent, otherwise it will slap itself in the face.
Will Thaksin do it as soon as he returns home? It is highly likely that he will first serve his sentence in a medical facility and then seek the king's pardon. If this trick works, it will also make it possible for the military to pass through the checkpoint while acknowledging the reality of Thaksin's return, and it will be difficult to hold Thaksin accountable afterwards.
After Thaksin's return to China, Thailand's political situation has attracted much attention, and China-Thailand relations may usher in new opportunities
The impact of Thaksin's return to China on Thailand's political situation has attracted much attention from netizens. Some people objectively believe that although Thaksin is old and does not pose a direct threat to the Thai king and the military, they will still be cautious about Thaksin's return process, and there may be some obstacles and restrictions, but they will not be too serious.
If the situation does deteriorate, it could lead to another turmoil in Thailand. At the bottom of Thai society, the Thaksin family still enjoys a high prestige, and it should not be difficult for Thaksin to stabilize the situation.
Regarding the relationship between the Thaksin family and China, there is indeed good mutual benefit. Therefore, Thaksin's successful return to China is of positive significance to the friendly relations between China and Thailand. The Thai military and the Thai Party have always proceeded from reality and reached many strategic cooperation projects with China, and if Thaksin can make more efforts when he returns to China, the prospects for Sino-Thai cooperation will be broader.
It is worth mentioning that Thailand is a military ally of the United States and renewed its cooperation agreement with the United States in 2022 to become a medical rescue and material support base for the US Navy, but does not allow the US to station troops.
In the context of the current increasingly fierce competition between China and the United States in the South China Sea, as China's close neighbor in the South China Sea, Thailand has become the target of China's struggle, or maintain an objective position, which is also of great strategic significance to China. Thaksin's successful return to China will provide more space for the deepening and development of Sino-Thai relations.