The West forced South Africa to "arrest Putin", but South Africa and Putin have withstood the pressure, BRICS is ready to do a big job, but India has become a "black sheep", is it a better choice to let Indonesia replace India? The ASEAN summit is being held, and China and the United States have finalized a new battlefield!
Forced to "arrest Putin", South Africa is in a dilemma
Taking chicken feathers as an arrow, the ICC takes itself too seriously, and even forced South Africa to arrest Russian President Putin, obviously favoring the West, since they do not take their international credibility seriously, of course, the countries of the world will not take this organization in their eyes,
According to CNN, on July 14, ICC prosecutor Karim Khan said in an interview with the media that this year's BRICS leaders' summit will be held in South Africa in August, when Putin arrives at the venue, South Africa, as a party to the ICC, after decades of crimes against humanity and apartheid, should do the "right thing" at this time, that is, "arrest Putin".
It can be felt from Karim Khan's statement that in order to put pressure on Russia, he gambled on the reputation of the International Criminal Court, because it is clear that between the lines of his speech, he is full of moral kidnapping, full of threats, as if justice is no longer important, no matter what to achieve the goal, let South Africa be in a dilemma.
It is indeed difficult for South Africa to do this, on the one hand, the international organizations that have already joined, on the other hand, Russia as a world power, neither side can afford to offend. According to a report by Russia Today Radio on July 15, South African Vice President Paul Mashatilai said that South Africa had proposed to Russia to let Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov participate in the meeting instead of Putin, but the Russian side was not happy about this, and Putin still wanted to come in person. Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov also said on July 14 that Putin has not officially decided on what form to participate in the meeting, discussions are ongoing, and if there are results, Russia will inform everyone.
As for whether Putin will participate in the meeting, the Russian side is hesitant, Putin's appearance is bound to bring unnecessary trouble to the host South Africa, and the sanctions stick of Western countries is likely to fall on South Africa's head, which the Kremlin does not want to see. But at the same time, this BRICS summit is unprecedented, in addition to the BRICS leaders will attend, South Africa also invited 55 countries of the African continent to participate in the expanded meeting, if Putin does not go, the meeting will be eclipsed, which is a common loss of BRICS. Therefore, while the Russian side was still hesitating, South Africa first made a choice, not only Putin will come, but also the leaders of each BRICS member state.
South Africa made the choice to invite Russia to the conference
According to South African online media reports, on July 13, South African President Ramaphosa attended the BRICS Business Council meeting, where he announced that the BRICS summit to be held in August, leaders of various countries will discuss issues face-to-face. The chairman of the BRICS Business Council, who attended the event, Stavlaus Nishalu, was more blunt, saying that the leaders of the five BRICS countries are certain to attend.
But since the ICC has driven South Africa to the cusp, South Africa can only make a choice and directly showdown, indicating that Putin will be present. As for the arrest of Putin, no matter how you look at it, it is impossible to happen, as the leader of a world power, if Putin's personal safety is threatened, the whole world will not be safe, even the United States, it is necessary to weigh the consequences of threatening Putin.
The ICC is using chicken feathers as an arrow to force South Africa to arrest Putin, but it is just following the West's fall against Russia, which is not only unfair, but also too despicable, Putin cannot hand over his fate to the ICC to adjudicate.
In the final analysis, Russia, as a world power, is the defender of the world order, and the International Criminal Court is only a part of the world order, and it is not capable of adjudicating the world powers. In legal theory, the dispute between Russia and Ukraine is actually caused by NATO's eastward expansion, and the ICC does not care about the security harm caused by NATO's expansion, but only cares about the losses caused by Russia's counterattack, such a judgment is not in line with objective facts and justice, and will certainly not be respected by the international community.
South Africa will not arrest Putin even if forced to do so, and neither the ICC nor the Western bloc should be under any illusions. If the West uses this point to sanction South Africa, it is killing itself, and in doing so, they will not only make the BRICS countries disgusted, but also destroy their relations with South Africa, and even cause them to be unable to mix with Africa, so South Africa does not have to be embarrassed, and can rest assured to boldly let Putin participate in the meeting.
BRICS expands, Indonesia is expected to join
It has to be admitted that the BRICS has come to a crucial moment, this annual BRICS summit has two core topics, the first is that the BRICS is ready to establish a new international currency and promote the process of de-dollarization, the second is the expansion of the BRICS organization, 19 countries have officially submitted applications to join the organization, including Saudi Arabia, Iran, Indonesia and other important countries.
On the issue of BRICS expansion, Indonesia is regarded as a promising potential member of the BRICS, and both China and Russia recognize Indonesia. According to Indonesian media reports, on July 12, during the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting held in Indonesia, Director Wang Yi attended the meeting and held trilateral foreign ministers' talks with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and Indonesian Foreign Minister Letno.
Indonesia has become a potential member of the BRICS, while India, as one of the founding members, seems out of place, so there is a widely supported opinion in the online media that the BRICS should get rid of India as a "pest" and Indonesia can replace India as a member of the BRICS Organization.
Because of India, the degree of unity of the BRICS is still widely questioned, for example, on the issue of creating a new international currency, India has to speak out against it. According to Indian media reports, Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar Jaishankar previously expressed his opinion on the BRICS currency, saying that India will withdraw from this plan, because India first focuses on its own rupee, not the BRICS currency, and it is the task of the Modi government to make the rupee stronger. Media analysis believes that the reason why India is sabotage and contrarian is that it is worried that China will use the BRICS organization to develop its own interests, which may expand China's influence.
In fact, the media's analysis is quite accurate, and Indian Foreign Minister Jaishankar Jaishankar is completely untenable, because the rupee does not conflict with the BRICS currency, India can use two different currencies in domestic and foreign trade, the BRICS currency is a substitute for the US dollar, without any impact on the Indian rupee. In the final analysis, the reason why India is singing the opposite tune is because of anti-China thinking, and if India has only one hostile country in the world, it is China.
BRICS "pest control", Indonesia replaces India?
Netizens say that India is a "pest" is not exaggerated, not for nothing, because the BRICS currency is China, Russia, Brazil, South Africa are trying to promote things, but also the common expectation of many countries in the world, although the South African BRICS summit has not yet begun, dozens of countries are ready to accept the BRICS currency, enough to see how unpopular the dollar is in the world, it is not difficult to see what an important critical moment the BRICS is in. Other BRICS countries rolled up their sleeves and were preparing to make a big move, but India suddenly dropped the chain and poured cold water on the BRICS currency, which is a completely black sheep.
In addition, the two most important backgrounds on the current world political stage are the Sino-US confrontation and the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, and India, as a quasi-ally of Russia and a neighbor of China, seems to have finally found an opportunity to sell its strategic value, constantly moving closer to the United States, and may betray Russia at any time, and is also likely to increase its political confrontation with China, so for China and Russia, India is indeed a pest.
Compared with India, Indonesia is much more low-key and humble in the international community, and at the same time, Indonesia has the unique advantage of being backed by the entire ASEAN, so in a sense, Indonesia's international influence is even greater than that of India, especially for China. If Indonesia replaces India in joining the BRICS organization, it will greatly strengthen the degree of economic integration in Southeast Asia, and at a large scale, it can become a ballast stone for peace in Asia.
Now that Indonesia has applied to join the BRICS organization, Indonesia's accession is not a problem, but India does not seem willing to withdraw.
Although India pays more political attention to relations with the United States, Japan, Australia and other countries, that is, the framework of international relations based on the quadrilateral security mechanism, at the same time, the BRICS diplomacy focused on development can also meet India's interests as a developing country, in other words, India only considers its own selfish interests, wants to step on two boats, and eats the interests of both ends, at the same time, India also opposes the BRICS agenda that cannot benefit India. Even the other BRICS members are pushing hard.
In short, in international relations, we must recognize a theorem, that is, India is a country who is unlucky, there has never been an exception, netizens proposed that the BRICS countries eliminate harm, let Indonesia replace India, it seems like a joke, but if the BRICS organization wants to really have influence, it must always come to this step, and it is only a matter of time before India is eliminated, sooner or later. Even if the BRICS does not eliminate the mechanism, it should be appropriately expanded to allow important countries such as Indonesia to participate, and the most important point is that the United Nations rejected India as a permanent member of the Security Council six times is justified, and India must not be given a veto.
ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting, the United States played on the topic
After the rise of China, ASEAN countries have become more and more important, and have more say in the international community, the United States wants to sell the Cold War mentality of bloc confrontation in Southeast Asia, while China is maintaining the prosperity and stability of Southeast Asia.
According to Hong Kong media reports, on July 14, US Secretary of State Antony Blinken pointed at China during the ASEAN Foreign Ministers' Meeting, threatening to unite Southeast Asian countries to counter "coercive actions" and safeguard the so-called free, open and prosperous Indo-Pacific vision.
However, ASEAN does not buy into the inflammatory rhetoric of the United States. According to Lianhe Zaobao, on July 14, Indonesian President Joko Widodo, the rotating chair of ASEAN, pointed out at the meeting that as tensions between China and the United States on the Asia-Pacific issue intensify, ASEAN will be committed to strengthening unity, cohesion and centrality, maintaining regional peace and stability, and cannot become an agent of any country.
Indonesian President Jokowi's statement is a clear response to the United States, obviously, Indonesia is not willing to get involved in the turmoil of camp confrontation, which is also the attitude of most ASEAN countries, and the United States' discord is destined to be difficult to succeed. It is not difficult to see that China and the United States have settled on the new battlefield of Southeast Asia, and the international relations strategies of China and the United States are fundamentally different, the core purpose of the United States is to sow confrontation and create disputes, while China strives to maintain prosperity and stability in Southeast Asia through economic cooperation.
China and the United States finalize a new battlefield, and the United States has strayed into the trap of the Soviet Union
The United States adheres to the Cold War mentality and promotes camp confrontation, which is actually a diplomatic strategy with high energy consumption, whenever the United States draws a country, it must transfer economic benefits to this country, otherwise, no country will be willing to be used, it is conceivable that this diplomatic strategy will bring a heavy burden to the United States. Take India, which has recently turned to the United States as an example, in June, Indian Prime Minister Modi visited the United States, Biden mobilized GM, Amazon, Micron and other companies to invest in India, and also transferred aircraft engine technology to the Indian military, the United States is very clear, in terms of India's disposition, these investments are basically lost, with the nature of half-delivery, and this is a necessary strategic investment to suppress China.
The United States has to spend huge costs to maintain the alliance system when it promotes the Cold War pattern, and Blinken wants to turn ASEAN into a new battlefield, and there is no exchange of interests, which is simply impossible to complete. And even if the United States lures each other, many countries are just pretentious, and it is impossible to really use the United States as cannon fodder, and eventually the United States will fall into a vicious circle of powerlessness to drive allies and increasing investment, which will eventually lead to the collapse of the United States. Washington goes down this road, and the end will be the same as that of the Soviet Union, which will usher in drastic changes in Western Europe and the disintegration of the United States.
At this ASEAN foreign ministers' meeting, China and the United States finalized a new battlefield, but the United States wants to take an impossible path of success, Indonesian President Joko Widodo has made a clear reply, the Biden administration should also be lost as soon as possible, otherwise, the United States will not only be disgusted by ASEAN, all regions of the world will price international relations, so as to seek a deal with the United States, and eventually lead to the United States in the international community can not even make friends.