How low is the success rate of the list?
Just look at the list of the last 10 years
2023: Brandon Miller (high probability of water, low efficiency, but there is still a chance)
2022: Chet Holmgren (water, tone is greater than strength, IQ problem, just selected to play wild ball with James, crippled for a year)
2021: Jaylen Green (2 years, nothing, low offensive efficiency, defense is nothing, the Rockets can't wait to cultivate)
2020: James Wiseman (Water, four years, still playing Summer League, Warriors don't, Pistons patience for a year)
2019: Jamorant (problem teenager, empty with skills, no brains, now it's up to Ross, if it's useless, it's over)
2018: Marvin Bagley (Water, Pistons are Waste Pick-ups, this year is over, where to go next year?) )
2017: Lonzo Ball (injury, physical inferior to his father's tone, what not to do, reimbursement first place)
2016: Brandon Ingram (8 years, what?) )
2015: Angelo Russell (9 years, what?) )
2014: Jabari Parker (injury, nothing)
2013: Oladipo (injury, nothing)