All-view venue|Asian Games at the doorstep of the three battles, this time is the most difficult, why did Zhang Jun say that he hit 7 gold?
The lineup of the Chinese badminton team participating in the Hangzhou Asian Games was announced on July 5, and Zhang Jun, chairman of the Chinese Badminton Association, said in an interview with the media: This is the Asian Games returning to China after 13 years, and all players hope to achieve the feat of winning the gold medal in front of their fathers and elders in their hometowns.
At the 2012 London Olympics, the national badminton won five gold medals in the competition, and the national badminton at that time enjoyed the reputation of "five-star national feather". So, what is the probability of the Hangzhou Asian Games national feather hitting the "seven-star national feather"?
The Hangzhou Asian Games has 7 events of men's team, women's team, men's singles, women's singles, men's doubles, women's doubles and mixed doubles, compared with the Olympic Games, there are 2 more team events, plus nine out of ten strong players in the world badminton events are in Asia, and the difficulty of winning all the championships will only be high or not low.
Historically, the best record of the national badminton single Asian Games came at the 1990 Beijing Asian Games, where the national badminton won six gold medals except mixed doubles. It is necessary to remind that in 1990 Guoyu was in the golden period, when Guoyu won the Thomas Cup and Uber Cup two team world championships, the 1989 World Championships won 4 gold medals in addition to mixed doubles, and the 1990 Asian Games were held in Beijing, the time and place were favorable and coupled with strong overall strength, so that Guoyu won 6 gold medals in the men's team, women's team, men's singles, women's singles, men's doubles, and women's doubles at the Beijing Asian Games, creating the best record in history so far.
At the Hangzhou Asian Games, Guoyu once again faced Asian powers at home, does it mean that it is expected to achieve another good result or even win seven golds? All indications: the odds are almost zero.
The time and place are favorable, and it is indeed a favorable condition for Guoyu to attack 7 gold medals, but what is more important in the arena is its own strength and on-the-spot performance. 13 years ago in the Guangzhou Asian Games, the national badminton is also at the peak of history, the Chinese men's team has achieved four consecutive championships in the Thomas Cup, the Uber Cup newcomer-dominated Chinese women's team final unexpectedly lost and ranked runner-up, the 2009 World Championships won all the gold medals, in layman's terms, at that time, 6 of the 7 badminton events were recorded under the name of the national badminton, the background is the same as the 1990 Beijing Asian Games. Strictly comparing the overall strength of the two national badminton countries, the overall strength advantage 13 years ago should be greater, because the only women's team world champion who does not belong to the national badminton is recognized as the world's first. Under such a favorable situation, Guoyu's second Asian Games on his doorstep was five gold medals, failing to match or exceed the record at the 1990 Beijing Asian Games.
In the last three Olympic cycles, the overall strength of the national badminton is obviously inferior to the London Olympic cycle around 1990 and from 2009 to 2012, and last year Tang You lost two team world championship trophies, and last year the world championships only won two gold medals in women's doubles and mixed doubles. In this context, Zhang Jun shouted bold words, the author believes that there are two meanings: one is to encourage fighting spirit, and the other is that all 7 projects have the strength to impact the gold medal.
Women's doubles and mixed doubles are the two sports with the best and most stable overall record in recent years, but they have not yet reached the realm of winning gold in competition, compared with mixed doubles, the probability of winning gold is higher, after all, Zheng Siwei/Huang Yaqiong are recognized as the number one mixed doubles masters in badminton today. Like Zheng Siwei/Huang Yaqiong, the women's doubles boss Hua Dan Chen Qingchen/Jia Yifan is also the previous champion winner, and the Hangzhou Asian Games is also a strong contender for the title, but in recent years, Guoyu has not created a top combination like "Fanchen", and the overall strength of the first and second women's doubles is not dominant compared with South Korean and Japanese players. Men's singles, women's singles, men's doubles and two team events, Guoyu does have the ability to rush gold, but looking at the results of international competitions in recent years, badminton national players have no advantage at all.
The worst result of the single Asian Games came in 1994, when the Hiroshima Asian Games held that year did not have a single event to reach the final, which was dubbed "recovering a pile of broken iron". In the other 10 Asian Games competitions, Guoyu won 5 golds, 4 golds, 3 golds and 2 golds respectively 2, 4, 3 and 1 time respectively.
All indications are that the Hangzhou Asian Games will be the most difficult "Asian Games on the doorstep" in the history of Guoyu. With the current overall strength of Guoba, the possibility of repeating the Hiroshima Waterloo scene 29 years ago is almost zero, and winning 2-4 gold medals is the result of normal performance, and if you can win 5 gold medals, you will be the "jackpot". (Wang Quanli)