Let's sort out the key information for next weekend.
1. After market hours on Friday, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology and other five departments issued the "Implementation Opinions on Manufacturing Reliability Improvement"
The opinions propose to focus on machinery, electronics, automobiles and other industries, implement the "foundation" project of basic product reliability, and build a solid reliability level of core basic components, core basic components, key basic software, key basic materials and advanced basic processes.
1) In terms of automobiles, the field of intelligent driving was highlighted
Automotive industry: focusing on by-wire chassis systems such as steer-by-wire, brake-by-wire, automatic shifting, electronic throttle, suspension system, high-precision camera, lidar, basic computing platform, operating system and other autonomous driving systems, intelligent cockpit systems such as in-vehicle infotainment, in-car monitoring, and vehicle-machine displays, key components of networking, such as vehicle networking terminals and communication modules, as well as core control, power drive, IGBT, large computing power computing, high-capacity storage, information communication, power simulation, High-precision sensors and other automotive-grade automotive chips
2) Semiconductors
Electronics industry: focus on improving the reliability level of high-end general-purpose chips such as SoC/MCU/GPU for electronic equipment, wide bandgap semiconductor power devices such as gallium nitride/silicon carbide, precision optical components, optical communication devices, new sensitive components and sensors, highly adaptable sensor modules, Beidou chips and devices, chip resistance-capacitance sensing components, high-speed connectors, high-end RF devices, high-end electromechanical components, LED chips and other electronic components.
3) Robots: focus on improving the reliability level of key special basic components such as ball screws, guide rails, spindles, turntables, tool magazines, grating encoders, numerical control systems, high-power lasers, precision reducers and intelligent controllers for industrial robots, control components, sensors, source components, detectors, and sample pre-processors for industrial robots
2. On June 30, the Dutch government issued a new regulation on export control of semiconductor equipment, which will take effect on September 1
CSC: The content of this export control does not exceed the official website of ASML in March, the export control is only for "the most advanced lithography machine equipment", 1980Di and below models are not restricted, through multiple exposure, 1980Di can still meet the needs of mature processes.
3. New progress in perovskite industry
After strict testing and certification by the global authoritative organization TUV-SUD, JIDIAN Solar has created a comprehensive volumetric efficiency of 17.18% on 0.72m² perovskite mass production modules, which is the first time that the full-area efficiency of commercial-sized perovskite modules tested by third-party institutions has exceeded 17%.
4. On July 1, the 2023 International Starflash Wireless Short Range Communication Alliance Sailing Summit was successfully held in Shenzhen. Concentrate on displaying the latest achievements of the Star Alliance
The advantage of Starflash is the introduction of 5G polar code technology to achieve low latency (microseconds), high reliability, precise synchronization, and multi-concurrency. It is widely used in the four major fields of intelligent vehicles, intelligent terminals, intelligent home exhibitions and intelligent manufacturing.
5. Jiang Guangzhi, director of the Beijing Municipal Bureau of Economy and Information Technology: Plan to introduce the "computing power coupon" policy to support small and medium-sized enterprises based on landing application scenarios to obtain diversified, low-cost and high-quality computing power
6. The ZZZJ meeting deliberated on the "Opinions on Several Policies and Measures to Support the Construction of Xiong'an New Area with High Standards and High Quality"
7. U.S. stocks: Dow +0.84%, NASDAQ +1.45%, S&P 500+1.23%
8. Supervision: This week, Hangzhou thermal power and other seriously abnormal fluctuation stocks will be monitored key
9. The forecast of the report began to increase
Weichai Power: It is expected to report a net profit of 358,651 million yuan to 406,472 million yuan, +50% to 70% year-on-year.
Sinotruk: Expected to report a net profit of 465 million yuan to 529 million yuan, an increase of 45% to 65% year-on-year.
Poly United: It is expected to report a net profit of 55.01 million yuan to 74.43 million yuan, an increase from the previous year: 4015% to 5468%.
Zhongke Jiangnan: It is expected to report a net profit of 92 million yuan to 110 million yuan, an increase from the previous year: 51% to 81%.
Daikin Heavy Industries: Expected reported net profit: 25,498.09 million yuan to 281.3582 million yuan, an increase of 45% to 60% over the previous year.
Goertek: It is expected to report a net profit of 333 million yuan to 499 million yuan, down 76%-84% from the same period last year; (Q2 +114.15%-270.75%)
Second, last week's market review
1. Weekly exponential line
The weekly lower shadow of the two major indexes continued the rebound after last week's correction. The Shanghai stock market fell even more last week, and this week's oversold rally is stronger than the ChiNext. The trading volume has shrunk significantly, from trillions to 8000+ billion.
2. Super short atmosphere
After the weakening of the style dominated by institutional trend huddling, the even board is not bad, last week the space continued to press at 4 boards, this week there was a 6-board mid-horse transmission, but the 7 board exploded, and there was no more breakthrough for the time being.
3. Active subject matter
1. Robots
The more representative index of the robot sector is the reducer index, which maintained volatility at the end of the index adjustment end from last week to the beginning of this week, and the node resonance index of the index stepped back for the second time on Wednesday and V up, the climax of the sector on Thursday, and the normal divergence on Friday
Connecting plate, Zhongma transmission faucet; Southern Seiko did not go A after breaking the board with a word; Other cut low-based, Xiangyang bearing; 20cm even board Youde precision
Strong trend, once high on Thursday, strong trend collective sharp retreat, Friday basically repaired. Haozhi Electromechanical, Zhongdaide, Buke Co., Ltd., KONE Technology, etc
2.AI
The GPT index fell by more than 10 points in a wave, and after the short-term stop falling, the repair effect was very limited. The strong end of the repair is still the strongest optical module before
New High Tickets:
Optical module, Dongtian Micro, Liante Technology. Liante Technology is currently the first in the all-A increase this year, nearly 8 times
Games, Palmfun Technology. But plates are just minor fixes
3. New energy
The photovoltaic industry chain, especially auxiliary materials, has come out of the trend this week. Yubang New Material, Euroking Technology, Witten Electric, etc
Other strong ones are mainly the 0-1, 1-10 logic inside the track.
Hydrogen energy, Jingcheng shares, Huadian heavy industry, Sunfly Technology, Meijin Energy, etc
PET copper foil, Infinement shares, Dongwei Technology, Wanshun new materials, etc
HJT, Maiwei shares, Xinyuan micro-packaging, etc
Lithium manganese phosphate, German nano, Red Star Development, Xiangtan Electrochemical, etc
Third, the next idea
Index-wise. The index rebounded after another wave of bottoming, and the normal expectation at the beginning of next week is still a weak rebound pattern, and the expectation of continuous strengthening is not too high.
Sector-wise.
1) Pan-technology
AI, it is difficult to expect to become stronger overnight under the adjustment of this wave, and it can be seen that in addition to the strongest optical module of the previous wave, most of the old batch of big tickets did not have a decent rebound. Even if you are very optimistic about the industrial trend of AI, you must also recognize the change in style, that is, the institutional trend of the sector in the short term is difficult, and the probability of a longer shock is required.
The internal possible opportunities will be in the local market of some potentially relatively new things, analogous to the long-term shock stage of the new energy big ticket, cross-border transformation/new technology/pan-AI/beyond the expected landing scene;
The second is the performance line, but I feel that the computing power and games are a little too clear, and if there are other subdivisions, the performance effect may be better.
Robots, the most sustainable sector in the recent pan-technology category, was still the focus of short-term capital games at the beginning of the month. However, the sector index has accelerated to this point and is facing the interim report disclosure period, which needs to be noted.
In addition, in the context of AI shocks, the situation of non-AI or the other in the past few months has been greatly weakened, in other words, there is no "absolute dominance mainline" like AI in the next period, then the market may be reflected in the rotation of small themes, among which pan-technology is more popular.
2) New energy, the current money-making effect of the sector is landed in various 0-1 new technologies. PET copper foil, lithium manganese phosphate in the automotive chain; Photovoltaic hydrogen distribution, HJT, especially copper plating, perovskite and so on of the photovoltaic chain