The Jazz spent space on the John Collins trade, and the Thunder helped the Mavericks eat Bertans, weakening their ability to play big roles in free agency. The Lakers don't seem to want to be a space team under the cap, and even if they sign people from the market, they will probably go out or use the full middle class. In this way, there are still 6 teams in the market that have the ability to give 30 million contracts to the Rockets, Spurs, Magic, Pacers, Pistons and Kings. King, we have opened a special article, so I will not repeat it. The Hornets approached the group, but they made qualifying offers for PJ Washington and Kobashi, and if the two stayed, with the rookie player's contract, the Hornets had limited potential to make big moves in the market. PJ Washington may be involved in a sign-off operation, in which case the Hornets become sellers in the marketplace instead.
The Spurs and Pacers can be relegated to a class of teams. They have not yet completed the full coverage of young talents in all positions, but they have a clear team-building core, and they are not willing to absorb talent for a long time, and they are more willing to rationalize the lineup and play well. So they will precisely strengthen the weak links of the lineup. The Spurs need a real center to help the literary class carry the cannon, and they also need to improve the No. 1 position. The Pacers need to bolster their forward line and solve the problem that power forwards are like centers and small forwards are like shooting guards.
Rockets, pistons and magic can be roughly grouped together. The qualifier "roughly" is added because magic is slightly different from those two. The Magic know that their forward future is Banqueiro and Wagner, and this year selected Anthony Black and Jett Howard, with the original point guard three in the backcourt, with the capital of No. 1 and No. 2 to raise the cheat. But in the No. 5 position, magic could be the mentality of riding a donkey to find a horse. The Rockets and Pistons have basically determined the talent map of the starting 5 positions, whether they can be played or not, at least in the future, the Rockets' Amen Thompson, Jaylen Green, Whitmore, Smith, Shenjing, Pistons' Cunningham, Ivey, Ossar Thompson, Durham, Prince White, are the key training lists of the two teams.
The Rockets, Pistons, and Magic requirements also have a common feature — they can't bring in overpowered stars and destroy the existing structure of young talent. What is needed is a supporting puzzle veteran. Since the Rockets are not in their hands in the first round of 24 years, they are eager to reinforce, have the most space under the cap, and are the most aggressive buyers in the market. They will be the most dominant team in the league in the coming days. The Pistons and Magic are more comfortable moving in and out (although the Pistons also gave the first round in 24 years, the 18th pick protection is safer). The Pistons will be more interested in non-No. 5 puzzles, while the Magic will be more interested in No. 5 puzzles as well as flank shooters. The Rockets will be interested in all the quality non-core free agents on the market, and their needs are basically covered by the needs of the Spurs, Pacers, Magic and Pistons.
After the basic background is explained, let's look at the free market.
Look at the back field first.
Neither Irving nor Harden is likely to be interested in the undercap space team. Owen doesn't need to talk about it, he is the best choice to keep the lone ranger. Harden lowered his salary to sign a short contract, sincerely went to lead the literary class, the Spurs may consider, the Rockets have a similar mentality, but Harden himself may not be willing. A salary cut (starting salary, years) to keep the 76ers, or find a suitable salary cut to join a championship team, is a more realistic choice.
VanVleet is a more tangled answer, on the one hand, his asking price is close to that of core stars, and as a point guard must occupy a larger role, which is not a characteristic that young teams like. But on the other hand, VanVleet can have the ball or not, as the team's third or even fourth point has proven his compatibility ability, play support experience, if he can reduce his salary or agree to sign a short contract, it is not surprising that the Rockets and Spurs are interested in him. Playoff teams that have the resources to sign and desperate for point guards can consider it, but they don't have to consider VanVleet at the top salary level.
Further down, the only Reds left in the back were DiVincenzo, Bruce Brown and Clarkson.
DiVincenzo, 26 years old, has three points, defensive, energetic, handles the ball, has a big heart, does not occupy the ball and can contract dirty work, as a growing "little big brother" who accompanies talent. There should be a general interest in him. The question to him is, is he worth a contract above the full middle class? This is important, and it determines the chances of playoff teams like the Lakers and the Lone Ranger getting him.
Brown has a similar situation with DiVincenzo. He is more inclined to finish and is more flexible in upward positioning, but last season's three-point performance was slightly inferior to Divin. As a champion member with a temperament bonus, Brown should be a puzzle piece that playoff teams generally pursue. His question with DiVincenzo is the same, can the full middle class block it?
Clarkson, 31, is a better playoff team than a rebuilding team as a scorer who can come off the bench to tackle the transition offense. But if you see him as an asset that will be resold to a playoff team in the future, it makes sense to take him whether it is the home team Jazz or a spaced suitor like the Rockets. However, Clarkson is not suitable for grabbing at a premium, after all, the premise that it can change hands in the future is that the contract is high.
After Eric Gordon was cut by the Clippers, there was one more playoff guard in the market to compete for. My pricing expectations for Gordon are in the mini mid-range, a price point that can be contested across the league. He won't be a priority target for the Undercap Space team.
There are also many famous guards in the market, such as Seth Curry, Richardson, LeVert, Vincent, Seibre, Reeves, Beverley and so on, but these people are basically not put on too high a chase priority. Curry Jr., Richardson, and Beverley don't need too big contracts to sign, they at least have some value in the regular season and belong to the puzzle that can be picked up. The Knights shouldn't let LeVere go, and while LeVere wasn't their flanking answer, the Knights needed a contract that could be traded. Seibl is a restricted free agent, and no matter what the Blazers choose in the future, it is not appropriate to release people directly, so he has nothing to chase. Reeves will be violently matched by the Lakers. Vincent and the Heat need a game of bravery, and they are even more afraid that the side that loses the other side will lose badly.
Oh, and Wei Shao. He's hard to price, there's no reason for young teams to pursue him, and his strength deserves an offer above the mini-mid-range, but playoff teams will consider this double-edged sword when they determine that the middle class has nowhere to go. Staying with the Clippers wouldn't be a bad choice, and going to the Suns with a base salary would be a bit interesting, but perhaps the more valuable solution would be to go to the Nets and bring out a playoff team.
However, I prefer that the Wizards sell them a bunch of steady-flow point guards, and then take Wilson, and form the Avengers Big Three with Poole and Kuzma.
Let's look at the front court.
Middleton is said to have renewed his contract with the Bucks. Vucevic has completed a three-year, $60 million contract extension with the Bulls – let's wait for next year's trade deadline. A puzzle between the front court and the back court, Josh Hart, will most likely stay with the Knicks. There are few big names left upfront.
Dream Green. He went to dinner with Lillard, but it would be difficult for the Blazers to become a real threat to the Warriors' contract extension, and they would need to give up multiple bird rights such as Grant, Seibre, Reddish and other birds to clear the space, and they would have to exchange Simmons or Nurkic for air. If you negotiate a signing with the Warriors, the Warriors can get something in return.
A direct threat to the Warriors is the Undercap Space Team. But Pistons and Magic won't be interested in chasing dreams. Chasing dreams may have some entangled allure for the Rockets, and they have the most real experience of the change in the temperament of the team, and this is what the Rockets need. But chasing dreams is a very dangerous move, he needs a specific form of play, the Rockets are not sure they can deliver, if this signing fails, it will be a small opportunity cost.
The Pacers need a good forward, but will space-seeking Carlisle enjoy the dream-chasing style of play? How do the Spurs use the dream chasing as the No. 5 position? Are his and Sohan's positions in conflict?
Chasing dreams will make some moves in the market, but the sincerity in the market may not surpass that of the warriors.
Grant, Kuzma and Barnes will form the iron triangle of the free-market power forward showcase, and I don't think they're a good fit for a rebuilding young team. What's the point of young teams taking a chaotic player like Kuzma? His most suitable way out is to play with Poole a prospect of both data and traffic, or become a strong frontcourt space point for teams that don't have enough space — such as the Cavaliers, who only have a full mid-range. Grant seemed reluctant to give young people the role of wiping his ass, becoming more and more like a "horner". He is suitable for signing a conscience contract to stay with the team, or signing for a playoff team to get back the feeling of the puzzle. Barnes is the one the playoff team wants to promote, but he expects cheaper and more specific contributions, which is relatively suitable for younger teams.
Cameron Johnson and PJ Washington are more suitable targets for young teams to pursue. Huang Zhong is a scarce resource as a top frontcourt shooter, and he is a major improvement for teams eager to make the playoffs, and the timeline is relatively appropriate. PJ Washington is the more sought-after No. 4/5 swingman, and although he has slots in both roles at No. 4/5, he is a small strategic resource with the right salary. The problem is simply that they are restricted free agents, and pursuing them costs some – either an opportunity cost or a signing chip.
Perhaps the reddest player up front is Grant Williams. He is 24 years old, and in the past two seasons, whether in the regular season or the playoffs, three-point shooting has stood the test. He is physically strong and can carry Brother Alphabet and Embiid, and has a certain ability to change defenses. Although it is unreliable to change defenders, unable to protect the basket in the No. 5 position, and difficult to do as an interior positioning of the striker's body, as a substitute front court with projection and top defense, the strategic value is undoubted. Whether it's a rebuilding team or a playoff team, they have the urge to pursue Gwee. Although the parent team Celtic also proposed the idea of staying in Gway, their salary situation does not seem to support this, which means more like - even if you leave, it is better to make a signing and ask the next family for a little resource back.
Dillon Brooks is another potential market influencer. Half a year ago, you wouldn't have thought that Dillon might have been in the middle of the discussion, but after a playoff trip to successive disasters, people realized that Dillon's 20 million contract is a potentially destructive force, and he must be a player who can press on the bench at key moments and even DNP key games. Dillon's inability to hit shots, let alone control his desire to shoot, is the root cause of his depreciation, but he is still an exciting defensive option that can switch players for everything. Playoff teams can compete for him with full mid-range, and a few teams with space can get him at a markup.
Plumlee deserves the respect of the market, and he is worth at least a mini-middle class. Crowder will most likely stay with the Bucks, and once it enters the market, he is at best worth a mini-mid-class. The result of his low valuation is that the Bucks should have kept him, which is why he is likely to stay. Strus would be a presence that doesn't make it exciting to sign with either team. Playoff teams will wait for Gallinari to be cut and pick up leaks, and they will want the same thing to happen to Porter and Muscala, and once that happens, I don't like the exposed slow reaction speed of any team that lacks frontcourt projection resources.
Powell, Randale, Eubanks, Lyles, Niang, Watanabe Yuta, these are all low-priced frontcourts to watch out for - the Suns and 76ers may need to ensure that their resources are not lost before talking about reinforcements. I will not repeat it here.
Wood, on the other hand, I'm barely willing to pay a mini-middle class for him, but I'm even more excited for Wood, who has a base salary.
What about Hachimura? Will the Lakers match Reeves like Cereeves with a quote about him? Compared to Reeves, who has rules and restrictions, if you are purely disgusting to the Lakers, you can smash the eight villages.
Are there any important players we haven't mentioned?
There are two heavyweights.
Great López. The Bucks have a 100% reason to renew his contract, but all teams with full mid-tier offer ability also have a 100% reason to pursue Da López, which means Da Lo will get a wide range of bids in the market. Considering Da Lo's 35-year-old age, 38-year-old terms, and the Bucks' tight salary situation, offering a premium contract with a high starting salary should be the only way to pursue him. Playoff teams generally don't have this ability, and only a few young teams with undercap space can. They have a demand, and they are not afraid of a premium - the rocket should brainlessly rush this point, I also like the combination of Da Luo + Wenban;
Poeltl. He said he didn't want to stay on the rebuild team, and the Raptors didn't know whether to rebuild or continue. Since it cost the Raptors a lot to get Poeltl (the first round for the Spurs was 6 picks 24 years ago, which can be extended to 26 years, this egg pain protection pick and age is one of the reasons for the Raptors' difficulty in rebuilding selection), even if Poeltl leaves, the Raptors will try to find a sign. But if it's a team with naked signing, the Raptors can't control it. With Poeltl worth $20 million, he is the first choice for a team that lacks a starter-up, big-sized interior lineman – will the picture of him playing next to Venbanyama be beautiful? If Poeltl returns to the Spurs as a free agent, the loan fee sent by the Raptors is a clown.
Well, quality players in free agency, have been introduced. The market will open soon, and perhaps this is the last article on a systematic analysis of market movements by July 1. This article is obviously aimed at more than a few teams with room under the cap, the full-mid-capable Lakers, Lone Ranger, Timberwolves, mini-middle-class Nuggets, and only the base-salary Warriors can find their goals.
But the situation of several undercap space teams is particularly important, they have the ability to send a total of 5~6 large contracts for the free market, aside from some stars who are unlikely to go to such teams (Irving, Harden), they have the ability to harvest a few stars in the market that are rare in the full middle class and above. Once Big Lopez, Poeltl, VanVleet, Grant, Barnes, Kuzma, Brith Brown, Dillon Brooks, DiVincenzo flow into these teams, it will be embarrassing for buyers with full middle range, so players who would otherwise only be able to take the mini middle range have room for premium.
In other words, the "brotherhood under the hat" can raise the market level. If the market is disrupted, they must have done it.
If the Under the Cap Brotherhood doesn't end up running out of space, the few big premium contracts on the market will be interesting again. Tobias Harris, Hayward, Joe Harris, and even Thompson, involving their three-way deal would be easier. From this point of view, the brotherhood under the hat is also a good partner in the trading market, and they will make large transactions easier.
The team led by the Rockets, how to spend the money, will have a series of chain reactions - let the alphabet lose Da Lo, let Jokic lose Brown, let the Green Army lose Gwe, let the Warriors lose their dreams, let the Lakers lose Hachimura...
The Under the Cap Brotherhood can make a long list of licks and ready to lick – just ask you which team is Daddy right now.